The creatorof Dilbert Scott Adams posted a blog about Donald Trump's phone call with the President of Taiwan that was praised by conservatives and severely triggered liberals. Adams sees Trump as a Master Persuader and paving the way to a more peaceful relationship with China. "I explain Trump's Taiwan call through the Master Persuader Filter," writes Adams:
著名漫画“呆伯特”的作者Scott Adams在他的网志po了篇文,关于川普最近与台湾总统的一通电话为何被保守党赞扬且让其他人吱吱叫。Adams认为川普为“说服大师”,且能与中国之间铺上一条和平大道。‘我将使用说服大师分辨法来解释川普与台湾通电这件事’Adams写道。
Was this a mistake by Trump? If you look at this call through the filter of normal politics it is clearly a mistake. It provokes the Chinese leadership and gains nothing obvious in return. The media is reporting this event as exactly the sort of thing that leads to nuclear annihilation.
川普踏错步下错棋了吗?如果你只以一般政治眼光来看的话,他显然是犯错了。此举触动了中国的领导阶层且没有任何显著的回报。媒体也认为这件事将导致大核平时代。
This is the same mainstream media that got everything wrong about Trump for the past year. But if you look at this situation through the filter of a Master Persuader, it makes perfect sense. Trump is “setting the table” for future negotiations with China.
但这也是过去一年来一直搞错川普的主流媒体意见。如果你透过“说服大师分辨法”来看,这步棋是再适合不过了。川普正在为未来与中国之间的谈判布局。
He just subtracted something from China’s brand that they value, and later he will negotiate with them to maybe give it back in some fashion. Probably in return for some trade concessions. But what about the risk? Does it ever make sense to poke a nuclear power?
他只是先拿走一些中国所看重的东西,晚一点就可以以此逼迫中国用别的方式来换,有可能是经济贸易上的让步。但是这么做没风险吗?触动大核平时代真的没问题吗?
In this case, probably yes. As I have said in this blog before, China’s leadership is both mature and competent. Many of them have engineering degrees. They understand what Trump is doing, and none of it is a path to war because neither side has any interest in war. None. Zero.
以这件事来说,十有八九没问题。我之前在网志中就写过,中国的领导阶级相当成熟且有能力,不少人是理工宅宅。他们明白川普在打什么算盘,更何况双方都不想打仗,因此这一切都不会导致战争。不会,就酱。