对于飞弹攻击的效果,
美军对叙利亚机场全数命中但无甚效果的案例常被讨论
但如果当时不是打机场,而是以59枚战斧攻击电力系统的话,
大概能让叙利亚回到黑暗时代超过一次
当时不这么做的原因除了政略(例如避免制造太多难民)外,
不知有无其他因素?
(以对南斯拉夫和对伊拉克的经验来看,
国际上对于攻击电力设施似乎尚能容忍,不至于造成太大的风波)
叙利亚电厂列表
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_power_stations_in_Syria
3处水力电厂,12处火力电厂
要让叙利亚回到黑暗时代需要的飞弹数量,
或许可稍乐观估计约需57发如下?
水力发电厂:~14发
Baath Dam(81MW):2发
https://i.imgur.com/CpWcmXZ.jpg
Tabqa Dam(800MW):4~6发
https://i.imgur.com/LdFODR0.jpg
Tishrin Dam(630MW):6发
https://i.imgur.com/l8TDyFs.jpg
火力发电厂:~43发
Aleppo Thermal Power Plant(1065MW):5发
https://i.imgur.com/GbherGT.jpeg
Al Nasryeh (Nasserieh) OCGT Power Plant (384MW):3发
https://i.imgur.com/QkaQokA.jpeg
Al-Zara Thermal Power Plant(660MW):3发
https://i.imgur.com/aL1ZiRx.jpeg
Banias Thermal Power Plant(680MW):
Google空照图相当模糊,姑且取为4~6发
Dier Ali CCGT Power Plant(750MW):4发
https://i.imgur.com/IoXXhQo.jpeg
Homs Refinery Cogen Power Plant(64MW):1发
https://i.imgur.com/oEZVNkT.jpeg
Jandar CCGT Power Plant(700MW):6发
https://i.imgur.com/jRwO9IB.jpeg
Mehardeh Thermal Power Plant(630MW):4发
https://i.imgur.com/EPcAeZX.jpeg
Swedieh (Suwaidiyah) OCGT Power Plant (150MW):3~4发
https://i.imgur.com/2eOzMX3.jpeg
Teshreen (Tishrin) Power Project(400+256MW):4+2发
https://i.imgur.com/G504xyg.jpeg
https://i.imgur.com/uESsESe.jpeg
Thayyem Power Plant(96MW):1发
https://i.imgur.com/cvcDB2i.jpeg
Zayzoun (Zayzun) CCGT Power Plant (已经被炸平)