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2014-11-29 17:02:57※ 引述《hunterqiji (hunter)》之铭言：
: http://tinyurl.com/pd2spfq
: The Blue Jays have struck a deal to acquire third baseman Josh Donaldson from the Athletics, according to Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports (Twitter links). Infielder Brett Lawrie, righty Kendall Graveman, and shortstop Franklin Barreto are part of the package going back. Prospect Sean Nolin is also in the deal, Jeff Passan of Yahoo Sports tweets.
: This deal’s franchise-changing implications are evident on its face. Donaldson, 28, and Lawrie, 24, have each been viewed as cornerstone third basemen for their respective clubs.
: MLB: Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays
: Donaldson is, of course, the best piece moving in this swap and one of the more valuable commodities in all of baseball. A late bloomer, he had emerged as one of the game’s very best position players over the last two seasons. Collectively, he has slashed .277/.363/.477 with 53 home runs and 13 stolen bases over 1,262 plate appearances since the start of 2013. With stellar defense included, Donaldson has racked up 15.4 rWAR and 14.1 fWAR in that span.
: Projected by Matt Swartz/MLBTR to earn $4.5MM in his Super Two season of arbitration eligibility, Donaldson was just starting off on a track to become rather pricey. But he comes with four seasons of control, and will unquestionably be paid less than his anticipated worth on the diamond.
: Though significantly younger, Lawrie comes with one less year of control. He is, however, projected to take home just $1.8MM this season and will therefore also have a much lower starting point for his next two seasons of earnings.
: On the other hand, he has yet to match Donaldson’s output in spite of his own, oft-noted ability. Over his first three-plus seasons in the bigs, Lawrie owns a .265/.323/.426 slash (good for a 104 OPS+) and has generally drawn solid-to-outstanding reviews on his defensive work. Injuries have limited his time on the field over each of the last two seasons, but Lawrie has generally performed at a well-above-average clip when healthy.
: The other pieces involved are, of course, responsible for making up the gap in value between Donaldson and Lawrie. Barreto could be the hidden gem in the package, with Ben Badler of Baseball America noting on Twitter that the 18-year-old was the top July 2 prospect of two years prior and is probably at top-100 level player at this point.
: 豆爷送出Donaldson,拿到Lawrie+右投Graveman+SS Barreto+左投Nolin.
: Graveman名列BA 2014 all-star team.
: Barreto是2014季前蓝鸟农场排名第5.
: Nolin是2014季前BA蓝鸟农场排名第10.
: 不知道这个交易moneyball是如何考虑的呢?
我是这样看的，如果Brett Lawrie健康，那这个交易的赢家就是豆爷。Josh
Donaldson是卖在最高点，将要29岁且越来越贵的的Donaldson换来24岁(明年
一月25岁)又能已相对便宜的代价使用好几年的二垒手/三垒手Brett Lawrie，
而Brett Lawrie只要能保持健康他会是个很不错的内野手。
剩下的配菜
Sean Nolin与Kendall Graveman：好一点的话会是中段轮值天份的先发投手。
重点还是明年开季应该能立即使用，这样
水准的配菜可说是豪华了...
Franklin Barreto：多年期的IFA顶级新秀。身材有点太小支，但是他是有机会
留在游击区，有好的速度而且天份也有打出来。能够弥补
失去Addison Russell所产生的游击空缺。
其实这个交易让我想到当初Rich Harden的交易。交易的三年内大概整个大联盟
都认为豆爷输到脱裤子，直到这个交易的主角Josh Donaldson长出来。这次得到
曾经的顶级新秀，这个顶级新秀健康的话能在大联盟贡献给20发起跳的全垒打，
还有好的选球与不错的二垒或是三垒防守功夫。我不认为拿到可能成为牛棚投手
的Aaron Sanchez或是未来的二、三号先发Daniel Norris的主菜包裹会是更好的
选择。
嗯....听说运动家还打算卖鲨鱼换棒子........
作者: soilstone (imk) 2014-11-29 23:16:00
Donaldson 还可以比 Lowrie 多用一年，蓝鸟没送到顶级的prospect，就换到一个可以更好、更健康、可以用更久的三垒手了。只看这笔交易，不懂为什么绿帽为什么一定较要今年做这笔交易，觉得明年在换不见得会换到比较差的包裹，还是之后会绿帽会把几名投手交易掉，所以需要交易几个即战力投手来补轮值? > <