: 其实蛮多研究都有表明少子化和房价高低没有高度关联,讲直白一点,一直喊著
: 因为房价高买不起房所以不生小孩导致少子化的,多半都是替自己找借口而已...
: 在这个世代...
: 或许你只是想享受人生不想养小孩不生,所以拿高房价来档
: 或许是你想买的房 > 可负担的能力,拿高房价少子化来掩饰自己能力不够或欲望太高
: 不论是哪种原因,逻辑和是非判断是很重要的,当你深信高房价导致少子化的时候,
: 你可曾问过你自己为什么?
: 还是单纯就只是盲目的接受自己想接受的讯息?
我也来参战一下
先说结论 :房价高低确实会影响生育率
而且房价上升对于尚未买房的人 其生育有负面影响
节录
A low population density, the availability of relatively spacious dwellings,
a surplus of males, a small service sector and low unemployment rates are
associated with higher fertility.
宽敞的住所供应,与较高出生率有关
参考文章
https://doi.org/10.12765/CPoS-2017-07
Yi and Zhang (2010) show that high housing prices significantly dampen the
fertility rate using time-series data in Hong Kong.
高房价削弱香港的出生率
Researchers have found significant evidence supporting causal links between
housing market activities and fertility rates
研究显示 购屋置产相关活动跟生育有因果关系
...our results show that economic benefits associated with homeownership, such
as wealth, tenure security and better quality of space, encourage homeowners
to have more children at the lifetime fertility cycle than renters.However,
the high user costs of owning houses delays the first child birth
age of females
经济优势 例如有房产,有钱, 租约保障 以及较大的生活空间, 促使房屋所有者
在生命周期内 比租房族容易有更多小孩 但是高使用者成本导致买房族比租屋族晚生
Second, we find evidence that family supports when living with parents
and/or siblings increase the fertility rate, in terms of having the first
child at a younger age and also more children at the end of the fertility
cycle.
跟父母家族一起居住者 有更高的生育率以及比较早生
Third, unlike the negative relationships between housing’s user costs and
fertility predicted by the compensated substitutions hypothesis, we find no
significant variations in the fertility behaviours of families with low
(zero) user costs of housing (living in houses bought by parents or
subsidised staff housing) vis-a-vis families, who consume part of their
income for housing rents.
如果房子不用成本 父母赠与或是员工住宅/宿舍
对于生育没有显著负面影响
原文:https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0042098015615742
相关研究还有一堆不逐一赘述
不要再相信不实谣言拉
还蛮想知道原PO 上网发这种文到底是何居心
: 你可曾问过你自己为什么?
: 还是单纯就只是盲目的接受自己想传达不实的讯息?
另 关于房价贵不贵 应该用房价所得比来做参考
对于郭台铭 赵藤雄你问他房价贵不贵 我觉得他会说买不起是你竞争力不够
补充一下 高房价不是少子化的唯一成因
工时拉 薪水 压力 观念 教养 甚至公托不足
等等 但是完全否认房价对于少子化的影响
根本与现实脱节