[外絮] 从数据分析黄蜂的热身赛

楼主: sasolala (殺手拉拉)   2015-10-26 23:27:37
http://tinyurl.com/nmmpmvo 原文
简单翻译
With 7-1 record, 87.5% win percentage, Hornets ranked number 1 in the league
at the end of preseason games. That should mean something, right? right?
热身赛7-1 87.5%的胜率 肯定代表了什么!!
By eye test, this team improved massively offensively, and we are shooting
tons of 3s, with good percentage, is that the only reason we are winning?
可以看出这球队提高了进攻火力 在三分球上得到了火力支援 这就是为什么赢了
To answer these questions, I pulled all the teams preseason data from
NBA.com, and used the parallel coordinate plot to graph some major parameters
to visualize the trend. So for this graph, it take each category numbers and
normalized the highest number to 100% and the lowest number to 0%, thus each
category is graphed as a percentile among all 30 teams. Each team is
connected with a line, and the profile of the line provides an easy way to
spot the interesting trend. The highlighted line is Hornets.
为了解释这些问题 从nba网站上找出热身赛的数据 发现了一些有趣的现象
PF: personal foul; PFD: personal foul drawn; FBPs: fast break points; PITP:
points in the paint.
Couple of things we could see easily:
Given that Hornets improved their ball movement and player movement, they are
not increasing their pace. At 98.91, it was only a slight increase over last
season's 95.3. And that was the bottom 10 in preseason. A lot of people said
Clifford was building his defense on the slowed down pace, and I personally
find it interesting that Clifford could improve the offensive look without
drastically change his defensive philosophy.
可以看出场均98.91分 比上赛95.3 只有略增加几分 这在热身上是倒数第十名
很多人说因为Clifford教练放慢脚步去防守 但作者却认为是改善了进攻
而不是只有改变了防守方式
Hornets does shoot more 3s, with 25.6 3PA a game, it was not ranked the top
half in the league, however, consider the low pace and relatively low FGA of
the team, that many 3s was pretty high percentage of total shots Hornets are
taking. It also helped that Hornets are shooting at high efficiency with
36.1% which ranked 6th in preseason.
黄蜂射了更多的三分 场均得到25.6分左右
这也帮助了黄蜂在热身赛排名第六 命中率36.1%
In terms of rebound, the team is performing the same strategy, that we are
still the best in terms of defensive rebounds, and gives up the offensive
rebounds, and don't have much 2nd chance points.
在篮板方面,巩固了防守篮板,却也牺牲了进攻篮板 很少得到第二波进攻的机会
Hornets is good at drawing fouls, but not giving personal fouls. The team is
the most stingy team in giving out PF. They don't have too much TOs, and
don't force opponent TOs either, thus lowest steal/game. Looks like the team
is playing a very disciplined and conservative way of defense. They don't
have much fast break points either, I do hope they could improve there as the
season goes.
黄蜂队擅常造犯规 却很很少给对方个人犯规 尤其是PF
可看出球队防守相当有纪律并且采取较保守的方式
没什么快攻 自然就没有冒险 但作者仍希望能够有效的改善少快攻的缺点
Compare to the above average Offensive Rating, I'm actually more impressed
and surprised by the second best in Defensive Rating. With MKG injury, that
number obviously is very important and definitely the area you want the team
carry over to regular season.
作者也相当惊讶 在少了MKG 防守的效率仍相当不错 也希望能够延续到开季
Oh, I thought the team had improved in assist number, but apparently they
didn't, 19.30 per game has nothing to brag about, and I have no idea what
happened to the points in the paint, is that because we have more pick and
pop guy than P&R player?
而原本以为球队会增加助攻数 实际上却没有 每场比赛19.30 per 没什么好炫耀的
不知道内线发生了什么事情 没什么得到助攻 作者猜测会不会是P&R导致的
When we look at the similar plot when we take the opponents number, that
gives an good indication about our defense.
When Hornets is taking 42% FG% and giving out only 40.6% FG%, that's a good
thing.
黄蜂队平均整体命中率在42% 而且给予对手只有40.6%的命中率
When Hornets is holding opponents to 25% 3FG%, that's an amazing thing. Took
me a while to confirm that I'm actually get the number right. I mean, is that
real? In preseason, Pistons, Kincks, Magics and Bulls are all shooting 3s in
top 10 efficiency, Clippers are 34.5%, and still top half. Hornets must be
doing something right to hold them at 24.9% for all 8 games.
而且黄蜂死守的对方的三分投篮 让对手只有25%的命中率 这是一个amazing的事情
作者心想这是真的吗?
在这热身赛 活塞 尼克 魔术跟公牛的三分 是排名在前十名的
而快艇是34.5%也是在前段
所以黄蜂必须做些什么 才能让对手三分在八场比赛 压低在24.9%的命中率
Hornets is also giving out the lowest FTA, which is the most efficient shots.
So Hornets is not giving out FTA, and limiting opponents 3s efficiency,
definitely a nice way to defend.
We do give out a bit more fast break points, and also points in the paint.
黄蜂给予对手很多的快攻机会 还有内线得分机会
RA: restricted area; ITP: in the paint (non-restricted area); MR: Mid range;
LC3: Left corner 3; RC3: Right corner 3; AB3: Above the break 3.
When we look at the team shooting numbers, that's when I start to get
confused:
当我们看着球队的命中率 却也感觉到疑惑
Hornets is taking less shots and shooting not as good in the restricted area.
They took a good amount of shots in the paint, but connected at a relatively
low percentage rate.
黄蜂在禁区射的很少 而且命中不高 油漆区射的很多 但命中率较低
Hornets is taking a good amount of shot at mid range, and then shooting at
the league best percentage of 44.3%.
黄蜂比较好的投篮在中距离 得到全联盟最好的44.3%命中率
Hornets is not taking much corner 3s, and also shoot pretty bad in corners,
but they took a lot of above the break 3s and with a much higher efficiency
there.
黄蜂没有采取了底角三分 而且投得相当糟糕 但投了很多弧顶三分 却得到了高效率
That's just so against the Morey Ball! Where teams like Rockets are ditching
mid range shots, and shot tons of corner 3s, and drive to the paint by all
means. Yet Hornets somehow shot only 31% in the paint and 44.3% in the mid
range. Same with the 3 pointers. Not sure whether that's because the coach
had more plays end up open spot there or people just shoots better above the
break on this team, theoretically, corner 3s are shoter 3s, which is easier
to take though.
这是相当违反莫雷的蓝球 火箭放弃了中距离 投大量的三分球 或者进攻篮下
但是黄蜂却31%在油漆区投篮 中距离44.3 三分球则相同。
不是很确定教练本就指定那个位置投三分 还是球队在弧顶投的较好
理论上 底角是最短的三分 也就是最容易投中的
Still, the 19.9 restricted area shot attempt is kind of low there, the
Rockets and Celtics were taking 31.6 attempts there, which is 50% more than
us. Even with so-so efficiency of 55%, that's equivalent to 36.7% 3P% in
eFG%, thus still the most efficient shot other than FT. And it is way easier
to have a consistent 55% shot in the restricted area than achieving a 37% 3pt
all the time.
但是 19.9%禁区出手 仍然太低了 火箭跟赛尔提克都有31.6%的出手率
比黄蜂还多一半
When we look at our opponent shooting numbers, it is pretty encouraging:
但当看到对手的投篮数据 却让人相当开心
We are doing a really good job defending 3pt shots. Across the board, we are
giving out less 3pt attempts, and force them to take it with very low
efficiency.
黄蜂在防守三分上 做了相当好的工作
整个排行榜上 让对手三分出手最少 并且让对手投射三分的效率最低
We give out the most mid range shots compare to other teams, which, not
necessary the bad thing, consider that are teams don't even want to take
those. And to help it, we are holding them to shot at only 37% there.
In the paint area is okay, but our defense in the restricted area is
definitely the area that could use some improvement.
比起其他球队 黄蜂压迫对手更多的中距离跳投 但这不是坏事
考虑到很多球队不喜欢这个点出手 而且把他限制在37%的命中率
油漆区的得分还不错 但是在禁区内的防守 却是要改进的
Okay, preseason is not regular season, yet the numbers could still gives us
some indication. We might not be able to hold our opponent to 24% 3pt shot
through out the season, at least we do have some confidence that this team
has the capability of defending 3pts shots very well.
不过热身赛终究还不是正式比赛 这些数据也只是新球季的指标
不可能每次都把对方限制在24%的三分命中
但至少证明了球队在三分线上的防守是相当有力的
Overall, I'm very happy with the team's offense in the preseason, but even
more happy with the team defense even without MKG on the floor. And can't
wait for the season to start.
总结来说 作者相当满意这个热身赛的表现 而且满意的是防守上的表现
尤其在少了MKG 还能够表现优异
已经等不及球队开季了
作者: blueocean292 (蓝海)   2015-10-26 23:32:00
期待开季 不过现在都好早开打.....
作者: qwerasdf5566 (qwerasdf5566)   2015-10-26 23:45:00
内线长人会跑战术挡人(反观Hill) Lin不会气到跺脚惹http://tinyurl.com/qxgm7s6
作者: AmdsLancelot (不太行)   2015-10-27 02:49:00
"Hornets is taking less shots and shooting notas good in the restricted area."这句翻错了这句应该是说黄蜂的投篮没有在禁区里的好他们在禁区有着不错的投篮数 但相较之下比例较低y
作者: squall410339 (squall410339)   2015-10-27 06:36:00
我还以为又要无脑狂捧某人没想到是认真分析文

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