[外电] 2010s十大交易案 Part 7

楼主: TRosenthal (DavidFreese)   2021-02-07 21:07:40
这是2010s 十大交易案第七集,翻译Mike Petriello的外电。
来源:https://www.mlb.com/news/the-10-biggest-mlb-trades-of-the-2010s
(7) Milwaukee adds a Most Valuable Player
Jan. 25, 2018: Marlins trade OF Christian Yelich to Brewers for OF Lewis Brins
on, OF Monte Harrison, IF Isan Diaz and P Jordan Yamamoto
What even?
The Marlins were in complete let's-blow-it-all-up mode, having already traded
Giancarlo Stanton, Dee Gordon and Marcell Ozuna during the winter of 2017-18,
and trading Yelich was the obvious end point of the plan. (Especially because
he and his agent had made their displeasure at the situation clear.) At the ti
me, he was regarded as a solid player (121 OPS+ in parts of five seasons) who
hadn't tapped into the power potential (59 homers at that time) his underlying
skills suggested. He was also on a massively team-friendly contract, one that
owed him only $44.5 million over the next four seasons, plus a 2022 team opti
on for $15 million.
The Brewers were coming off an 85-77 second-place season, and when they added
Yelich, it was one of the biggest days in team history, seeing as how they als
o signed Lorenzo Cain to a five-year free-agent contract the same day.
7.Christian Yelich交易案
酿酒人获得:Christian Yelich
马林鱼获得:Lewis Brinson、Monte Harrison、Isan Diaz、Jordon Yamamoto
(1)交易发生背景
2017-18休赛季时,迈阿密马林鱼正在进行大拍卖活动中。他们已经卖掉了D.Gordon、G.S
tanton和M.Ozuna,下一个目标自然就是明星外野手Christian Yelich。
当时的Yelich是一名守备优秀的长枪,5年生涯中拥有通算121的OPS+和18.4的WAR,还手
握1座银棒奖和一座金手套。不过他在五年间一共只有59只全垒打,长打能力稍嫌不足。
此外,Yelich的合约对球队相当友善,4年才44.5M,还外带2022年15M的球队选择权。
另一方面,酿酒人队在2017年拥有85-77还算不错的战绩,因此他们决定在休赛季大显身
手。除了换来Yelich,他们还以5年80M签下外野手Lorenzo Cain,准备争抢国联中区第一
的位置。
Were the takes good or bad?
Milwaukee adding two huge outfield stars on the same day pretty clearly garne
red positive reviews, but there was a lot to like about this for Miami, too. R
otoworld's Christopher Crawford, speaking to CBS, said, "It's really a win-win
deal," noting that the Marlins "did well here" in the prospect return.
(2)当时交易评价
当时普遍认为交易双方都获得了不错的回报。酿酒人在一天之内完成外野布局的操作赢得
一些好评,不过马林鱼成功收获一批优秀新秀的操作更受人赞赏。
马林鱼获得的新秀中,Lewis Brinson是评价最高的。身为BA百大18,酿酒人农场No.1,B
rinson拥有五拍子的潜力,被认为能成为单季20-20,并且拥有顶尖守备的中外野手;Mon
te Harrison在BA排名75,是一名防守优异,Power不错但选球有待加强的中外野手;Isan
Diaz排名BA酿酒人No.6,是长打能力不错的二垒手。RotoWorld的作家Christopher Craw
ford就说“这是笔双赢的交易,不过马林鱼的确获得不错的新秀回报”
And then what happened?
Yelich bashed 36 homers in 2018, winning the NL MVP Award. He hit 44 more in '
19, and he might have won another MVP if he hadn't been injured in September.
Over the last two years, he's been the most valuable player in the National Le
ague, and he's pretty clearly a top-five superstar in baseball. Though he swea
rs he wasn't worried about his launch angle, it's hard to not notice that afte
r years of hearing about how he hit too many hard ground balls, his grounder r
ate dropped from around 60% with Miami to 52% in 2018 and 44% in '19. He only
just turned 28 earlier this month, and he's tied to Milwaukee for three more s
easons.
The jury is still out for Miami, though it's not looking great. Brinson has hi
t .189/.238/.294 in two seasons with Miami, striking out 30% of the time. Harr
ison struck out 215 times in Double-A in 2018, and he was a league-average bat
at Triple-A in '19. Diaz mashed in Triple-A (.305/.395/.578 in 2019) and is i
n line for serious Miami time in 2020, though he hit only .173/.259/.307 in 20
1 plate appearances in the bigs. Yamamoto struck out 82 in 78 2/3 innings in h
is rookie year.
(3)交易后续影响:
相信之后的故事大家都知道了。生涯前五年只打出59轰的Yelich在转队第一年就轰出比前
一年多二倍的36支全垒打,隔年更狂轰44发,打出7.8WAR,毫无疑问的收下国联最有价值
球员的殊荣。他2020年虽然陷入低潮,仍然有高于联盟平均的117WRC+,1.0WAR的产出。
酿酒人还拥有6年的控制权,若是明年能调整好的话,他仍然会是联盟前五名的顶尖球星

相反地,马林鱼获得的新秀看起来就不怎么样了。Brinson在大联盟表现凄惨无比,18-19
年合计只打出189/238/294的三围,三振率还高达30%。20年表现稍好,但也只有74WRC+和
26.7%三振率,三年通算WAR是可怕的-2.7;Harrison在18年2A三振率高达37%,19年升上3
A时只打出97WRC+联盟平均的成绩,三振率还高达30%。20年他升上大联盟之后51PA中三围
是170/235/255,显然尚未适应高阶的投手;Diaz在19年3A表现非常精彩,不过大联盟201
PA中三围只有173/259/307,54WRC+的成绩,20年则因疫情整年退出。Yamamoto是这包最
早在大联盟做出贡献的,19年刚上大联盟表现相当精彩,连续两场7局无失分。不过他马
上就被打回原型,20年防御率高达18.26,日前也被交易至大都会队。
Would each team do it again?
The Brewers couldn't say "yes" to this quickly enough. The Marlins would certa
inly either keep Yelich or find a better return.
(4)如果可以回到过去,交易双方会反悔吗?
Christian Yelich的进化让酿酒人队毫无疑问的成为这笔交易案的赢家,他们当然会同意
;马林鱼得到的新秀表现都不是太理想,他们若能重来一次的话肯定会试着获取更优秀的
报酬的。
作者: sampsonlu919 (欢迎所有球队教训旧金山)   2021-02-07 21:22:00
优质翻译必推
作者: mygoing (高雄哪里买calume)   2021-02-07 21:35:00
作者: whhw (人有羞耻马无所谓)   2021-02-07 21:58:00
先推要怎么知道是养坏还是看走眼
作者: aborwang (Abor)   2021-02-07 22:15:00
作者: Car1osCorrea (Astro今年拿冠军)   2021-02-07 22:35:00
主菜Lewis Brinson 真的悲剧
作者: Nuey (不要鬧了好暴)   2021-02-07 22:36:00
棒球本来就超容易养坏
作者: kingwei520 (阿一)   2021-02-07 22:36:00
新秀本来就一堆不确定性
作者: youngluke (luke)   2021-02-07 23:24:00
Yelich的爆发也是不确定性吧
作者: xo1100 (虾蒸河粉)   2021-02-07 23:38:00
帮主不是签长约了吗
作者: catsondbs (猫仔)   2021-02-07 23:53:00
帮主史诗般的大爆发
作者: wahaha5678 (Jç½µ)   2021-02-08 00:16:00
当时Brinson和Harrison的评价本来就是五拍子和体能怪物,但两个人都有风扇的风险结果到目前为止也真的是风扇化
作者: bkm1 (殷仔 加油!!!)   2021-02-08 00:18:00
帮主2020的K%真的太惊人 保送也提高 突然棒子找不到球了
作者: wahaha5678 (Jç½µ)   2021-02-08 00:20:00
但当时这包就天赋来看是无庸置疑啦
作者: HuanYuWu (雾霜)   2021-02-08 00:24:00
当初的状况很合理了
作者: usausausa (##)   2021-02-08 03:14:00
推 翻译辛苦了
作者: xo1100 (虾蒸河粉)   2021-02-08 09:02:00
Brinson在酒人拉上来打的时候就很烙赛了刚好帮主在吹密就不赌了
作者: Yofu (Happy!Yeah!)   2021-02-08 09:52:00
这批天赋目前看来没兑现~~
作者: kochiOuO (逆恋。)   2021-02-08 10:20:00
结果马鱼反而Ozuna那包换的意外地好
作者: uranusjr (←這人是超級笨蛋)   2021-02-08 11:52:00
当初如果不交易 Yelich 搞不好也就是长成把短枪, 反面Brinson 搞不好也可以养起来, 只能说有些球队会积弱不振其实通常不是表面上看得到的原因
作者: manson666 (The Air I Breathe)   2021-02-08 21:07:00
如果可以回到过去我就all in BTC了 再海边别墅看棒球了
作者: jet113102 (传说中的Yi)   2021-02-08 21:14:00
Brinson这肌肉棒子最后还是没有打出来
作者: wahaha5678 (Jç½µ)   2021-02-09 17:09:00
Alcantara其实也不算是养到最好啦,但Gallen就不简单

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