原文来源:
https://www.ft.com/content/01cdcc3e-22b9-4230-ac11-6c7056098f3f
原文摘要:
Do not mistake Kherson retreat for a crack in Putin’s armour
The act of invasion itself is seen as a victory: it will be as difficult for
the Russian president to lose this war as to win it
不要把赫尔森的撤退误认为是普京盔甲上的裂缝
入侵行为本身被视为一场胜利:俄罗斯总统输掉这场战争和赢得这场战争一样困难
(略,只取联合报记者超级精简版那段)
The fact is that Putin’s supporters do not perceive the invasion of
Ukraine as an act of aggression. For them, it’s a retaliation against the
much more powerful west. Researchers of Russian society are observing a
startling paradox. History puts Russia in a row of vast western colonial
empires. But after its defeat in the cold war, the collapse of the Soviet
Union and the economic hardships of the 1990s, a growing number of Russians
felt they had been reduced to a colony ruled by western forces. They now
believe they are casting off the yoke which so humiliated their country and
“imposed” capitalism upon it.
事实是,普京的支持者并不认为入侵乌克兰是一种侵略行为。 对他们来说,这是对更
强大的西方的报复。 俄罗斯社会的研究人员正在观察到一个令人惊人的悖论。 历史使
俄罗斯陷入一排辽阔的西方殖民帝国。 但在冷战失败、苏联解体和20世纪90年代的经
际困难之后,越来越多的俄罗斯人认为他们沦为由西方军队统治的殖民地。 他们现在
认为,他们正在摆脱羞辱他们国家的枷锁,并将资本主义“强加于”给它。
In the eyes of dissatisfied Russians, any form of resistance to the
west is a victory, almost regardless of the end result. Even in retreat,
they will console themselves with the thought of having prevented Russia’s
“further enslavement”. This is why there is no direct link between
military setbacks and the weakening of Putin’s power. It is as difficult
for the president to lose this war as it is to win it. Domestically, even
the invasion itself is a sort of victory. Meanwhile, the passive majority
can be convinced that any outcome is the best possible one. And the critics
will be silenced with repression, just as they are now.
在不满的俄罗斯人眼中,任何形式的对西方的抵抗都是胜利,几乎无论最终结果如何。
即使在撤退时,他们也会安慰自己,因为他们阻止了俄罗斯的“进一步奴役”。 这就
是为什么军事挫折与普京权力削弱之间没有直接联络。 总统输掉这场战争就像赢得这
场战争一样困难。 在国内,即使是入侵本身也是一种胜利。 与此同时,被动的大多数
人可以确信,任何结果都是最好的结果。 批评者将像现在一样,被镇压压制。
心得感想:
这篇在金融时报发表的文章作者Alexander Baunov
是卡内基国际和平基金会的高阶研究员
也是前俄罗斯外交官员
由俄罗斯方面视角看待普丁在这个战争中的立场
可以作为一个如何对应俄罗斯方面的参考
至于联合报那个什么普亭都是赢家的标题真的看看就好
注意事项:请注意版规内容。