[外电] 洋基可考虑交易来的先发-以及其代价

楼主: vigilante666 (vigilante666)   2017-12-13 07:55:03
翻译Joel Sherman的文章:
At the press conference Monday to introduce Giancarlo Stanton, Yankees officia
ls already were not only talking about what’s next, but working toward acquir
ing it. This is the organizational DNA: When the Yanks sense they can win, the
y increase their aggression.
在迎接PR99的记者会当天
洋基不仅仅是在讨论下一步该怎么做了
而是已经正在着手进行
真就是洋基的灵魂:
当洋基知道他们可以赢得比赛
他们就会增加他们的侵略性
The goal now is to add a starter or starters while staying under the $197 mill
ion luxury-tax threshold, which became easier to do Tuesday when the Yankees t
raded Chase Headley and his $13 million contract to the Padres along with Brya
n Mitchell for Jabari Blash in what amounted to a salary dump.
洋基的目标很简单:
在补1~2位先发的同时把薪资压在197M以下
而这一切在Headley交易案后似乎比较容易了
把Headley&Mitchell送去教士
纯粹只是为了丢掉那13M的薪资
In their ideal scenario, the Yankees would obtain a starter in the trade marke
t who is due less than $10 million — perhaps shedding a player who makes some
money in the deal to make falling under the threshold easier — and then re-s
ign CC Sabathia for something in the $10 million range.
在洋基理想的状况下
他们希望在交易市场找到薪资小于10M的SP
甚至是在交易中搭上其它球员压低薪资
然后在这情况下与CC签平均10M左右的合约
Let’s say that acquired starter is Pittsburgh’s Gerrit Cole, which would giv
e the Yanks him, Sabathia, Sonny Gray, Jordan Montgomery, Luis Severino and Ma
sahiro Tanaka, with prospects Albert Abreu, Chance Adams and Justus Sheffield
getting close to the majors. That would provide the Yankees a strong, deep rot
ation to go along with a top lineup that now has Stanton plus one of the game
’s best bullpens.
假设交易来的SP是Gerrit Cole好了
这样SP就有Cole、CC、Gray、芒果、Sevy、还有马君
小柠檬还有Abreu、Adams、Sheffield待命
如此一来洋基就算是有一个完整的先发轮值了
还不提加入了PR99的打线和固若金汤的铁牛
So here are some thoughts on where I think the Yankees are looking and what it
might cost to find that starter on the trade market:
以下是个人(Joel)认为洋基该试图交易的SP以及其相对应的交易提案:
1. Cole: The Yankees have done plenty of deals with the Pirates, even while fi
nding it difficult to find common ground. But there already is a framework for
this deal. Cole and Gray came up the same year (2013), they both are free age
nts after the 2019 campaign and they have somewhat similar track records.
1. Cole: 洋基和海盗之间做过许多交易、即便这笔交易距离成型还很远。但是至少有一
个大致的框架可以参考。Cole和Gray都是13年上大柠檬的,2019年后会成为FA,更重要的
是两人成绩相去不远。
Last July the Yankees sent Dustin Fowler, James Kaprielian and Jorge Mateo for
Gray — and Fowler and Kaprielian were out with season-ending injuries at the
time.
今年七月洋基送出Fowler、Kaprielian、Mateo换到Gray、值得一提的是Fowler以及Kapri
elian当时都是处于赛季报销的状况。
Clint Frazier has become more expendable with Stanton acquired. Are Frazier, A
dams and Tyler Wade close to the Gray package? Could it be sweetened further w
ith the addition of another arm such as Luis Cessa? Cole is guesstimated to ma
ke $7.5 million in arbitration (all arbitration forecasts come from MLB Trade
Rumors).
Clint Frazier在Stanton到来后显得比较多余。
一个由Frazier、Adams、Wade组成的包裹
是否和季中的那个包裹价值相等呢?还是说要加上另一个投手譬如Cessa,才会让海贼点
头?Cole被预估会在接下来的薪资仲裁中拿到7.5M。
2. Patrick Corbin, Diamondbacks: Arizona is in an interesting spot: It made th
e playoffs last year. But it also is about to have key turnover with Corbin an
d A.J. Pollock looming as free agents after 2018 and Paul Goldschmidt followin
g 2019 while Zack Greinke’s weighty contract makes it difficult to keep other
s.
2. 派屈烤饼:蛇蛇就比较有趣了。他们今年有打进季后赛。但是接下来18年烤饼&Polloc
k会成为FA,紧接着19年是Goldschmidt。一切都因为Z魔神的大合约显得比较困难。
The Yankees like groundballs and strikeouts, and Corbin — an athletic lefty
— is an extreme groundball pitcher with good strikeout numbers. Once his slid
er locked in, he pitched well last year, with a 3.28 ERA in his final 21 games
(20 starts). I keep wondering if the Yankees can use Dellin Betances ($4.4 mi
llion and a free agent after the 2019 season) as the main piece for teams look
ing for high-end relief help. Corbin is predicted for $8.3 million in his fina
l arbitration year.
洋基是喜欢滚地球和三振的球队(有哪只球队不喜欢......)而烤饼就是一位极佳的滚地

投手,与此同时他的三振能力也是不俗的。只要他的滑球状况良好,他就能缴出优质的投
球成绩。去年21场出赛(20场先发)仅有3.28ERA。我很想知道洋基有没有办法用大B为首
的包裹去向那些想补强牛棚的球队交易SP。烤饼被预估会在接下来的薪资仲裁拿到8.3M。
I keep wondering if Alex Wood of the Dodgers could be obtained in the same way
, with Betances fronting a package.
我也很想知道道奇队的Alex Wood是否也可以用大B万用包达成交易(?
3. Michael Fulmer, Tigers: Detroit is rebuilding, and Fulmer is a big talent w
ho is not even arbitration eligible. But should a rebuilding team turn one fut
ure piece into three or four? The Yankees have a deep farm system, and again I
wonder about a four-player package that begins with Frazier and either Adams,
Abreu or Sheffield.
3. Fulmer:老虎正在重建,而Fulmer是一个甚至还未达到薪资仲裁资格的优秀SP。但是
一个重建中的球队该不该把一个潜力股换成3~4个潜力股呢?洋基拥有雄厚的农场,我同
样想知道一个以Frazier为首,Adams或Abreu或Sheffield为辅的四人新秀包有没有办法达
成交易。
4. Kendall Graveman/Sean Manaea, Athletics: Obviously, the A’s know the Yanke
es’ system well from the Gray trade. Graveman is intriguing, but there is wor
ry about his shoulder and how poorly he pitched away from Oakland. Manaea is a
lefty comparable to perhaps Montgomery. That might not be enough for the Yank
ees to give up Frazier. But what if the deal expanded, so the Yankees also got
a strong left-on-left reliever such as Daniel Coulombe, who held lefties to a
.596 OPS last year?
4. 绿帽的Graveman或是Manaea:显而易见地,绿帽在Gray的交易案中已经很好的了解了
洋基农场了。Graveman是个不错的选择,可是他有肩伤疑虑以及会在客场爆炸的问题。Ma
naea是个和芒果较为类似的左投。这应该不足以让洋基丢出Frazier。但要是Coulombe同
样被放入交易包裹内呢?他是个专门左克左的左手牛,去年只让左打者拥有.596的OPS。
5. Jeff Samardzija, Giants: He has a lot of similarities with Michael Pineda
— results that are not as good as his stuff and strikeout/walk numbers sugges
t. The difference is he is a massive innings eater at a time when the Yanks ne
ed some sturdiness. Only Samardzija and Max Scherzer have topped 200 innings i
n each of the past five years.
5. 鲨鱼:他的型态和Pineda很雷同,成绩并没有反应在他们拥有的天赋以及三振保送比
上。唯一的不同是,鲨鱼可以吃下庞大的局数,而这正是洋基所需要的。只有鲨鱼和薛蛇
在过去的5个赛季都吃下超过200IP。
The only way this works for the Yankees is if the Giants take Jacoby Ellsbury,
who also would have to waive his no-trade clause. Ellsbury has three years an
d $68.4 million left on his deal, Samardzija three years at $54 million. If th
is needed to be a complete salary wash, Denard Span has one year at $13 millio
n left. So Samardzija plus Span equals $67 million compared to Ellsbury’s $68
.4 million.
洋基得到鲨鱼的唯一解就是把小帅哥送去巨人,当然也要太放弃NTC。小帅哥剩余合约3y/
68M,鲨鱼则是3y/54M。如果这真的要变成一个烂约互换的话,或许巨人会搭上Span剩余1
y/13M的合约。这样两边的薪资差异才不会太大。
The Giants need power, particularly righty power, and Frazier projects to have
it. The Yanks got rid of Headley’s contract by attaching Mitchell’s upside
arm in the deal, and in this way the Yankees would be attaching Frazier to Ell
sbury.
巨人需要攻击火力,尤其是右强打者,而Frazier被预估有这个能力。洋基透过贴上Mitch
ell来丢掉黑力的合约,如果想丢掉Ells的就只能贴上Frazier了。
Could Frazier, Domingo Acevedo and Tyler Wade in conjunction with Ellsbury get
Samardzija?
Frazier+Acevedo+Wade+Ells能换到鲨鱼吗?
6. Danny Duffy, Royals: Kansas City is thinking more and more of a full rebuil
d and knows its ace would get a strong return. He has four years at $60 millio
n left and would count $13 million against the 2018 luxury-tax payroll. He did
have an elbow impingement late last season (from which he returned to make th
ree starts), plus was arrested and charged with DUI. Like with the A’s and Co
ulombe, if the Royals include quality lefty Scott Alexander, I can imagine the
Yankees giving more in talent.
6. Duffy:皇家已经开始在考虑重建的道路了。他们也知道Duffy将会强势回归。Duffy的
剩余合约为4y/60M并且2018年薪资为13M。他去年是动过肘关节手术(伤愈复出后出赛先
发3场),并且最近也因为酒驾被捕。和绿帽的Graveman状况雷同,要是皇家愿意在交易
中放入Scott Alexander,洋基或许会愿意在包裹中多加入一些新秀。
如果是5、6的话,直接抢达比不会比较好吗?
1、3一定会烧农场,可是也比较让人期待。
相较之下2、4就比较鸡肋......应该是1、3要价太高,退而求其次的方案了吧
作者: LaoDa5815566 (LaoDaIron)   2017-12-13 08:05:00
Cole感觉太痛.....希望可以先试抢达尔再考虑5、6......只是5也是烧农场啊3可以烧一下.....1再想想吧~~
作者: ComeAsYouAre (低调的奢华)   2017-12-13 08:26:00
5吧,但是干嘛贴新秀?帮吃钱就好
作者: xxxgon860821 (Grag0n)   2017-12-13 08:35:00
话说Pineda啥时才会回来
作者: LaoDa5815566 (LaoDaIron)   2017-12-13 08:44:00
小p不用回来啦
作者: ComeAsYouAre (低调的奢华)   2017-12-13 09:01:00
B是有好几年实绩的,短时间出槌,应该修的回来,而且他的问题在控球
作者: GoldenWasabi (黄金哇沙比)   2017-12-13 09:58:00
宁愿出点代价也不要不能用啊 XD
作者: ClintFrazier (Clint Frazier)   2017-12-13 11:45:00
CC和蓝鸟球团见面,抬价为目的?
作者: jiachang1996 (IngramLAL)   2017-12-13 13:27:00
要动Gardy应该会是Cash不得不这么做才会想这件事看看Ross之于小熊 Beltran之于太空人的重要性 你不会想交易走这么一个宝贵老将的 更何况Gardy拥有纯正血统 也拿过冠军

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