权威网站Baseball Prospectus近一个月陆陆续续公布各队的Top 10 Prospects
目前已释出马林鱼、天使、运动家、光芒、水手、老虎、酿酒人、巨人
每队都有10+5个农作物排名(前10有完整tool介绍，后5个只有简介)
我这边基本上只贴排行跟tool的分数，且只有10大没有后5
有些自己有在注意会附注一下，想看完整的人就直接点连结囉~
※虽然大部分的人应该都知道了，但还是讲一下
球探给分数每一项都是20~80，不会低于20也不会超过80
分数所代表未来的成绩大约是这样:
右打冲1B 左打冲1B
Tool 别称 球速 打击率 全垒打 所需秒数 所需秒数 60码奔跑
80 80 97 .320 40+ 4.00 3.90 6.3
75 96 .310 35-40 4.05 3.95 6.4
70 Plus Plus 95 .300 30-35 4.10 4.00 6.5
65 94 .290 27-30 4.15 4.05 6.6
60 Plus 93 .280 23-27 4.20 4.10 6.7
55 Above Avg 92 .270 19-22 4.25 4.15 6.8
50 Avg 90-91 .260 15-18 4.30 4.20 6.9-7.0
45 Below Avg 89 .250 12-15 4.35 4.25 7.1
40 88 .240 8-12 4.40 4.30 7.2
35 87 .230 5-8 4.45 4.35 7.3
30 86 .220 3-5 4.50 4.40 7.4
而在tool最后通常有个FV(Final Value或Future Value)或称Future Role
一样也是用20-80分数来评，就是综合你的工具去评测你未来在大联盟的“等级”
打者 先发投手 后援投手 WAR值
80 Top 1-2 #1 Starter —- 7.0
75 Top 2-3 #1 —- 6.0
70 Top 5 #1/2 —- 5.0
65 All-Star #2/3 —- 4.0
60 Plus #3 High Closer 3.0
55 Above Avg #3/4 Mid Closer 2.5
50 Avg Regular #4 Low CL/High SU 2.0
45 Platoon/Util #5 Low Setup 1.5
40 Bench Swing/Spot SP Middle RP 1.0
35 Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up 0.0
30 *Organizational *Organizational *Organizational -1.0
不过以上这两张表格来自Fangraphs我再自己整理，各大评分标准略有一点点差异
但并不大，所以引用到以下BP是可以的
马林鱼:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27918
1. Tyler Kolek, RHP
DOB: 12/15/1995
Height/Weight: 6’5” 260 lbs.
Future Tools: 70 Fastball, 55 Slider
Role: 55—Above-average member of a starting rotation
Major league ETA: 2017
2. Josh Naylor, 1B
DOB: 06/22/1997
Height/Weight: 6’1” 225 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/L
Future Tools: 70 power, 55 hit
Role: 50—Average regular
Major league ETA: 2018
这位小弟各家给他的Power应该是我目前看到新新生代(就是Gallo、Bryant、Sano、
Schwarber等巨砲的下一批)打者当中，Power最高的，有70分，有些网站甚至给更高
他现在才17、18岁已经壮的跟牛一样，挥棒很快，但除了Power以外其他都....且
只能守一垒。Bret Sayre认为他未来能有.270打率、30发全垒打的表现，但还有很长
的路要走
3. Jarlin Garcia, LHP
DOB: 1/18/1993
Height/Weight: 6’2” 170 lbs.
Future Tools: 65 fastball, 50 curveball, 50 command
Role: High 50—Mid-rotation starter
Major league ETA: 2017
4. Kendry Flores, RHP
DOB: 11/24/1991
Height/Weight: 6’2” 175 lbs.
Future Tools: 55 command, 55 change, 50 fastball
Role: High 45—Back-end starter
Major league ETA: Debuted in 2015
5. Brett Lilek, LHP
DOB: 08/10/1993
Height/Weight: 6’4” 195 lbs.
2015 Stats: .3.34 ERA, 35 IP, 7 BB, 43 K at short-season Batavia
Future Tools: 55 fastball, 50 slider, 50 change
Role: High 45—Back-end starter
Major league ETA: 2018
6. Isael Soto, OF
DOB: 11/02/1996
Height/Weight: 6’0” 180 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/L
Future Tools: 60 power, 60 arm
Role: 45—Below-average regular/bench bat
Major league ETA: 2018
7. Austin Dean, OF
DOB: 10/14/1993
Height/Weight: 6’1” 190 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 50+ Power (Raw), 50+ speed
Role: 45—Below-average corner outfield regular/bench bat
Major league ETA: 2017
8. Stone Garrett, OF
DOB: 11/22/1995
Height/Weight: 6’2” 195 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 55 power, 55 speed
Role: 45—Below-average regular/bench bat
Major league ETA: 2017
9. Brian Anderson, 3B
DOB: 05/19/1993
Height/Weight: 6’3” 185 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 55 glove
Role: 40—Utility infielder
Major league ETA: 2017
10. J.T. Riddle, SS
DOB: 10/12/1991
Height/Weight: 6’3” 175 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 55 glove
Role: 40—Utility player
Major league ETA: 2016
天使:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27936
1. Joe Gatto, RHP
DOB: 06/14/1995
Height/Weight: 6’3”, 200 lbs.
Future Tools: 65 fastball, 55 curve
Role: 50—High-leverage reliever/mid-rotation starter, with plenty of
volatility
Major league ETA: 2018
今年天使农场是公认排行最差的几队之一，最好的农作物就是这位Gatto只有50分Role
他被认为是个三号先发等级的投手，原作者说就怕他一不小心ends up pitching in the
bullpen.
2. Jahmai Jones, OF
DOB: 08/04/1997
Height/Weight: 5’11” 200 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 speed, 55 glove, 50 hit
Role: 50—Average regular in center field
Major league ETA: 2019
3. Victor Alcantara, RHP
DOB: 04/03/1993
Height/Weight: 6’2” 190 lbs.
Future Tools: 70 fastball, 50-plus slider
Role: High 45—Back-end starter/high-leverage reliever
Major league ETA: 2017
4. Taylor Ward, C
DOB: 12/14/1993
Height/Weight: 6’1” 180 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 55 glove
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular catcher
Major league ETA: 2017
5. Kyle Kubitza, 3B
DOB: 07/15/1990
Height/Weight: 6’3” 210 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 50 hit
Role: 40—Backup corner infielder
Major league ETA: Debuted in 2015
6. Roberto Baldoquin, SS
DOB: 05/14/1994
Height/Weight: 5’11” 185 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 50 hit, 50 arm
Role: 40—Utility infielder
Major league ETA: 2017
7. Jake Jewell, RHP
DOB: 05/16/1993
Height/Weight: 6’3” 200 lbs.
Future Tools: 70 fastball, 50 slider
Role: 40—No. 5 starter/middle reliever
Major league ETA: 2017
8. Julio Garcia, SS
DOB: 07/31/1997
Height/Weight: 6’0” 175 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 55 glove
Role: 40—Backup middle infielder
9. Nate Smith, LHP
DOB: 08/28/1991
Height/Weight: 6’3” 205 lbs.
Future Tools: 55 change, 50 command
Role: 40—Swingman
Major league ETA: 2016
10. Chad Hinshaw, OF
DOB: 09/10/1990
Height/Weight: 6’1” 205
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 speed, 55 glove
Role: 40—Fourth outfielder
Major league ETA: 2016
运动家:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27961
1. Franklin Barreto, SS
DOB: 02/27/1996
Height/Weight: 5’9” 175 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 hit, 60 arm, 50 power
Role: 60—First-division shortstop
Major league ETA: 2017
来了来了，农场经营口碑一直不错的运动家，对比上面的天使队，农作物品质实在
优秀不少，尤其季中又靠Kazmir交易案弄来捕手Nottinham。
这位Barreto在各家网站排名都是全小联盟系统top级的，毫无疑问自然是运动家整体
的top 1。他就是在去年MVP-Josh Donaldson的那宗惊天交易案从蓝鸟弄来的，他是
目前释出的排行榜中极少数Role值高达60的小朋友，而且未来还更上看(他去年的评分
只有50)，他的进步明显，是个努力的球员。今年在高阶1A身为游击手，出赛90场缴出
3成打率13轰8盗、长打率5成的数据，Bret Sayre认为他将来是个.290打率15轰全垒打
的顶级游击手，满梦幻的，希望运动家养出来囉。
2. Sean Manaea, LHP
DOB: 02/01/1992
Height/Weight: 6’5” 235 lbs.
Future Tools: 65 fastball, 55 slider
Role: 55—mid-rotation starter
Major league ETA: 2017
他的直球分数高达65分，接近plus plus的等级，相当优秀。虽然总Role是55分，
但Bret Sayre认为长的好的话Manaea将来是个单季200k的二号先发投手!
最高能丢到97 mph，状况好的话都可以在92-94附近，欸欸而且他是左投....
3. Jacob Nottingham, C
DOB: 04/03/1995
Height/Weight: 6’3”, 230 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 power, 50 hit
Role: 55—Above-average regular behind the plate
Major league ETA: 2017
Kazmir交易案从休士顿农场挖来的，我认为这是神之一挖(?)
Nottingham在去年并没有多少人给他太好的评价，结果2015年他的进步相当巨大，
身为捕手，他缴出了.3/.37/.5的成绩并轰出17发全垒打(119场)，球探认为他的挥棒
速度有提升，让人眼睛为之一亮。不过整体而言他的捕手能力还有待琢磨，在1A偶尔
会守一垒，若捕手能力能练完整他的分数在将来会更高....毕竟强打捕手世界稀有
Bret Sayre甚至认为他将来的Power不会输给Evan Gattis，Gattis之前在勇士队当
捕手都有单季20轰的成绩，今年在太空人专心打DH轰了27轰，但同样的问题，
对于Nottingham的Contact潜力目前只能给到50分
4. Matt Olson, 1B
DOB: 3/29/1994
Height/Weight: 6’5” 230 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/R
Future Tools: 65 power, 60 arm
Role: 50—Average regular at first
Major league ETA: 2016
此君去年在1A干了37发全垒打并且选了117个保送(138场)，今年到2A全垒打降到17发
但一样选了超过100次的保送，完全就像是个标准的绿帽农场楷模XD
BB%相当高，长打工具高达65分，让人期待成为下一个蛋哥。一般认为他长的好并且
将来喂给他很多PA，可以在大联盟打出30发以上全垒打。但也因为他的守备位置，
所以最好希望他的选球能力能慢慢复制到大联盟，毕竟他没有很高的hit分数
5. Richie Martin, SS
DOB: 12/22/1994
Height/Weight: 6’0” 190 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 60 speed, 60 glove
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular at shortstop
Major league ETA: 2018
6. Matt Chapman, 3B
DOB: 04/28/1993
Height/Weight: 6’2” 205 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 60 glove, 50+ power
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular third baseman
Major league ETA: 2017
7. Yairo Munoz, SS
DOB: 01/23/1995
Height/Weight: 6’1” 165 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 55 speed, 50-plus raw power
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular infielder
Major league ETA: 2017
8. Casey Meisner, RHP
DOB: 05/22/1995
Height/Weight: 6’7” 190 lbs.
Future Tools: 60 fastball, 50 curveball
Role: 45—Back-end starter/high-leverage reliever
Major league ETA: 2017
9. Chad Pinder, IF
DOB: 03/29/1992
Height/Weight: 6’2” 190 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 arm, 50 hit
Role: 45—Utility player
Major league ETA: 2017
10. Renato Nunez, 3B
DOB: 04/04/1994
Height/Weight: 6’1” 200 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 55 power, 55 arm
Role: 45—Backup corner-infielder
Major league ETA: 2016
酿酒人:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=27976
1. Orlando Arcia, SS
DOB: 08/04/1994
Height/Weight: 6’0” 165 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 60 glove, 60 speed, 55 hit
Role: 60—First-division shortstop
Major league ETA: 2016
酿酒人今年农常评比超高，是个A system。跟运动家同样排名第一的是闪耀的
游击手，Role高达60分，且今年进步非常大。拥有很好的bat control去打大部分的球
并击到球场任一处，而且他脚程非常好，Power没有运动家那位Barreto那么好，但
未来预期能有.280、10轰、25次以上盗垒的实力，而且他的守备评价很高，又是一个
梦幻的游击手model，当然前提是养程顺利。他去年已经在2A层级了，缴出3成打率
25盗垒，看来不用太久就能见到他登入大联盟。
2. Brett Phillips, OF
DOB: 05/30/1994
Height/Weight: 6’0” 180 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 60 run, 55 glove, 55 hit
Role: 55—Above-average regular in center field.
Major league ETA: 2017
3. Jorge Lopez, RHP
DOB: 02/10/1993
Height/Weight: 6’3”v190 lbs.
Future Tools: 65 fastball, 60 curveball
Role: 55—Above-average starting pitcher
Major league ETA: Already debuted
又一位速球男，这样的人只能排在酿酒人农作物第三名。他被认为将来在大联盟
能投出单季180三振。他甚至被认为2016就能进大联盟先发，养成顺利的话将来能
扛到二号位置。
4. Trent Clark, OF
DOB: 11/01/1996
Height/Weight: 6’0” 205 lbs.
Bats/Throws: L/L
Future Tools: 60 hit, 55 run
Role: 50+—Solid-average regular in a corner outfield position
Major league ETA: 2018
5. Gilbert Lara, SS
DOB: 10/30/1997
Height/Weight: 6’0” 190 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 power, 60 arm
Role: 50—Average regular at shortstop or solid-average regular at third base
Major league ETA: 2019
他破了酿酒人签约海外幼苗的签约金纪录，只有一个原因-Power。有点像走Miguel Sano
路线，他就现阶段Power的展望已经有60分(有些给更高)，实际上他才刚满18岁!
2015年17岁嫩到不行就已经在菜鸟联盟出赛，也打得很菜，慢慢适应中，目前他还很苗条
(大部分的资料都是6'2或6'3，不知为何BP列的身高只有6'0)，且镇守游击。但他并没有
什么突出的速度与敏捷性，一般认为他将来很快就会转三垒或左外野，甚至变一垒手，
总之一切都有点像Sano路线。就希望他的Power真的也能像Sano那样威猛，Sano的全垒打
数字一路从小联盟屠杀上去，今年在大联盟才出赛几场就轰出10几轰，就看这位名字有点
萌的Lara小弟弟未来能扛几轰了。
6. Devin Williams, RHP
DOB: 09/21/1994
Height/Weight: 6’3” 165 lbs.
Future Tools: 60 fastball, 55 change
Role: 50—Mid-rotation starter/high-leverage reliever
Major league ETA: 2017
7. Monte Harrison, OF
DOB: 08/10/1995
Height/Weight: 6’3” 220 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 70 arm, 60 speed, 60 glove
Role: 50—Average corner-outfield regular
Major league ETA: 2018
8. Zach Davies, RHP
DOB: 02/07/1993
Future Tools: 70 change, 55 command
Role: 45—Back-end starter
Major league ETA: Already debuted
9. Cody Ponce, RHP
DOB: 04/25/1994
Height/Weight: 6’6” 240 lbs.
Future Tools: 60 fastball, 50 curve
Role: 45—back-end starter/high-leverage reliever
Major league ETA: 2018
10. Tyrone Taylor, OF
DOB: 01/22/1995
Height/Weight: 6’0” 185 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Future Tools: 60 speed, 55 glove
Role: 45—Fringe-average regular in center field/fourth outfielder
Major league ETA: 2016