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原文来源 : http://ppt.cc/kZyp
NBA Players Who Have Upgraded Their Games This Season
NBA本季进步最多的球员
In order to determine which players have truly upgraded their games, the best
tool to measure with isn’t traditional box-score stats like points, rebounds
and assists because they don’t account for minutes.Player efficiency rating
(PER)—John Hollinger’s per-minute, single-number metric—does a much better
job of evaluating improvement.
为了决定哪位球员真的有进步,最好的评估工具不是传统的攻守数据,像是得分、篮板和
助功,因为他们跟上场时间无关。球员效率值—由John Hollinger的公式得到每分钟的效
率值—更能评估球员的进步程度。
8. Marcus Morris, Phoenix Suns, 4.3
第八名 Marcus Morris 太阳队 球员效率值增加4.3 (2013-14 PER: 15.6 2012-13 PER:
11.3)
Marcus is averaging 2.2 more points and 0.5 more rebounds in just 2.1 more
minutes.His shooting is significantly improved, as his field-goal percentage
has jumped from .422 to .438 and his free-throw percentage has gone from .564
to .791.
Marcus在只有多2.1分钟的上场时间下,多得了2.2分和0.5个篮板。他的投篮大幅提升,
命中率从.422提升到.438,罚球命中率从.564提升到.791。
Furthermore, moving from power forward to small forward has helped him to
extend his range. He’s averaging 1.2 three-point makes on .374 three-point
shooting.
从大前锋转为小前锋,让他的攻击范围更大。平均每场1.2个三分球,其命中率为.374。
All those things combine for a massive leap in true shooting percentage(注一
), which is up from .453 to .553. That’s not just playing more; it’s
playing better.
这些全部加起来大幅提升他的真实投篮命中率,从.453提升.553。这不只是打得更久,而
是打得更好。
7. Anthony Davis, New Orleans Pelicans, 4.7
第七名 Anthony Davis 鹈鹕队 球员效率值增加4.7 (2013-14 PER: 26.4 2012-13 PER: 21.7)
He’s averaging 20.1 points on .523 shooting. He’s also contributing 10.1
rebounds. And yes, the defense is there too, as he’s leading the league in
blocks, with 3.1 per game.
他场均20.1分,命中率.523。他还有场均10.1个篮板。而且他还有防手,有联盟最高的场
均3.1个火锅。
That makes him tied for the youngest player in NBA history to average 20
points and 10 rebounds per game. Only three players have accomplished this at
just 20: Davis, Shaquille O’Neal and Elton Brand. Brand and Davis actually
share the same birth date, March 11, so they would be tied for the youngest
to the day.
他即将成为NBA史上最年轻达到场均20分、10篮板的球员。史上只有三位在20岁前达到:
Anthony Davis、Shaquille O’Neal和Elton Brand。Brand和Davis生日刚好同一天,三
月11日,所以他们同为最年轻达到场均20分、10篮板的球员。
5. Markieff Morris, Phoenix Suns, 5.0
并列第五名 Marcus Morris 太阳队 球员效率值增加5.0 (2013-14 PER: 17.6 2012-13
PER: 12.6)
Markieff Morris has improved so much, he’s even improved more than his
brother, Marcus.
Markieff Morris进步很多,甚至比他的兄弟Marcus还多。
His field-goal percentage has ballooned from .407 last season to .463 this
year, and that seems to stem from the familiarity(注二) the two share.
Markieff averages 18.5 points per 36 minutes on .480 shooting while with
Marcus compared to 16.7 on .435 shooting when his sibling(注三) sits.
他的投篮命中率爆增,从去年的.407上升到今年的.463。似乎和兄弟间的默契有关。
Marcus在场上时,Markieff 上场36分钟平均18.5分、.480命中率。当兄弟坐板凳时,
Markieff 上场36分钟平均16.7分、.435命中率。
Both of the “Mori” appear to have bright futures with the Suns.
Mori兄弟俩在太阳的前途一片光明。
5. Marco Belinelli, San Antonio Spurs, 5.0
并列第五名 Marco Belinelli 马刺队 球员效率值增加5.0 (2013-14 PER: 15.4
2012-13 PER: 10.4)
Belinelli is enjoying a career-high PER of 15.4, highlighted by his .456
shooting from deep and .505 shooting overall.
Belinelli正处于生涯新高的15.4球员效率值,他的三分球命中率.456,整体投篮命中率
为.505。
Belinelli is one of the best in the league on the catch-and-shoot. In fact,
per the NBA’s tracking data, only Kyle Korver has both a higher effective
field-goal percentage(注四) and more points than Belinelli’s amazing .671
and 318 on such shots.
Belinelli是联盟里最好的接球立即投篮的球员之一。事实上,只有Kyle Korver同时有比
较好的有效投篮命中率和更多的得分。Belinelli有惊人的.671有效投篮命中率并得到了
318分。
As a result of his fit and shooting, Belinelli has lifted his overall scoring
average by 2.0 points per game and 3.0 points per 36 minutes while raising
his PER from 10.4 to 15.4.
由于他良好的融入和投篮,他的场均得分提高了2.0分,换成上场36分钟的话则提高3.0分
。而且PER从10.4提高到15.4。
4. Patrick "Patty" Mills, San Antonio Spurs, 5.3
第四名 Patrick "Patty" Mills 马刺队 球员效率值增加5.3 (2013-14 PER: 19.4
2012-13 PER: 14.1)
In November, he averaged 7.2 points and 1.5 assists. In December, it was 8.4
and 1.6. In January, it was 9.4 and 1.6. Now, in February, he’s exploding
for 18.6 and 2.3. He’s done that mostly because of a boost in his true
shooting percentage, which has been a remarkable .637 since January 1.
十一月时,他场均7.2分和1.5助功。十二月是8.4分和1.6助功,一月是9.4分和1.6助功。
而二月则爆发到18.6分和2.3助功。主要归功于投篮命中率的提升,从1月1号后就是完美
的.637。
Those incremental month-by-month improvements add up. He’s averaging nearly
twice as many points this year as last, knocking down 9.9 now compared to
just 5.1. He’s doing more, and he’s doing it better.
这些每个月的成长加起来让他的场均得分几乎比去年多了一倍。去年5.1分,今年9.9分。
他做得更多,而且更好。
3. Goran Dragic, Phoenix Suns, 5.3
第三名 Goran Dragic 太阳队 球员效率值增加5.3 (2013-14 PER: 22.8 2012-13 PER:
17.5)
Goran Dragic is enjoying the best year of his career. His scoring is up from
14.7 points to 20.3, yet he’s playing only about one more minute. The only
negative is that his assists are down slightly, from 7.4 to 6.3.
Goran Dragic正处于生涯表现最好的一年。他的场均得分从14.7分提升到20.3,而且只多
打了一分多钟。唯一稍微下降的是他的场均助攻,从7.4降到6.3个。
Most tellingly, he’s scoring far more efficiently than he was last year. His
true shooting percentage has gone from .540 to .606.
最显著的进步是他的得分比去年有效率多了。他的真实投篮命中率从.540提升到.606。
2. Gerald Green, Phoenix Suns, 5.7
第二名 Gerald Green 太阳队 球员效率值增加5.7 (2013-14 PER: 15.6 2012-13 PER:
9.9)
Gerald Green is the fourth (and final) Phoenix Sun on the list. That the Suns
have four of the NBA’s eight most improved players is indicative of just
what an amazing job Jeff Hornacek is doing as their rookie head coach.
Green是第四个(最后一个)太阳队在名单上的球员。太阳队有四位在NBA前八名进步最多球
员中,说明了菜鸟教练Jeff Hornacek达成了令人惊艳的任务。
He enjoyed a career-high 36-point game this season against the Denver Nuggets
and a game-winning three January 8 against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Green今年对金块队拿下生涯新高的36分,而且在一月八号对灰狼的比赛投进致胜三分球
。(影片连结:http://ppt.cc/Rott)
1. DeMarcus Cousins, Sacramento Kings, 5.9
第一名 DeMarcus Cousins 国王队 球员效率值增加5.9 (2013-14 PER: 26.1 2012-13
PER: 20.2)
Not only has he improved his PER the most of anyone in the league, but of the
25 players in the top 100 who have improved by at least 3.0, Anthony Davis is
the only one who had a higher PER last season. So his improvement has been
the hardest to come by also.
Cousins不只提升了联盟最多的PER值,在前25位进步超过3.0 PER值中,只有Anthony
Davis去年的PER值比他高。所以他的进步可以说是最难达到的。
Cousins has seen big boosts to his box-score stats, too, averaging 5.4 more
points and 1.8 more rebounds a contest than last season. He’s raised his
field-goal percentage from .465 to .483.
他的爆发也表现在得分数据上,场均比上个赛季多了5.4分和1.8个篮板。投篮命中率从
.465提升到.483。
图、排名第9~25名
Exceptions:
例外:
Kevin Love, Minnesota Timberwolves, 9.9
Kevin Love 灰狼队 球员效率值增加9.9
The problem is that last year he played just 18 games, and his 17.9 PER is
deceptive. His last full season, the 2011-12 season, he boasted a 25.4. So,
while this year he’s boasting a career high, it’s more realistically a 2.4
improvement than 9.9.
问题是他去年只打了18场比赛,他的PER值只有异常的17.9。因为他2011-12赛季的PER值
有25.4,所以他的进步应该是2.4而不是不合理的9.9。
Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks, 4.8
Dirk Nowitzki 小牛队 球员效率值增加4.8
Dirk Nowitzki is certainly enjoying a resurgence(注五) to his career, with a
PER of 24.6 compared to last season’s 19.8. However, it’s still a long way
off from his career high of 28.1, back in 2005. Now 35 years old, he’s
enjoying his best PER since he was 29, but that’s an argument for Comeback
Player of the Year.
Nowitzki今年表现回春,PER值从上个赛季的19.8提升到24.6。但还是远低于他生涯最高
的28.1。35岁的他有29岁以来最高的PER值,但若要选为进步最多球员似乎有些争议。
D.J. Augustin, Chicago Bulls, 5.1
D.J. Augustin 公牛队 球员效率值增加5.1
If we look at only his time with the Chicago Bulls this season, where he’s
played 1,014 of his 1,096 total minutes, Augustin has a PER of 16.1, a 5.1
improvement from last year’s 11.0, which would qualify him for the list.
如果我们只看他本季在公牛队的表现,他的PER值进步了5.1,从11.0提升到16.1。而这个
表现可以排入榜单之中。
However, he did have 82 horrible, awful, terrible minutes with the Toronto
Raptors before he was waived(注六). That was bad enough to drag his overall
PER for the season down to 15.0, which is just enough to keep Augustin out of
the qualifying 100 top PERs.
但是他在被暴龙队裁掉前有82场悽惨的表现,可以把他的PER值从16.1压低到15.0。这样
他的PER值进步幅度连前100都排不上。
注一:True shooting percentage 真实投篮命中率 (TS%)
把罚球对于比赛的影响也整合进了命中率的一部分,公式如下:
TS% = pts / 2 * ( FGA + 0.44 * FTA )
计算有三个重点:
1. 把一次的标准投射得分定义成两分,这样就省去了三分的微调工作,因为就让三分的
权重变成1.5倍
2. 把每一次的罚球机会,都当作是半次的标准投射机会,所以分子就会变成一个很接近
FTM的数据,罚球的权重大概也就变成了 0.5 倍。
3. FTA 常数用 0.44 而不是用 0.5 应该是微调结果的作法。
注四:Effective field-goal percentage 有效投篮命中率 (eFG%)
把三分球对于比赛的影响也整合进了命中率的一部分来,可以更贴切的表现出一名球员的
效率。公式如下:
eFG%=(FG + 0.5*3P)/FGA ; 得分效率=(命中次数+1/2三分球数量)/出手次数
心得:本近最佳进步奖呼之欲出!!?