楼主:
wahaha99 (此方不可长)
2025-02-05 21:25:06原文标题:
US producers, Saudi Arabia resist Trump's push for increased oil production,
WSJ reports
根据《华尔街日报》报道,美国油企与沙特阿拉伯拒绝响应川普增产石油的要求
原文连结:
https://kyivindependent.com/
trump-calls-for-lower-oil-prices-to-
end-ukraine-war-us-producers-reject-expansion-wsj-reports/
https://tinyurl.com/yrmwk2yw
发布时间:
2025 年 2 月 4 日下午 3:50
记者署名:
Tim Zadorozhnyy
原文内容:
American oil producers and Saudi Arabia are pushing back against U.S.
President Donald Trump's call to ramp up oil production, signaling reluctance
to align with his strategy to lower global energy prices, the Wall Street
Journal (WSJ) reported on Feb. 3.
Trump has repeatedly called for lowering oil prices by increasing production,
arguing that undercutting Russia's oil revenue would force Moscow to end its
war against Ukraine.
While major oil companies were among Trump's top campaign donors, their
priority is regulatory relief and long-term market stability rather than an
immediate production surge, sources told the WSJ.
U.S. shale producers have reportedly informed the White House that they do
not plan to expand drilling, despite Trump's rhetoric about boosting output.
Saudi Arabia has also conveyed its reluctance to increase production.
According to the WSJ, Riyadh has privately informed former U.S. officials
that it does not intend to ramp up output, a position that has been passed on
to the current administration.
Speaking via video link at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Jan. 23,
Trump said he would ask the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
(OPEC) to lower oil prices, claiming it would bring an immediate end to the
war in Ukraine.
OPEC, which includes 12 member states, including Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, and
Saudi Arabia, controls about 30% of the global oil supply and can
significantly influence prices through production adjustments.
Trump's energy policy aligns with broader efforts to increase pressure on
Russia's economy. Keith Kellogg, the incoming U.S. peace envoy, told Fox News
on Jan. 24 that stricter measures targeting Russia's oil industry could
weaken the Kremlin's financial standing and force it into negotiations.
Trump has claimed that his team has already held "very serious" discussions
with Russian officials about the war in Ukraine and suggested that he and
Russian President Vladimir Putin could soon take "significant steps" toward
ending the conflict.
Putin said on Jan. 24 that Russia is ready for talks with Trump, whom he
described as having a "pragmatic and trusting" relationship with Moscow.
Reuters reported on Jan. 23 that Putin is increasingly concerned about
Russia's economy, citing five undisclosed sources.
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky has said that Trump could fulfill his
promise to end the war, but only if Ukraine is included in negotiations.
(ChatGPT 4o翻译)
美国油企与沙特阿拉伯对美国总统川普要求提高石油产量的呼吁表示反对,显示出它们
对于配合川普降低全球能源价格策略的意愿不高。《华尔街日报》(WSJ)于2月3日报导
。
川普一再呼吁透过增加石油产量来压低油价,并主张削减俄罗斯的石油收入将迫使莫斯科
结束对乌克兰的战争。
尽管大型石油公司是川普竞选活动的主要金主之一,但消息人士向《华尔街日报》表示,
这些企业的首要目标是放宽监管与维持长期市场稳定,而非立即提高产量。
据报导,美国页岩油生产商已向白宫表明,他们无意扩大钻探规模,尽管川普不断强调增
加产量的重要性。
沙特阿拉伯同样表达了不愿增产的立场。《华尔街日报》引述消息指出,利雅德已私下
告知前美国官员,沙国无意提高产量,并已将此立场传达给现任美国政府。
在1月23日于达沃斯世界经济论坛(WEF)上透过视讯发言时,川普表示,他将要求石油输
出国组织(OPEC)降低油价,并声称这将立即结束乌克兰战争。
OPEC拥有12个成员国,包括伊拉克、伊朗、科威特和沙特阿拉伯,控制着全球约30%的
石油供应,并能透过调整产量大幅影响油价。
川普的能源政策与更广泛的战略一致,旨在加大对俄罗斯经济的压力。即将上任的美国和
平特使基斯·凯洛格(Keith Kellogg)于1月24日对大众新闻(Fox News)表示,更严格
的措施针对俄罗斯石油产业,可能会削弱克里姆林宫的财政状况,迫使其进入谈判。
川普声称,他的团队已经与俄罗斯官员就乌克兰战争进行了“非常严肃”的讨论,并暗示
他与俄罗斯总统普丁可能很快会采取“重大步骤”,以结束这场冲突。
普丁于1月24日表示,俄罗斯已准备好与川普展开谈判,并形容他与川普的关系“务实且
值得信赖”。路透社于1月23日报导称,普丁对俄罗斯经济日益担忧,并援引五位未具名
的消息人士的说法。
乌克兰总统泽伦斯基则表示,川普或许能兑现结束战争的承诺,但前提是乌克兰必须被纳
入谈判之中。
心得/评论:
原华尔街日报文是付费文章, 所以就引用这篇。
这个石油增产计画, 直观上说是针对俄罗斯而来,
所以是由最关心俄乌战争调停的基辅独立报来引述,
但实际上, 川普的所有大招, 都要依托石油降价来达成,
因为川普所有的招式, 都会大幅度加剧通膨,
包括关税壁垒、产业回流政策等。
且已经没有升息这个选项可以用。
美国现在的非高科技企业,
已无法再承担高利息削减的利润。
所以要依托石油降价来压制通膨,
如果石油不能降价, 川普的招式会从七伤拳,
变成实实在在的自爆拳, 把美国炸的体无完肤。
好日子真的要来了...