[情报] AL MVP Race - Offense Plus Defense ( …

楼主: gaga19900329 (GagaKnight)   2008-09-07 22:35:25
AL MVP Race - Offense Plus Defense (OPD) - Through Sept 02, 2008
原文:http://tinyurl.com/5uz86r
Carlos Quentin? Dustin Pedrioia? Alex Rodriguez? Who is the best candidate
for the AL MVP? Has Pedroia’s recent hot streak and media hype lifted him
to a top five candidate? He’s certainly played well enough to be the best
player on his team. Or has he?
Quentin?Pedroia?A-Rod?谁才是美联MVP的最佳人选?Pedroia最近火热的表现和媒体大
大肆的宣传是否会让他进入候选人的前五名吗?他最近的成绩足以令他成为队上最好的
球员。
What follows is a discussion of the AL OPD (offense plus defense) leaders and
who should be headed for the MVP. Sometimes the month of September can be
enough to move players in this ranking when they are tightly bunched. So,
while these are the leaders, the rankings are not cemented.
下面是关于美联OPD(打击和守备)的领先者和谁应该成为MVP的讨论。有时候九月就已经
足够令成绩接近的球员排名出现变动。所以,虽然他们现在是领先群,但这个排名仍不
是确定的。
The runs are rated above average at position. The offense is XR,
park-adjusted, and specific to the number of outs a player has used up. The
defense is DRS (Defensive Runs Saved: ZR converted to runs), explained in my
previous work. It is runs, not plays, above average. The units are the same,
so I simply add the numbers together. The decimal places are for consistency
’s sake, not meant to represent accuracy. There are several runs of give in
these (and any) numbers, offense or defense.
评分以联盟中同一个位置的平均成绩做为依据。打击的代表数据是XR,经过了球场跟
出局数的调整。守备则是DRS(球员守住了多少分数:以ZR换算)这是比平均多守住的分数,
而不是守住的球。单位是一样的,所以我就直接将他们相加。
In this data, the catcher defense is properly calculated, including all
passed ball, stolen base data, as well as incorporating the ZR data. This is
different from previous datasets, but the complaining about it was enough to
get me to make the effort.
在这份资料中,捕手的守备包括补逸、盗垒和ZR计算的数据。
There is some taint in some of the defensive data. If a player played more
than one position, I have summed all of his defensive contributions and using
that total number for his DRS at his Primary defensive position. There are
very few players this affects, and none are impacted significantly. Marco
Scutaro is significantly affected. He is a +4 at SS, but plays all over well
enough to boost that to a +12 defender. I believe using all the data more
accurately reflects his total contribution to his team’s successes. I also
include Tony Pena’s and Jamie Burke’s pitching runs. All of the AL, plus
team totals is shared in a Google Doc here. The green represents the top
mark in a category at a position and the yellow represents the worst mark.
这些守备的资料仍有些缺点,假如一个球员打超过一个以上的位置,我就必须把他所有的
防守贡献全部加总做为他主要位置的DRS。但很少球员有巨大的影响。Marco Scutaro则被
严重的影响了。他是一个+4的游击手,但能打所有位置已经好到足够让他成为一个+12的
守备者。相信这些数据能更准确地反映出球员对球队的贡献。
All that done, let’s talk about some players. Scroll to the bottom if you
want to see who the AL MVP leader is.
好啦 该说的都说完了,让我们来看看各位置领先的球员,假如你想知道谁是美联MVP的
领先者,就直接拉到最下面吧
Designated Hitter
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
J.Thome CHW DH 0.00 15.79 15.79
D.Ortiz BOS DH 0.00 9.88 9.88
C.Floyd TBR DH 0.00 7.65 7.65
Well, these guys are out of the running. They have a smaller set to be
compared to, so perhaps I should lump them in with 1Bs? No, that drops these
guys by three runs.
这些人是在排名之外的,他们的比较集合很小,所以也许我应该把他们跟1B一起比较?
不,这样会让他们下降3分。
First Base
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
K.Youkilis BOS 1B 6.37 23.15 29.52
A.Huff BAL 1B -3.86 31.99 28.12
J.Morneau MIN 1B -1.30 25.30 24.00
C.Pena TBR 1B 2.24 19.04 21.28
Youkilis is a very strong player. He is presently fifth in the league in
OPD, with Huff at seventh. Here’s the first Oriole in the top performers
list. They had some players with terrific seasons. Some people have
suggested Morneau for MVP, but I don’t see it.
Youkilis是个非常优秀的球员,在联盟OPD的排名中位于第五名,而Huff则是第七名,
他是金莺在这份名单中的第一个球员,他们有些打者有着非常棒的一个球季。有些人认
为Morneau会是MVP,但我实在不这么认为。
Second Base
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
D.Pedroia BOS 2B 8.70 18.88 27.58
I.Kinsler TEX 2B -0.44 26.29 25.85
B.Roberts BAL 2B 0.49 23.46 23.95
Pedroia is the best second baseman after his hot streak. It’s hard to say
if he’ll be there on October 3rd. His defense gives him an edge, but
Roberts and Kinsler are better hitters and Pedroia could lose ground there
quickly. He does have lots of home games, so we’ll see. Pedroia is 8th in
the AL, three slots behind his teammate Youkilis. I don’t think he’s the
MVP. And Roberts - another Oriole.
经过最近火热的表现,Pedroia成为了二垒手的第一名,很难说他在十月三号后还在这里
,他的守备是他的优势,但Roberts和Kinsler是较好的打者,Pedroia将很快失去领先地
位。但他还有许多的主场比赛,所以我们可以持续观察。Pedroia是美联的第8名,落后队
友Youkilis三名。我不觉得他会是MVP。还有Roberts-这份名单上的第二个金莺球员。
Shortstop
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
M.Scutaro TOR SS 12.38 7.11 19.49
M.Aviles KCR SS 2.85 14.24 17.10
D.Jeter NYY SS -0.09 11.72 11.62
Marco Scutaro is getting an eight run boost playing defense all around the
diamond, so the real leader here is Aviles. Look at Derek Jeter being
average at defense! You go, Derek
Marco Scutaro因为全能的守备因此加了8分,所以真正的领先者其实是Aviles。看看
Jeter的守备分数吧,Derek得加油了。
Third Base
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
A.Rodriguez NYY 3B -3.28 34.73 31.45
A.Beltre SEA 3B 13.94 6.23 20.17
C.Guillen DET 3B 9.34 10.46 19.80
E.Longoria TBR 3B 0.12 19.60 19.72
It turns out that Alex Rodriguez is a superior player. His defense isn’t
good, but close to average. Adrian Beltre is giving the Mariners what they
paid for this year. A great glove and a good bat. What? His OPS+ is 109?
That sounds about right. Evan Longoria chased up the charts pretty good.
ARod is number four on the AL OPD chart.
结果显示A-Rod是个十分卓越的打者。他的守备分数虽然不高,但接近平均。Beltre给了
水手他们希望看到的成绩,优秀的防守和好的打击。什么?他的OPS+是109?这听起来似乎
是真的。Longoria靠着非常好的打击紧追在后。A-Rod是美联的第四名。
Catcher
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
J.Mauer MIN C 3.15 29.25 32.39
K.Shoppach CLE C 5.07 14.14 19.21
Joe Mauer is just a great player. Too bad he’s too tall to be good for very
long. That injury to Victor Martinez is positively Bledsoe-ian. At the end
of the page, I extended the top twenty to twenty-two so I could capture
Scutaro and Shoppach. Just a little recognition for players that couldn’t
possibly be getting the attention they deserve. Mauer is third in teh AL MVP
race, and still seeing his teammate get the most attention.
Mauer是个伟大的球员,但他成绩好到无法维持太久。最后的名单我扩充到了前22名,这样
才能让Scutaro和Shoppach进榜。只是对这些没得到应有注意的球员一个小小的表扬。
Mauer是美联的第三名,但获得最多注意的仍是他的队友。
Left Field
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
C.Quentin CHW LF -0.90 29.77 28.88
L.Scott BAL LF 8.78 13.63 22.40
J.Damon NYY LF -2.40 22.53 20.13
Carlos Quentin and Luke Scott. Who? What? Quentin is 6th in the league in
OPD, and really been just tremendous all year. Here’s the third Oriole.
How is that team so bad?
Quentin和Luke Scott。谁?什么?Quentin是联盟的第六名,而且真的持续让我们惊艳了
一整年。这里又出现了另一名金莺球员了。这球队到底为什么战绩会这么糟?
Right Field
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
M.Bradley TEX RF -1.96 36.06 34.10
N.Markakis BAL RF -2.65 25.56 22.91
The old dinosaur Milton Bradley is having a great year. Not being
body-slammed by your coach is helpful. Bradley has the second highest OPD in
the AL, but I don’t suspect he’ll see any MVP votes. And another Oriole.
Bradley有着美好的一年,没有被你的教练揍果然有帮助。Bradley有着美联第二高的OPD
不过我想他在MVP票选上不会拿到票。这里又出现另一个金莺球员了。
Center Field
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
G.Sizemore CLE CF 9.27 35.47 44.74
C.Grandersn DET CF 1.01 22.66 23.67
J.Hamilton TEX CF -4.57 25.03 20.47
Josh Hamilton will get the Texas MVP votes because he has the story, and he’
s really helped my fantasy baseball this sason (as has Bradley). Curtis
Granderson is having a great season as well. But the league MVP should be
Grady Sizemore (if not Cliff Lee). Sizemore has been everything a player can
be - top hitter in the league and the best defensive center fielder. That’s
a great player. the Indians are staging a furious, albeit futile, comeback,
so perhaps he will get some votes.
Hamilton会拿到游骑兵的MVP因为他的故事,还有他在我这季FB上贡献良多。Granderson
也有着一个非常棒的球技。但联盟的MVP应该是Sizemore(假如不是Lee的话)。Sizemore
拥有任何一个打者所能拿到的头衔。联盟顶尖的打击者和最好的中外野手。他真是个伟大
的球员。印地安人正上演着猛烈但希望渺小的反攻,所以他应该会拿到一些票。
The Top Twenty (Two)
Player Name Team Primary DRS XRa+ OPD
G.Sizemore CLE CF 9.27 35.47 44.74
M.Bradley TEX RF -1.96 36.06 34.10
J.Mauer MIN C 3.15 29.25 32.39
A.Rodriguez NYY 3B -3.28 34.73 31.45
K.Youkilis BOS 1B 6.37 23.15 29.52
C.Quentin CHW LF -0.90 29.77 28.88
A.Huff BAL 1B -3.86 31.99 28.12
D.Pedroia BOS 2B 8.70 18.88 27.58
I.Kinsler TEX 2B -0.44 26.29 25.85
J.Morneau MIN 1B -1.30 25.30 24.00
B.Roberts BAL 2B 0.49 23.46 23.95
C.Grandersn DET CF 1.01 22.66 23.67
N.Markakis BAL RF -2.65 25.56 22.91
L.Scott BAL LF 8.78 13.63 22.40
C.Pena TBR 1B 2.24 19.04 21.28
J.Hamilton TEX CF -4.57 25.03 20.47
A.Beltre SEA 3B 13.94 6.23 20.17
J.Damon NYY LF -2.40 22.53 20.13
C.Guillen DET 3B 9.34 10.46 19.80
E.Longoria TBR 3B 0.12 19.60 19.72
M.Scutaro TOR SS 12.38 7.11 19.49
K.Shoppach CLE C 5.07 14.14 19.21
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-07 22:47:00
哭哭,出现好多金莺球员,这球队到底为什么战绩么糟
作者: rj0222 (蔡虫)   2008-09-07 22:53:00
大概是跟TEX一样的理由吧...
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-07 22:53:00
答案是ERA 团队ERA 5.13 AL只赢条子
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-07 22:58:00
先发只有Guthrie能看,但他只有10W11L
作者: DoMoe (Yippee-ki-yay)   2008-09-07 23:12:00
Mauer、阿肉和优客看起来的确是领先群
作者: kobelan (台湾棒球加油 )   2008-09-07 23:15:00
阿肉在这些精密的计算下的数据都好恐怖...
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-07 23:18:00
别忘了他还缺席20场
作者: richard1003 (Deep Blue )   2008-09-07 23:18:00
A-Rod的恐怖不必算也知
作者: son8868 (晃太)   2008-09-07 23:19:00
这篇的重点是酸BAL XDD
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-07 23:19:00
就跟Pujols一样
作者: richard1003 (Deep Blue )   2008-09-07 23:20:00
金鸟暑假去补投手吧.....
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-07 23:23:00
我觉得 Daniel Cabrera快不行了控球一直练不好
作者: abing75907   2008-09-07 23:26:00
鬼帝啦 鬼帝FOR MVP!!
作者: KoAnne (Keep!!!!)   2008-09-07 23:32:00
Lee不知道会不会抢到几张票~
作者: stk11 (yeah)   2008-09-07 23:52:00
C.Guillen竟然也在名单中!
作者: BatmanII (蝙蝠侠二世)   2008-09-07 23:56:00
配额吹!!
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-08 00:30:00
KING可是水兵胜投最多的了
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-08 00:31:00
推错篇= =
作者: a5896 (枫)   2008-09-08 00:42:00
金鸟真的是
作者: richard1003 (Deep Blue )   2008-09-08 00:59:00
团队ERA 5.13就是说全队投手比Ponson还不如XD
作者: lovemost (螃蟹)   2008-09-08 01:08:00
人家好歹今天QS...
作者: raygod (...)   2008-09-08 01:20:00
阿肉的防守回不来了?

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