这篇文章我觉得很有问题,Dave Cameron多半的文章是逻辑很清楚很好的,
但三不五时会跑出这种一厢情愿的调调,FG有作者相当熟悉亚洲棒球
但他可能不算在内。
就看底下最多like的一篇回应
I don’t see any of them is outperforming expectation either. Most scouting
reports believe Darvish is an Ace, and Ryu and Chen could be a solid No3, and
Uehara could be a No5 or effective RP if they can overcome mental and culture
challenge.
Iwakuma and Kuroda are different cases from others. They are not the same
pitchers as they were in Japan. They didn’t, or almost all the pitchers in
Japan don’t throw 2-seamer. They learned and master 2-seamer in the US at
age 30+. That is something too unusual to blame on scouts. Tazawa is absolute
a US farm product. Except for race, I don’t see any points you should group
him with the others in the list.
For success rate, the cost of bringing a player from Asian is much higher
than from anywhere in America. That’s why clubs only sign elite players, and
that’s why it is not fair to compare 9 elite players with the entire
population of minor leaguers in terms of success rate. I don’t think any
clubs underrates players in Asia. It is the cost issue to make the clubs only
bring truly outstanding players. The cost issue is due to these three
countries are all economic-developed and have their own, mature professional
baseball league.
我不认为这当中的任何一个人算是超出期待。多数的球探报告认为达比修是个王牌,
柳跟陈可以当个很不错的三号,上原会是五号或者很好的RP,如果他们都能克服心理
跟文化上的冲击的话。
岩熊跟黑田是不一样的情形。他们两个都不是当初在日本的那个投手。他们,或者几乎
所有的日本投手都不丢二缝线。他们在三十多岁的年纪学会并且熟练二缝线,这是一个
太不寻常的状况,不能因此责怪球探。田泽完全是个美国农作物,除了他的种族,我看
不出任何把他跟其他人放在同一个群组的点。
至于成功率,从亚洲带投手过来比起从美洲贵上太多,这是为什么球团只会签顶级选手
,这也是为什么你拿这九个顶级选手跟整个小联盟的样本去比成功率是不公平的。我不
认为有任何球团低估了亚洲投手,只是因为成本的关系让他们只愿意签顶级选手。成本
的问题则是因为这三个国家都是已发展,并且有成熟的职棒体系。