Kris Medlen's Repertoire, Animated
by Carson Cistulli - September 4, 2012
http://ppt.cc/OJRd
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Anyone who's made his way to these electronic pages is likely well-aware
that Kris Medlen has been excellent of late — is, in fact, the majors' best
pitcher over the last month by most relevant measures. Nor, really, has
Medlen been more excellent of late than he was on Monday afternoon against
the Colorado Rockies (box), during which game he recorded 12 strikeouts and
zero walks en route to conceding just a lone, unearned run in nine innings.
近一个月以来Kris Medlen是大联盟最强的投手
星期一下午对上Rockies 他投出12次三振 没有保送 另外只掉了一分的非自责分
While our Ben Duronio provided entirely able analysis in re Medlen just last
week, it occurs to the present author that the People could tolerate more in
the way of Medlen-related analysis.
虽然上星期另一个作家Ben Duronio提出他对Kris Medlen的看法
但显然的大家可以接受另一篇分析的文章
Below is a more or less competent examination — accompanied by more than
less animated GIFs — of Medlen's repertoire.
Changeup 变速球
While it might be customary to begin a discussion of a pitcher's repertoire
with his fastball, Medlen's changeup is his best offering — has, in fact,
been among the best in the league this year. Among all pitchers who've
thrown at least 50 of them (i.e. changeups) this season, Medlen's has
prevented the most runs on a rate basis.
虽然习惯性的一开始就会介绍投手的直球 但Medlen最强的就是他的变速球
事实上他的变速球是目前联盟中最好的
在所有投手中投超过50球以上的 Medlen是守下最多分数的
To wit, the league's top-10 pitchers, by runs above average per 100
changeups thrown:
为了证明 这里排出用变速球守下最多分数的前10位投手
Name Team IP %Thrown Total Runs/Avg Runs/100
Kris Medlen Braves 104.0 20.5% 295 14.1 4.8
Yovani Gallardo Brewers 173.1 1.9% 56 2.6 4.7
Fernando Rodney Rays 62.1 35.1% 329 15.3 4.7
Huston Street Padres 36.0 17.3% 89 3.4 3.8
Danny Duffy Royals 27.2 10.9% 57 2.0 3.6
A.J. Griffin Athletics 51.2 14.9% 125 4.4 3.5
Freddy Garcia Yankees 93.2 9.6% 148 4.9 3.3
Andrew Cashner Padres 36.2 16.6% 107 3.5 3.3
Chris Tillman Orioles 61.0 14.7% 155 4.7 3.1
Juan Cruz Pirates 35.2 12.2% 82 2.4 3.0
Medlen has thrown the pitch about 20% of the time this year, nor did Monday's
start represent any sort of departure from that usage pattern: 25 of Medlen's
111 pitches (22.5%) against Colorado were changeups. As Ben Duronio
recently noted, it's a pitch he's willing to throw to both opposite- and
same-handed batters: of the 41 total pitches Medlen threw to left-handed
batters, 11 were changeups (26.8%); of the 70 total pitches he threw to
righties, 14 of them were changes (20.0%). This likely represents a departure
from the way many other pitchers utilize the change.
Medlen今年投变速的比例超过20% 在星期一的比赛中111球有25球是变速(22.5%)
像Ben Duronio说的 不管是左打右打 他都会投变速
ex:星期一 对左打41球内有11球是变速(26.8%);对右打70球内则有14球是变速(20.0%)
Here's something pretty close to an "average" changeup for Medlen — to
strike out Carlos Gonzalez in the ninth — both in terms of velocity (80 mph)
and movement (8.3 inches of armside run, 6.2 inches of rise relative to a
ball unaltered by air current/spin).
下方是一球对于Medlen相当"一般"的变速 这球三振了Carlos Gonzalez
http://ppt.cc/oW6u
While the standard deviation of the velocity on Medlen's change is quite
small (he threw all 25 of them between 78 and 81 mph on Monday), Medlen will
occasionally alter the amount of armside run it features. Here's an example
— to Dexter Fowler in the sixth inning — of a change with a little more run
(ca. 10 inches) and a little more drop (about 2-3 more inches than usual):
Medlen的变速球球速是差不多的(78-81mph) 他偶尔会改变增加球的位移
http://ppt.cc/4sII
And here's another, with less run (just five inches) for a called strike
three to Chris Nelson in the seventh:
这是另一种位移(缩小)
http://ppt.cc/Cgbv
Two-Seam Fastball 二缝线
In some cases, pitchers who are reported as having a two-seam fastball by
PITCHf/x are actually throwing just a single fastball that effs with the
system's pitch-classification algorithm. In the case of Medlen, however,
there really do appear to be separate pitches, as noted by this by chart from
Medlen's Monday start:
在某些情况下PITCHf/x认定为二缝线的很可能是普通的四缝线,这跟系统的算法有关
但在Medlen的情况下是有两种不同的直球的(如下表)
http://ppt.cc/2xOa
And, more importantly, by Medlen himself:
Twitter:
JJ McLaughlin 14 Feb 12
KrisMedlen 2 seam or 4 seam your fav to throw
Kris Medlen 14 Feb 12
2 seam. More room for error. Plus my change up moves the same so it looks
similar to the hitter.
Medlen自己在Twitter上说 他更喜欢投二缝线 因为有更多空间可以犯错
另外他的变速跟二缝线的位移 让打者觉得是一样的球路
Medlen's usage of the two-seamer, more than with any other pitch, is
dependent on the handedness of the batter — or, at least this was the case
on Monday. Of the 41 pitches he threw to left-handed Rockies batters, only 11
were classified as two-seamers (26.8%); meanwhile, about 44% (or, 31) of 70
total pitches to right-handers were two-seamers.
在面对同侧的打者(右打) Medlen投的二缝线是所有球种内最多的(至少星期一是如此)
在面对左打的41球内只有11球是二缝线(26.8%);
但对右打则高达44%(31-70)
None of the two-seam fastballs thrown by Medlen on Monday induced a
swinging-strike — and he's posted just a 3.2% swinging-strike rate on the
pitch all season relative to the league-average of about 5%, according to
Harry Pavlidis). Still, as Medlen notes, it's possible that part of his
changeup's effectiveness is its resemblance to this pitch.
在星期一球赛中 没有任何一球二缝线是挥棒落空的
事实上整个球季 二缝线的挥空率仅有3.2%(联盟平均是5%)
但就像Medlen说的 变速球的威力来自于与二缝线相同的位移
Here's a the most "average" two-seamer (in terms of movement) thrown by
Medlen on Monday — to Wilin Rosario in the first:
以下是普通的二缝线
http://ppt.cc/s3fz
Four-Seam Fastball 四缝线
According to Brooks Baseball, Medlen has thrown his four-seamer almost three
times as often against right- than left-handed batters (13% vs. 5%). Against
those right-handed batters, he's thrown it almost twice as often while ahead
in the count (17%) than while behind (10%). In short, the four-seamer is a
pitch that Medlen will throw rarely — but when he does throw it, he's
normally throwing it against a right-hander and looking for a strikeout.
根据Brooks Baseball的统计 Medlen面对右打投出的四缝线是面对左打的三倍(13% vs 5%)
当面对右打球数领先时 他更会投二缝线 几乎是球数落后时的一倍(17% vs 10%)
换句话说 四缝线他很少投 但是如果要投通常是面对右打 而且是想夺三振
Here he is doing all those things at once, on an 0-2 count against Andrew
Brown in the eighth:
下方就是Andrew Brown在2好球后被Medlen用四缝线三振出局的情况
http://ppt.cc/A7QJ
Curveball 曲球
Like most of his other pitches, the curve is one that Medlen will throw to
both right- and left-handed batters. Of the 23 he threw on Monday, eight of
them were to left-handers (or, 19.5% of all the pitches he threw to
left-handers); to right-handed batters, he threw 15 curves, or 21.4% of all
the pitches he threw to righties. Generally speaking, Medlen's curve is
pretty hittable in the zone: opposing batters have a 98.2% contact rate on
curves at which they offer within the zone against him. Related to that is
this: while the average major-league curve has a called-strike rate of ca.
45%, Medlen's is about half that this season, at ca. 21%.
就像他其他的球种 曲球也是他面对左打右打都会使用的
在星期一投的23球曲球内8球对左打(19.5%) 15球对右打(21.4%)
大致上来说他的曲球算是打的到的 球在好球带内 打者有98.2%的击球率
大联盟曲球平均被判好球率是45% Medlen只有约一半(21%)
To combat the hit-ability of the pitch, Medlen goes outside the zone with it
more often than other pitchers. Here is he doing that to Dexter Fowler in the
third inning, with an 0-2 count:
为了避免打者对于打曲球造成的伤害 Medlen通常都把曲球投到好球带外
以下是Medlen投的曲球 第3局面对Dexter Fowler 2好球没坏球
http://ppt.cc/6Q0s
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这位被期待成为下一个Greg Maddux的Medlen
看来控球相当的可怕 二缝线搭配变速 十分混淆打者
不知道会不会成为另一个Maddux 但看起来未来发展会是只ACE
勇士先发
Tim Hudson- Tommy Hanson- Paul Maholm- Kris Medlen- Mike Minor
Brandon Beachy- Ben Sheets- Julio Teheran- Randall Delgado
好像有点恶心 XXD