forbes
连结
http://goo.gl/Ga9udi
以下是外电的内容与翻译
China Vs. Vietnam: Next Up At The International Court On The South China Sea
Now that the Hague’s Permanent Court of Arbitration voted resoundingly in
Philippines’ favor on the South China Sea, it is Vietnam’s turn to bring an
arbitration case. China has interfered massively in Vietnam’s economic
development — not only against its fishing, but against its offshore oil and
gas exploration and extraction. China justifies its interference in Vietnam’
s exclusive economic zone (EEZ) based on China’s recently-claimed 9-dash
line — the same 1930s line that the Court invalidated yesterday in the
Philippine legal victory.
在海牙国际常驻仲裁法庭判菲律宾胜诉后，接下来换越南提出仲裁案。 中国不仅严重地
干扰影响了越南的渔业，且其离岸油气的探勘与采矿。
中国长久以来以１９３０年代所绘的９段线地图来正当化中国对于越南ＥＥＺ的侵犯。
In 2012, China cut the cables of seismic equipment used by Vietnam to explore
its own EEZ for oil and gas. Starting in 2014, China repeatedly explored for
oil within Vietnam’s 200 nautical mile EEZ, with its high-tech $1 billion HS
981 drilling rig. Subsidized Chinese steel-hulled boats regularly sink wooden
Vietnamese fishing boats in disputed areas of the South China Sea, most
recently last weekend. In what the Vietnamese describe as a “merciless and
pitiless” incident, Chinese boats tried to prevent rescuers from retrieving
fishermen thrown overboard.
在２０１２年，中国为了探勘油气采矿将越南海底的地震侦测缆线剪断。
从２０１４年开始，中国一再的在越南的２００海浬的ＥＥＺ内，使用其价值１０亿的HS 981钻
探平台来寻找石油。
在争议海域中，中国籍政府所补助的铁壳船也经常弄沉越南籍的木制渔船，而最近一起事
故发生于上周。
在此越南人的描述为唯一起残忍且冷血的事件，中国船只还试图阻止搜救者救起落海的渔
民。
With the Court’s ruling yesterday, nothing stops Vietnam from bringing a
similar arbitration case against China — and getting an almost certain win.
Vietnam has done a great job of patching up its differences with countries
more reasonable than China. Vietnam even submitted a joint submission with
Malaysia on their shared continental shelf — a model of cooperation and
reason. Vietnam still claims all of the Spratlys and Paracel Islands, but one
senses none of the stridency and intensity regarding these claims that was
exhibited by China on their 9-dash line claim.
加上昨天国际法庭裁决后，已经没有什么事可以阻止越南对中国提出类似的强制仲裁，越
方也认为可以胜诉。 越南对许多比中国讲理，之前有歧异的国家的弥补关系上做了很好
的工作。
越南甚至提交了一份与马来西亚共享大陆棚的计画，可以说是合作与理性的典范。
越南仍然主张拥有南沙与西沙岛屿，但仍然比不上中国刺耳与霸道的主张九段线。
My prediction is that Vietnamese leaders simply want — and will soon
petition — the Court to ascertain the limits of their EEZ, based on 200
nautical miles from the coastline, plus additional continental shelf. Once
this is settled, Vietnam will be theoretically free to fully utilize its EEZ.
作者预估越南领导人最近将会像国际法庭递交确认２００海浬的ＥＥＺ范围及大陆棚的申
请。
一旦这个裁决确认后，越南理论上将能完全自由的使用其ＥＥＺ。
Enforcement of Vietnam’s claim is another matter. China’s reaction to the
Philippine’s successful case over the coming months will help Vietnam know
what to expect after a new ruling in its favor. But there is now every reason
for Vietnam to bring an arbitration case. As President Rodrigo Duterte of the
Philippines discovered, there is no reason to bargain with China prior to a
PCA ruling, as the PCA ruling strengthened the bargaining position of the
Philippines. China knew this, which is why China was so desperate for
bilateral negotiations prior to yesterday’s ruling. Vietnam’s bargaining
position with China will be similarly strengthened by bringing a case and
receiving a ruling from the Hague tribunal. Let’s hope Vietnam now takes
action.
越南主张的执行而是另外一回事。
在菲律宾状告中国成功胜诉的案例将会帮助越南了解如何胜诉。
但对越南来说现在绝对有理由提起仲裁。
如同菲律宾总统Rodrigo Duterte发现，在PCA仲裁前，根本没有需要跟中国讨价还价，
因为PCA裁决巩固了菲律宾讨价还价的空间。
中国也知道这件事，这也是中国在裁决前，如此绝望的希望私下的双边谈判来解决这件事
。
借由提起强制仲裁案，越南对中国的讨价空间将来也会增加且获得海牙国际仲裁庭的裁决
。
让我们期待未来越南的行动吧。