课程名称：外交决策分析
课程性质：略
课程范围：略
开课教师：黄奎博
开课学院：国际事务学院
开课系级：外交三
考试日期(年月日)：2015.11.19
考试时限(Mins)：120分钟
附注：无
试题本文：
一、Multiple choices questions(each answer will have one or more correct choices)40%
1.( )Who is/are not noted for the study of organization behavior?1.James March 2.Donald MacKenzie 3.Harold Sprout 4. Herbert Simon
2.( )Who is/are famous for his/her/their psycological approach to the study of foreign policy decision?1.Margret Hermann 2.Jonathan Wilkenfeld 3.Karl Deutsch 4.Zbigniew Brzezinski
3.( )Who in 1966 provided a "pre-theories and theories" article that inspired the other researchers for tje importance of theorizing foreign policy decision?1.Michael Brecher 2.James Rosenau 3.Charles Kegley 4.Robert Jervis
4.( )The analysts put themselves in the place of the nation or givernment in order to examine the strategic characteristics of the problem when facing a puzzling government action. This is best called as 1.vicarious problem solving 2.empirical rationality 3.rational choice 4. content analysis
5.( )As the rational actor model is applied, in the "thinnest" case with the least informational,the agent(state) is called 1.notional state 2.generic state 3.identified state 4. personified state
6.( )The core concept of a rational action could include, 1.Goals>Consequences>Alternatives>Choice 2.Goals>Alternatives>Consequences>Choice 3.Goals>Choices>Consequences>Alternatives 4.Goals>Alternatives>Choices>Consequences
7.( )Identify the correct statements regarding the Organizational Behavior Model. 1.Dramatic organizational change occurs in response to major disasters. 2.Both learning and change are influenced by existing organizational capabilities and procedures 3.Organizational as loosely formulated units amount to tendencies which can be held more or less. 4.Organizations create capabilities for achieving humanly chosen purposes and performing tasks that would otherwise be impossible.
8.( )Identify the argument(s) possibly made by skeptics of good judgment in foreign policy decision-making. 1.Even the most well-executed desicion process cannot guarantee a satisfactory outcome. 2. Good judgment is impossible because decision-making cannot think critically. 3.It is best for leaders to stay focused on the geopolitical forces that influence the relative power of states in the global arena. 4.It is much more to luck than wisdom that a good decision process results in a satisfactory outcome.
二、Explanation of Terms(choose 2 out of 3 questions)30%
1.Decision Frame
2.Operational code
3.Poliheuristic theory
三、Essay Quesion 40%
In Graham Allison and Philip Zellikow's Essence of Decision, what is the basic unit of analsis of Organizational Behavior Model(OBM)? What is their explain about it? In OBM's orgnaizing concepts, among others, they wouch upon "special capacities and culture" and "action as organizational output". Explain and elaborate on them.