先整理一下目前已经宣布(有些在立法中)禁售燃油车时间表的国家或地区有哪些：
荷兰：2025年
挪威：2025年
德国：2030年
法国：2040年
英国：2040年(苏格兰自行提出要提前至2032年)
印度：2030年(有另一说是2032年)
9月8日~10日在天津召开的2017中国汽车产业发展国际论坛上，
中国工信部副部长辛国斌透露，
正在与其它监理机构合作制定禁止燃油车生产以及销售的时间表。
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虽然某奇瑞高层表示，像中国这样大的市场，
要完全禁止燃油车销售时间表会比较晚，应该会晚于2040年。
不过个人觉得比较早跟比较晚对燃油车来说只是死刑跟死缓的差别
以一款车的生命周期约8~10年来说
时间表一出汽车厂商们就会提前至少8~10年完全取消燃油车新车款的开发
转而全力投入电动车
之前宣布要禁售燃油车的国家目前只能算是中小型市场
像中国这样的大市场而且还有高度成长空间的国家一但宣布出禁售时间表
那意义会完全不同~
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https://goo.gl/FcVyvX
China Fossil Fuel Deadline Shifts Focus to Electric Car Race
China will set a deadline for automakers to end sales of fossil-fuel-powered
vehicles, becoming the biggest market to do so in a move that will accelerate
the push into the electric car market led by companies including BYD Co. and
BAIC Motor Corp.
Xin Guobin, the vice minister of industry and information technology, said
the government is working with other regulators on a timetable to end
production and sales. The move will have a profound impact on the environment
and growth of China’s auto industry, Xin said at an auto forum in Tianjin on
Saturday.
The world’s second-biggest economy, which has vowed to cap its carbon
emissions by 2030 and curb worsening air pollution, is the latest to join
countries such as the U.K. and France seeking to phase out vehicles using
gasoline and diesel. The looming ban on combustion-engine automobiles will
goad both local and global automakers to focus on introducing more
zero-emission electric cars to help clean up smog-choked major cities.
“The implementation of the ban for such a big market like China can be later
than 2040,” said Liu Zhijia, an assistant general manager at Chery
Automobile Co., the country’s biggest passenger car exporter that unveiled a
new line for upscale battery-powered and plug-in hybrid models at the
Frankfurt motor show last week. “That will leave plenty of time for everyone
to prepare.”
China Smashes EV Rankings as Germany Worries Over Diesel: BNEF
BYD, China’s largest electric-vehicle maker, gained as much as 7.2 percent
to HK$50.65 while BAIC advanced as much as 2.9 percent to HK$7.09 in Hong
Kong trading. Guoxuan High-Tech Co., an EV battery manufacturer, rose as much
as 5.3 percent to 33.70 yuan in Shenzhen.
While many global manufacturers from billionaire Elon Musk’s Tesla Inc. to
Nissan Motor Co. and General Motors Co. are racing to grab a slice of the
electric-vehicle market in China, it is the local manufacturers that have
found considerable success thanks to generous government subsidies.
Leading the Pack
Warren Buffett-backed BYD led the pack in sales in the first seven months of
this year, delivering 46,855 electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, according
to the China Passenger Car Association. Beijing Electric Vehicle, the EV
division of state-owned BAIC Motor, followed with 36,084 units. In
comparison, General Motors has sold 738 cars run on electricity since it
launched the Velite 5 plug-in hybrid model at the Shanghai auto show this
April. That is 0.04 percent of its 2.1 million vehicles sold in total in
China during the seven months.
Besides subsidies that also are aimed at meeting the strategic goal of
cutting expensive oil imports, the government plans to require automakers to
earn enough credits or buy them from competitors with a surplus under a new
cap-and-trade program for fuel economy and emissions.
Honda Motor Co. will bring its electric car for the China market in 2018,
China Chief Operating Officer Yasuhide Mizuno said at the Tianjin forum. The
Japanese carmaker is developing the vehicle with Chinese joint ventures of
Guangqi Honda Automobile Co. and Dongfeng Honda Automobile Co. and will
create a new brand with them, he said. Nissan, which unveiled an upgraded
model of its Leaf EV last week, said it will introduce the car in China in
2018 or 2019.
Startup Electric SUV
Internet entrepreneur William Li’s Nio will start selling ES8, a
sport-utility vehicle powered only by batteries, in mid-December. The startup
is working with state-owned Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group, which also is
in a venture with Volkswagen AG to introduce an electric SUV next year.
Why Electric Vehicles Are Coming But Not Yet Here: QuickTake Q&A
Tesla said in June that it’s working with the Shanghai government to explore
local manufacturing, a move that would allow it to achieve economies of scale
and bring down manufacturing, labor and shipping costs.
Though Chin has announced its intentions, the process will be complicated and
will take time for all the auto-sector regulators to come up with an
implementation plan, said Zhang Yang, a vice president at Nio. But it will
help set a clear direction for manufacturers, he said on the sidelines of the
Tianjin forum. China has the world’s largest scale of fossil-fuel vehicle
production facilities.
Changing Lane
“This will ask everyone, from energy and technology sectors as well as
traditional automakers, to change to the lane to develop new powertrains,’’
said Zhang. “It’s hard to say who can be the winners at the moment. All of
us should stand the test of speed and endurance in this run.’’
The U.K. said in July it will ban sales of diesel- and gasoline-fueled cars
by 2040, two weeks after France announced a similar plan to reduce air
pollution and meet targets to keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius
(3.6 degrees Fahrenheit). Norway and the Netherlands are considering a more
aggressive way to put an end on fossil fuel cars years earlier than its
European peers.