Salvador Perez Contract Breakdown
by Jeff Zimmerman on Feb 28, 2012 12:15 AM ES
Salvador Perez signed a 5 year deal with the Royals yesterday for $7M with 3
club option years that total up to $19.75M. Here are his base salaries and
incentive total:
Year 1: $0.75M
Year 2: $1M
Year 3: $1.5M
Year 4: $1.75M
Year 5: $2M
Year 6: $3.75M - option
Year 7: $5M - option
Year 8: $6M - option
$5M in unknown incentives
To begin with, the Royals would have to pay Perez ~$0.5M for Years 1, 2 and
3, for a total of $1.5M without even signing the extension. The Royals are
basically paying $5.5M for years 4 and 5 of his contract which was $0.5M less
than the Royals paid for Kendall's 2 years of service.
To determine how much value Perez needs to produce in those two guaranteed
years, a few assumptions need to be made. Around 3 years from now, the dollar
cost for each free agent WAR a player produces should be around $6M to $7M
(assume $6M to be conservative). In year 4 of the cost controlled years, a
player usually makes 40% of the free agent $/WAR value and 60% in year 5. The
Royals just need Perez to produce over 1 WAR in those 2 years to break even.
In 39 games in 2011, he produced 1.4 fWAR or 1.1 rWAR. Bryan Pena was able to
squeak out 0.5 fWAR in 2011 with a rather disappointing 0.625 OPS. Unless
Perez is completely unable to take the field in years 4 and 5, this deal has
almost no downside. With the $/WAR near the $6M to $7M range at the end of
the contract, the Royals can easily break even if he is near or above 1 WAR
for the 3 option years.
The chances for upside do exist. Here is a look at how some people project
him. Oliver projections at the Hardball Times projects him with 0.8 WAR in
2012 and going up to 1.4 in 2013. The Fans at Fangraphs, which have similar
number to ZiPS, have him at 3.3 WAR for 2012. Generally, projection systems
place him around the 2 WAR/season value.
http://www.royalsreview.com/2012/2/28/2829816/salvador-perez-contract-breakdown?ref=yahoo
皇家八年约(五年外加后三年选择权)绑住现年21岁 去年季中登上MLB的新秀捕手
出赛39场 148个打数 49支安打(8支2B 2支3B) 缴出3HR 21RBI的成绩
三围(0.331/0.361/0.473)
跟光芒龙哥&Moore好像啊...这情况会变普遍吗(小市场球队比较会发生)