http://tinyurl.com/b7wwj33
Leaving aside completely the minor leaguers in the trade,
we might now ask this question: Would you rather have Justin
Upton for the next three seasons at $38.5 million, or Martin
Prado for the next four seasons at $40 million?
把交易内的小联盟球员放在一边，我们来问一个问题：
Justin Upton 三年 $38.5M (24y-27y)
Martin Prado 四年 $40M (28y-32y)
Dochi?
I mean, you have to love Upton's potential and Wins Above
Replacement isn't everything, but I would have to think long
and hard about that one. FanGraphs has Prado worth around $65
million over the last four seasons; considering both age-related
decline and natural salary inflation, doesn't $40 million for the
next four seasons seem like a pretty good deal? Meanwhile,
FanGraphs has Upton worth $52 million over the last three seasons;
at $38.5 over the next three, he also seems a pretty good deal.
我的意义是，你可以爱上Upton的潜力，而且WAR不是全部。
但这个问题我用力思考了很久。
Fangraph认为过去四个球季Prado的价值是大概$65M，以考虑了年纪因素相关的退化，
与薪资的通膨，之后四年$40M的这张合约看起来很棒不是吗？
同时Fangraph认为过去三年Upton值$52M, 然后有着三年$38.5M的合约，
看起来也是很棒的合约。
As someone pointed out in the comments, Randall Delgado is more than a
"marginal prospect". If he pitches well for the Diamondbacks, they could
easily "win" this trade.
就像是有人在回复内说的，Delgado不只是个边缘的小朋友，如果在蛇蛇那投的好，
蛇蛇很轻松地就可以赢这笔交易。
ps
这个作者之前有另一篇文章
http://tinyurl.com/byvz9mf
Braves win Diamondbacks' outfielder sweepstakes
又如果想要攻击作者这样引用数据有问题，
请考虑作者的生涯一开始是在Bill James下面工作，
之后去STATS,INC与ESPN.com