[情报] Offense Plus Defense (OPD) - NL Thro …

楼主: gaga19900329 (GagaKnight)   2008-09-11 23:53:19
Offense Plus Defense (OPD) - NL Through Sept 02, 2008
What follows is a discussion of the NL OPD (offense plus defense) leaders and
who should be headed for the MVP. Sometimes the month of September can be
enough to move players in this ranking when they are tightly bunched. So,
while these are the leaders, the rankings are not cemented.
下面是关于国联OPD(打击和守备)的领先者和谁应该成为MVP的讨论。有时候九月就已经
足够令成绩接近的球员排名出现变动。所以,虽然他们现在是领先群,但这个排名仍不
是确定的。
The runs are rated above average at position. The offense is XR,
park-adjusted, and specific to the number of outs a player has used up. The
defense is DRS (Defensive Runs Saved: ZR converted to runs), explained in my
previous work. It is runs, not plays, above average. The units are the same,
so I simply add the numbers together. The decimal places are for consistency
’s sake, not meant to represent accuracy. There are several runs of give in
these (and any) numbers, offense or defense.
评分以联盟中同一个位置的平均成绩做为依据。打击的代表数据是XR,经过了球场跟
出局数的调整。守备则是DRS(球员守住了多少分数:以ZR换算)这是比平均多守住的分数,
而不是守住的球。单位是一样的,所以我就直接将他们相加。
In this data, the catcher defense is properly calculated, including all
passed ball, stolen base data, as well as incorporating the ZR data. This is
different from previous datasets, but the complaining about it was enough to
get me to make the effort.
在这份资料中,捕手的守备包括补逸、盗垒和ZR计算的数据。
There is some taint in some of the defensive data. If a player played more
than one position, I have summed all of his defensive contributions and using
that total number for his DRS at his Primary defensive position. There are
very few players this affects, and none are impacted significantly. Mark
DeRosa and Endy Chavez are two who see some difference, but it more
accurately reflects their total contribution to their team’s successes by
including all of their defense. For DeRosa, his 2B defense is 0.8 runs
higher than his overall contribution, but it doesn’t change his standing at
all. Endy is possibly the best defensive outfielder in the game, but he
plays all three positions, so his total reflects how many runs he has saved
the Mets. I also include Aaron Miles’ pitching runs and Chris Resop’s
outfield defense.
这些守备的资料仍有些缺点,假如一个球员打超过一个以上的位置,我就必须把他所有的
防守贡献全部加总做为他主要位置的DRS。但很少球员有巨大的影响。Mark DeRosa和Endy
Chavez是两名看得出差异的球员,但计算他们所有的守备表现更能反映出他们对球队成功
的贡献。DeRosa在守二垒时,他的守备分数是0.8,比他整体的分数还高,但这不会影响
他的排名。Endy可能是外野最好的防守者,但他可以守外野的三个位置,所以他的总成绩
才能反映他为大都会守住了多少分。我也加入了Aaron Miles的投球成绩和Chris Resop的
外野守备。
All that done, let’s talk about some players. Scroll to the bottom if you
want to see who the NL MVP is going to be.
好啦 该说的都说完了,让我们来看看各位置领先的球员,假如你想知道谁是国联MVP的
领先者,就直接拉到最下面吧
Catcher
This isn’t a strong year for catchers - sort of. there are three catchers
having great years at the dish: Brian McCann, Geovany Soto and Ryan Doumit.
However, none is a defensive whiz, and these performances don’t crack the
top ten in the league. Soto is the Cubs position player MVP thusfar, but I
don’t know if he will be by season’s end.
今年有几分不是捕手年的感觉。这里有3个捕手在打击方面有着优秀的一年:Brian McCann
、Geovany Soto和Ryan Doumit。然而没有一个是良好的防守者,而且他们的表现也没办
法在联盟前10名中占有一席之地。Soto是小熊到目前为止野手中的MVP,但我不知道他是否
会在球季后留下来。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
B.McCann ATL C -2.0 28.2 26.2
G.Soto CHC C -0.2 25.8 25.6
R.Doumit PIT C -3.0 20.6 17.6
The best defensive catcher at this point in the season is Jason Kendall
(+9.2). The worst is Michael Barrett (-5.2), followed by Josh Bard (-4.9).
The Padres simply don’t value defense behind the plate.
防守分数最高的捕手是Jason Kendall(+9.2)最差的是Michael Barrett(-5.2)次差的是
Josh Bart(-4.9)。教士完全就是不重视本垒板后方的防守。(观念魂?)
Right Field
Early this season, really early, there was some talk about “getting MVP
consideration”. I don’t recall who the focus was, but it was in May, and I
made a crack about including Ryan Ludwick. Well, here we are in September,
and Ryan Ludwick has had a terrific season. He’s been the best-hitting RF
this season, and only Brian Giles’ glove has him in a dead heat with Ludwick
for the best overall RF. He and Giles are 8-9 in the NL OPD rankings.
在球季非常早的时候,有个关于"得到MVP关注"的讨论,我忘记他们的焦点是谁,但那是
五月的事情。所以我想有包含Ryan Ludwick。好了,现在来到九月,Ryan Ludwick有了个
令人惊艳的球季。他已经是联盟中打击最好的右外野手之一。只有B.Giles的手套有办法
跟Ludwick竞争最好的右外野手。Ludwick跟Gils是国联排行榜的第八跟九名。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
R.Ludwick STL RF -2.3 33.0 30.7
B.Giles SDP RF 11.5 18.9 30.4
J.Werth PHI RF 5.6 17.1 22.7
Center Field
Some Mets fans purportedly are unhappy with Carlos Beltran’s performance,
but he’s the best CF in the league for three years in a row. He’s a Gold
Glove fielder and the best hitter. That’s a tough crowd that wants to
complain about that. Nate McLouth hit a ton early, but couldn’t field very
well. His fielding, with a larger sample for the entire league, is smoothing
out but still bad. Jody Gerut, who missed a few seasons, has been very good
for the Padres. He’s hitting well and fielding well. And there’s Cody
Ross having a strong season for the Marlins. He’s not close to Beltran, but
he is having a good year.
据说有些大都会的球迷不怎么满意Carlos Beltran的表现,但他其实已经连续三年占据了
联盟中最好的中外野手这个头衔。他是个金手套等级的防守者和最好的打者之一。但有些T
固执的群众仍然执意批评。Nate McLouth先前打得很好,但防守就不怎么样了。他的防守
跟全大联盟比起来不会特别差,但仍算很糟糕。Jody Gerut,虽然缺席了一些比赛,但仍
给教士带来许多的帮助(?)。他在打击跟守备两方面都表现优异。还有Cody Ross也有着很
好的一个球季,他的成绩跟Beltran有段距离,但这仍然是不错的一年。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
C.Beltran NYM CF 7.6 24.4 32.1
J.Gerut SDP CF 10.1 18.4 28.5
C.Ross FLA CF 6.7 11.5 18.2
Beltran has the seventh best OPD in the NL.
Beltran是国联的第七名。
Left Field
Without Barry Bonds, the quality of hitting from left field leaves quite a
bit to be desired. How bad has it been? In a month, Manny Ramirez has
jumped to the second slot. The Brewers have gotten great play from Ryan
Braun, but he doesn’t take enough pitches to dominate the position. Last
year’s MVP candidate, Matt Holliday, has played very well in anonymity.
After last year’s amazing run, I expected to hear all about the Rockies
this season. I haven’t, and Holliday is having a standout year.
没有了Barry Bonds,左外野手的打击令人少了许多期待。到底有多差呢?在一个月之中,
Manny Ramirez就跳到第二名的位置。酿酒人的Ryan Braun有着良好的表现,可惜他的
选球使他没办法宰制这个联盟。去年的MVP候选人Matt Holliday在没得到多少注意下表现
优秀。在去年拿到可怕的分数后,我就十分期待能整季听到关于洛矶的新闻。我的期待没
有成真,但Holliday仍有着突出的球季。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
M.Holliday COL LF 6.2 29.5 35.7
M.Ramirez LAD LF 2.9 19.0 21.8
R.Braun MIL LF 0.1 18.9 19.0
Burrell Pat PHI LF 3.8 13.8 17.5
Third Base
Last year, the best thrid baseman was a near tie between David Wright and
Chipper Jones. Wright compounded the insult by winning a Gold Glove (that
should have gone to Pedro Feliz). Chipper was none to happy, and has been a
monster this year, but has also seen his older body a bit more sensitive to
pain. Wright is still in second behind Chipper, but it is a distant second,
as Chipper flirted with hitting .400 for the first three months and has
played Gold Glove-caliber defense. Chipper is fourth in the league in OPD.
Wright is 11th.
去年最好的三垒手竞争十分激烈,David Wright跟Chipper Jones分数十分地接近。
Wright因为得到了金手套而遭到侮辱。(原本应该是属于Pedro Feliz)。Chipper Jones
十分地不高兴,今年变身成一只可怕的怪兽,但也看得出他年迈的身体对伤痛更加的敏感
。Wright仍然仅次于Chipper,但因为Chipper在球季前三个月缴出打击率0.4的成绩同时
在守备也有金手套般的水准而有不小的一段差距。Chipper是联盟的第4名,Wright则是第
11名。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
C.Jones ATL 3B 7.9 42.8 50.7
D.Wright NYM 3B -0.4 29.6 29.2
T.Wigginton HOU 3B 0.4 16.2 16.6
I know what you are all saying: Really? Ty Wigginton? It’s been that kind
of year.
我知道你们会想说什么:什么?Ty Wigginton?这是真的吗?今年就是这样。
Shortstop
Jimmy Rollins won an MVP when he was the third best shortstop...in the
division. Rollins has dropped off a ton since last year, and Hanley Ramirez
worked on his defense, and is well out in front of the other NL East
shortstops.
当Jimmy Rollins是第三好的游击手时赢得了MVP...是分区第三好。Rollins今年的表现下
滑了一大截,而且Hanley Ramirez在防守方面下了一番功夫,并且好到在国联东区的游击手中领先。
中占据领先位置。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
H.Ramirez FLA SS -0.8 52.0 51.2
J.Reyes NYM SS -8.1 38.3 30.2
R.Furcal LAD SS 1.1 17.2 18.3
Rollins Jimmy PHI SS 4.0 12.2 16.2
Rollins is forty runs behind Hanley with the bat and nearly thirty behind
Reyes. Offensive seasons can have dramatic year-to-year swings. Hanley is
ranked third in NL OPD runs, while Reyes is 10th.
Rollins在打击方面落后Hanley四十名,落后Reyes快三十名,有着戏剧性的波动。Hanley
在联盟中排名第三,Reyes是第十。
Second Base
Chase Utley. Just retire the award already. His dominance over other NL 2B
is just incredible. He started the season very hot but has cooled off, and
he also leads the league in HBPs.
Chase Utley,上季才获得银棒奖。他的统治力与其它国联中的二垒手相比简直是高得不可
思议。他在球季开始时表现火热,但是现在有冷却的迹象。他的触身球中也领先联盟。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
C.Utley PHI 2B 9.3 36.8 46.1
M.DeRosa CHC 2B 2.1 23.0 25.2
D.Uggla FLA 2B -5.6 25.6 20.0
M.Fontenot CHC 2B 4.8 11.5 16.3
However, the Cubs have two guys that compare to Utley - when you add them
together. DeRosa and Fontenot, in addition to being defensively versatile,
are both having great seasons at the plate.
小熊的两个球员可以跟Utley相比,要是你将他们的表现相加的话。Derosa和Fontenot,
除了全能的守备位置外,打击成绩也非常优秀。
First Base
Lance Berkman is having a great season, but Albert Pujols is having his best
ever. Pujols has certainly felt robbed of MVP awards, losing out to Barry
Bonds for half of his career and then a couple of iffy ones to Phillies.
This is going to be Albert’s year. It has to be. He’s got a full lap on
the league with 22 games to play. He’s the best defensive first baseman,
the best offensive first baseman and the best offensive player in the league.
If he gets hot, he could pass an OPS+ of 200. That doesn’t happen very
often. Berkman has been the second best player in the league (maybe third
behind Lincecum), and he’s just not close to Albert.
Lance Berkman有着很棒的球季,但是Albert Pujols今年是生涯最棒的球季。Pujols现在
几乎已经确定会抱走MVP。今年是属于Alebrt Pujols的一年。在只剩下22场比赛时他已经
领先联盟一整圈了。他在一垒手中打击和守备都是最好的,也是联盟中最好的球员。如果
他状态好时,他的OPS能超过200,这不是常常都能发生的。Berkman是联盟的第二名。(
也许是第三,次于Lincecum),但他跟Pujols的差距还是很明显。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
A.Pujols STL 1B 11.9 58.2 70.1
L.Berkman HOU 1B 9.1 45.1 54.2
M.Teixe'ra ATL 1B 11.7 11.5 23.2
The Top Twenty
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
A.Pujols STL 1B 11.9 58.2 70.1
L.Berkman HOU 1B 9.1 45.1 54.2
H.Ramirez FLA SS -0.8 52.0 51.2
C.Jones ATL 3B 7.9 42.8 50.7
C.Utley PHI 2B 9.3 36.8 46.1
M.Holliday COL LF 6.2 29.5 35.7
C.Beltran NYM CF 7.6 24.4 32.1
R.Ludwick STL RF -2.3 33.0 30.7
B.Giles SDP RF 11.5 18.9 30.4
J.Reyes NYM SS -8.1 38.3 30.2
D.Wright NYM 3B -0.4 29.6 29.2
J.Gerut SDP CF 10.1 18.4 28.5
B.McCann ATL C -2.0 28.2 26.2
G.Soto CHC C -0.2 25.8 25.6
M.DeRosa CHC 2B 2.1 23.0 25.2
M.Teixeira ATL 1B 11.7 11.5 23.2
J.Werth PHI RF 5.6 17.1 22.7
M.Ramirez LAD LF 2.9 19.0 21.8
D.Uggla FLA 2B -5.6 25.6 20.0
R.Braun MIL LF 0.1 18.9 19.0
Pujols真可怕.......
作者: walkcloud (走路的云)   2008-09-11 23:54:00
Pujols 鬼神阿.....
作者: kalabecha (喜喜)   2008-09-11 23:56:00
将来4000安800轰不无可能阿....
作者: BloodFlood   2008-09-11 23:57:00
好神奇的数据@@
作者: IAmaMouse (我是一只老鼠)   2008-09-12 00:16:00
Dominate...
作者: Enolagay (飞来飞去)   2008-09-12 00:18:00
呼应18092篇
作者: whitehusky (Milk)   2008-09-12 00:25:00
Pujols For MVP
作者: iuchun1010 (Mr. Anderson)   2008-09-12 01:20:00
Pujols...不过4000安800轰不太可能吧
作者: NIKE74731 (耐吉七四七三一)   2008-09-12 01:26:00
开个赌盘如何?
作者: blueflier   2008-09-12 01:39:00
这赌盘要等多久阿XD
作者: dan0206 (很美的妳很傻的我....)   2008-09-12 01:50:00
他很会捡BB...所以4000安不可能...800轰...ㄎㄎ
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-12 02:51:00
楼上科科
作者: mightymouse (翻堕罗流大师)   2008-09-12 07:12:00
Pujols选球太优了,间接导致他的全垒打累积的不够快
作者: mightymouse (翻堕罗流大师)   2008-09-12 07:13:00
个人预测大概会以650-700左右收场(好像还是很快.....)
作者: baronterry (我是谁)   2008-09-12 08:13:00
说不定他手术完就可以累积快一点.....
作者: changyt   2008-09-12 08:20:00
Pujols unbelievable
作者: rfvtgb (........)   2008-09-12 10:25:00
PUJOLS最大的问题,是年纪吧,不是很多人说他谎报年龄不过也不知道到底是真是假
作者: h888512 (速球胜负 + 45度角绝杀)   2008-09-12 10:33:00
今年应该可以破100bb
作者: oralboralb ( )   2008-09-12 10:36:00
rfvtgb那老梗太多人再提了 实在很无聊
作者: Jormungandr (大蛇)   2008-09-12 12:31:00
只要不是美国出身的 哪一个不会题谎报年龄....
作者: Jormungandr (大蛇)   2008-09-12 12:32:00
LeBron James长的还不是有35岁 一堆人只看长相猜年龄
作者: rj0222 (蔡虫)   2008-09-12 13:55:00
rfvtgb 你有证据证明吗?? 这种老梗提起来能代表啥?
作者: papazzz (趴趴)   2008-09-12 16:33:00
谎报个屁,要乱说话前也请先去查查看好吗
楼主: gaga19900329 (GagaKnight)   2008-09-12 18:35:00
Pujols中学移民美国比较不可能谎报吧

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