Re: [心得] 台北地产 开始在跌了!!!!!!!!

楼主: kutkin ( )   2013-12-21 16:13:14
※ 引述《Canadian (lamberjack)》之铭言:
: http://www.sinyi.com.tw/news/article.php/3269
: 北市 新北
: 十一月开始
: 都上不去
: 几乎要开始跌了~~~
: 台北市的价钱 还比上个月 -1.8%
: 如果台北市开始缓跌
: 第一个挂掉的
: 新庄 林口 三峡 ~~~~
: 更不用说 听说一堆人去吵基隆
: 根本价钱是跌停板
这个网站要这样看比较有感觉
2010是炒房的高峰,到了2011 2012 年增率趋缓了 到了今年又增加了
这个可以对照一下房贷余额
文章代码(AID): #1Iho2ItU (home-sale) [ptt.cc] Re: [新闻] 房市转冷? 房贷
房市的多头总是用个骆驼双峰做结尾
年月 台北市 年增率 新北市 年增率 台北地区 年增率
2005_01 123.98 121.31 121.93
2005_02 124.01 122.27 120.48
2005_03 124.93 125.31 122.93
2005_04 124.33 124.47 122.27
2005_05 125.2 124.44 122.32
2005_06 127.44 125.71 124.42
2005_07 126.98 124.89 122.35
2005_08 126.11 125.04 122.15
2005_09 129.85 129.41 125.95
2005_10 131.61 128.7 128.05
2005_11 131.39 128.74 126.09
2005_12 134.45 136.32 131.42
2006_01 134.95 9% 133.91 10% 132.07 8%
2006_02 137.93 11% 134.27 10% 132.66 10%
2006_03 132.68 6% 133.06 6% 127.96 4%
2006_04 133.44 7% 132.32 6% 128.14 5%
2006_05 132.46 6% 133.8 8% 126.13 3%
2006_06 142.86 12% 142.28 13% 136.33 10%
2006_07 143.94 13% 140.98 13% 135.28 11%
2006_08 143.89 14% 139.57 12% 133.76 10%
2006_09 153.07 18% 144.62 12% 144.63 15%
2006_10 155.38 18% 143.86 12% 147.56 15%
2006_11 151.68 15% 143.05 11% 142.6 13%
2006_12 154.51 15% 148.65 9% 146.39 11%
2007_01 156.21 16% 148.57 11% 145.75 10%
2007_02 156.54 13% 148.25 10% 144.73 9%
2007_03 161.67 22% 148.22 11% 148.86 16%
2007_04 160.01 20% 149.89 13% 145.95 14%
2007_05 160.59 21% 150.21 12% 150.54 19%
2007_06 166.91 17% 156.36 10% 152.53 12%
2007_07 164.13 14% 154.68 10% 150.77 11%
2007_08 164.23 14% 153.81 10% 149.1 11%
2007_09 162.55 6% 146.49 1% 152.06 5%
2007_10 161.67 4% 147.95 3% 152.12 3%
2007_11 162.18 7% 146.72 3% 152.21 7%
2007_12 161.89 5% 146.89 -1% 147.72 1%
2008_01 161.83 4% 147.13 -1% 146.15 0%
2008_02 163.42 4% 147.27 -1% 144.1 0%
2008_03 178.28 10% 154.79 4% 163.2 10%
2008_04 180.45 13% 155.17 4% 164.45 13%
2008_05 179.55 12% 157.09 5% 166.32 10%
2008_06 179.16 7% 159.94 2% 157.63 3%
2008_07 180.55 10% 158.18 2% 157.28 4%
2008_08 181.72 11% 158.21 3% 159.36 7%
2008_09 171.21 5% 154.04 5% 155.68 2%
2008_10 170.75 6% 154.33 4% 155.33 2%
2008_11 172.7 6% 155.07 6% 157.06 3%
2008_12 164.7 2% 146.6 0% 153.56 4%
2009_01 167.21 3% 147.84 0% 155.61 6%
2009_02 166.54 2% 147.58 0% 157.98 10%
2009_03 169.68 -5% 152.3 -2% 153.62 -6%
2009_04 172.03 -5% 150.25 -3% 150.7 -8%
2009_05 170.61 -5% 149.67 -5% 148.68 -11%
2009_06 179.27 0% 158.17 -1% 161.51 2%
2009_07 178.53 -1% 157.58 0% 161.69 3%
2009_08 176.7 -3% 158.61 0% 159.93 0%
2009_09 188.46 10% 167.41 9% 163.03 5%
2009_10 187.14 10% 166.89 8% 160.9 4%
2009_11 188.66 9% 164.22 6% 162.99 4%
2009_12 203.83 24% 176.57 20% 175.1 14%
2010_01 201.95 21% 177.94 20% 173.51 12%
2010_02 202.85 22% 178.44 21% 174.76 11%
2010_03 214.73 27% 178.37 17% 179.45 17%
2010_04 216.9 26% 179.46 19% 181.46 20%
2010_05 212.86 25% 179.47 20% 177.41 19%
2010_06 216 20% 184.3 17% 179.5 11%
2010_07 214.7 20% 184.09 17% 179.84 11%
2010_08 215.26 22% 183.28 16% 178.75 12%
2010_09 222.54 18% 197.25 18% 186.97 15%
2010_10 221.5 18% 189.56 14% 189 17%
2010_11 225.63 20% 194.32 18% 187.37 15%
2010_12 233.07 14% 199.08 13% 198.17 13%
2011_01 228.31 13% 202.72 14% 192.52 11%
2011_02 231.47 14% 204.05 14% 194.34 11%
2011_03 237.79 11% 208.7 17% 204.94 14%
2011_04 238.14 10% 209.5 17% 205.05 13%
2011_05 235.91 11% 211.73 18% 204.44 15%
2011_06 238.01 10% 210.7 14% 202.6 13%
2011_07 233.51 9% 210.25 14% 196 9%
2011_08 237.37 10% 212.5 16% 201.06 12%
2011_09 239.22 7% 219.03 11% 197.89 6%
2011_10 240.93 9% 213.61 13% 197.58 5%
2011_11 244.81 9% 219.76 13% 203.93 9%
2011_12 247.8 6% 220.56 11% 207.92 5%
2012_01 248.7 9% 218.7 8% 210.11 9%
2012_02 236.89 2% 215.43 6% 199.3 3%
2012_03 247.95 4% 222.02 6% 206.73 1%
2012_04 249.58 5% 231.72 11% 206.48 1%
2012_05 254.45 8% 221.09 4% 206.63 1%
2012_06 251.15 6% 229.19 9% 204.46 1%
2012_07 249.31 7% 230.43 10% 212.19 8%
2012_08 253.01 7% 229.87 8% 203.13 1%
2012_09 258.44 8% 234.24 7% 211.13 7%
2012_10 256.74 7% 232.33 9% 212.24 7%
2012_11 254.56 4% 233.2 6% 208.31 2%
2012_12 253.48 2% 242.93 10% 213.12 3%
2013_01 264.26 6% 241.15 10% 216.32 3%
2013_02 269.5 14% 249.27 16% 225.08 13%
2013_03 264.32 7% 248.21 12% 219.51 6%
2013_04 270.53 8% 253.64 9% 224.58 9%
2013_05 279.17 10% 253.57 15% 233.21 13%
2013_06 278.91 11% 260.56 14% 227.7 11%
2013_07 280.73 13% 258.05 12% 226.74 7%
2013_08 277.76 10% 266.94 16% 226.09 11%
2013_09 285.73 11% 266.03 14% 231.99 10%
2013_10 291.75 14% 269.13 16% 236.78 12%
2013_11 286.51 13% 269.34 15% 232.54 12%
作者: Fugax (Last Regrets)   2013-02-21 16:53:00
房仲直接喊井喷就对了
作者: inyo (@_@)   2013-02-21 17:18:00
骆驼双峰是啥鬼 M头啦 但是有可能变三尊头喔XD
作者: ArgusX (阿加斯.艾克斯)   2013-02-21 18:53:00
头更多又变区间震荡整理
作者: WashBoy (2015 VR46 WC)   2013-02-21 19:18:00
骆驼双峰? 听不懂也看不懂 但是好像很厉害 就给个推吧
作者: zball (QQ)   2013-02-21 19:22:00
可以的话 也拉出逐年逐月交易量看看 看看交易量有多"热络"?
作者: WashBoy (2015 VR46 WC)   2013-02-21 19:40:00
http://ppt.cc/O78p 北市近十年数据 期待板上高手解说
作者: creulfact (小黑)   2013-02-21 20:03:00
没用啦 她会跟妳说 因为奢侈税的关系 所以大家都不能卖但是推案量达到新高 道是连提都不提
作者: KrisNYC (Kris)   2013-02-21 21:28:00
讲得出M头三尊头还附这么多数据不敢不推...
作者: zball (QQ)   2013-02-22 01:26:00
交易量起跌年是08年啊 奢侈税那年只是让交易信心更低迷而已
作者: roseritter (满城皆带闪光弹)   2013-02-22 23:33:00
有数据就推了

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