楼主:
aseans (guest lecturer)
2020-11-03 13:43:58民调看佛州跟宾州就够了
理由很简单,上次2016如果这两州都被希拉蕊拿下
那2016结局就会翻转(但当时希拉蕊这两州运气很差输1%)。
(一)佛州
1.AYTM
Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 517 L.V.
Biden +2
45-43
2.Quinnipiac University
Oct. 28-Nov. 1, 1,657 L.V.
Biden +5
47-42
3.Ipsos
Oct. 27-Nov. 1, 670 L.V.
Biden +4
51-47
4.Frederick Polls
Oct. 30-31, 768 L.V
Biden +2
51-49
5.Morning Consult
Oct. 22-31, 4,451 L.V.
Biden +7
52-45
(二)宾州
1.Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.
Nov. 1-2, 499 L.V.
Trump +1
48-49
2.Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 800 L.V.
Biden +3
50-47
3.AYTM
Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 340 L.V.
Biden +2
51-49
4.Marist College
Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 772 L.V.
Biden +5
51-46
5.Monmouth University
Oct. 28-Nov. 1, 502 L.V.
Biden +6
51-45
6.Frederick Polls
Oct. 30-31, 879 L.V.
Biden +4
52-48
7.Trafalgar Group
Oct. 30-31, 1,062 L.V.
Trump +2
46-48
8.Morning Consult
Oct. 22-31, 2,686 L.V.
Biden +9
52-43
============================
结论:八卦乡民可以开始调整心情转向拜登了。