套句二战日本参谋堀荣三在大本营的德国课(第二部第十六课)得到的教训总结:
"(军事)情报若非以求取二线, 三线的交叉点的方式去处理的话, 是很难判断真伪的"[1]
[1]无情报国家的悲剧, p47
(皇军盲信日本驻纳粹大使大岛的电报, 全数摘引纳粹的说法,
对其史达林格勒之战纳粹大胜的说法毫不怀疑)[2]
[2] 同上, p48
这种军情判读的手法 其实很适合运用在现在的台湾上 尤其是标题党横行的当下
有关对台湾战斗意志的关切 主要是
本月稍早在加州举办了今年的雷根国防论坛
里面第六个panel有稍微提到台湾战斗意志的重要性
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5BEE4Ivd-Y&t=1s
(请从31:30开始看 其实没有几秒钟)
南达科达州的参议员Mike Rounds只有说:
The issue of the will to fight can't be underestimated
战斗意志的议题是不容低估的
few people understood how strong Ukrainians would be defending their homeland
(战前)很少有人了解到乌克兰人将会多么强烈地捍卫他们的祖国
That same amount of desire — that same strength — we have to be able to
see in Taiwan as well. And I think that's going to be one of the challenges
as a nation that we're going to be looking at is: do we see that same desire
for freedom that we see in Ukraine today?
这样同等量的渴望