※ [本文转录自 NY-Yankees 看板 #1F-Sa36y ]
作者: iwillloveyou (darren79525) 看板: NY-Yankees
标题: [外电] Should the Yankees trade for Hamels?
时间: Mon Jul 9 01:53:05 2012
全文 : http://tinyurl.com/82kxwjg 作者 : Matt Imbrogo
While the Mets staying above water and the White Sox leading the A.L. Central
have been surprising stories of the 2012 season, there seems to be no bigger
surprise than the Philadelphnia Phillies. As I write this, they're nine games
under .500, sitting in last place (11 GB) of the first place Washington
National (!). While some predicted a fall by the Phillies this year, few
could've seen them falling this far. While they refuse to call themselves
sellers, they've traded both Jim Thome (to the O's) and Chad Qualls (to the
Yankees) in the past week. There have also been rumors that the team is
shopping outfielder Shane Victorino and leftly starter (and personal favorite)
Cole Hamels.
当 梅子 仍旧维持在竞争行列和 白袜 在美联中区保持领先都令人讶异的时候,
费城费城人 的战绩才是2012年球季最让人跌破眼镜的事。
当我正在写这篇文章时, 他们已经低于五成胜率九场了 , 落后国联东区的领先者 华盛顿
国民 11场胜差之多。当大多数人都认为 费城人 的战绩只会比往年逊色一些，但很少人
能够料到他们会跌到这么深 （感谢Luxti大 指正)
费城人拒绝称呼自己是卖家, 但他们在上个礼拜已经把汤米大叔交易去金鸟,
Chad Qualls 给了洋基( Damn! )。他们也卷入了一些乳摸, 想要卖掉外野手
Shane Victorino 和 左投手 黑魔使( 作者的最爱 )。
Of these pieces, there should be obvious interest in Hamels. In the abstract.
he is perfext fore the Yankees. He's a lefty entering his prime - this is his
age 28 seaon - and he strikes people out ( no fewer than 20% K rate in any of
his pro seasons ) without walking them (career 6.2 BB% ). He doesn’t quite
keep the ball on the ground as much as we’d like–43.3% career ground ball
rate–but his HR/FB–11.15%–isn’t all that worse than average,
considering the infrequency of grounders. Of course that sounds great;
the Yankees, and any team for that matter, should always want a pitcher that
good. But is it practical and realistic for the Yankees to attempt to acquire
Hamels?
从这些现象来看, 费城人 一定有很大的兴趣想要卖掉黑魔使。大略来看呢, 他跟 洋基
根本就是绝配!!
(注:
先来看一下黑魔使的成绩
本季:
17 GS 10 W 4 L ERA 3.20 118IP SO/9 9.0 BB/9 2.2 SO/BB 4.07
生涯0
197GS 84W 58L ERA 3.38 1279IP SO/9 8.5 BB/9 2.3 SO/BB 3.77
三度 All Star 两次获得Cya选票前十 ( 5. 6 各一)
2008 年 国联冠军赛MVP + 世界冠军赛MVP 史上第五位一次抱走两个季后赛MVP者)
他是左投并且即将步入他的生涯颠峰期－这是他28岁的球季－他三振一狗票人 (在他的
职业生涯中从来没有三振率低于 20% ) 保送非常少 ( 生涯保送率 6.2% )。
虽然他不太是我们的最爱－尽可能地保持把球控制成滚地球，43%的滚地球, 但一直以来
被轰的机率非常低－这在滚地球投手上都是很罕见，这些数据都比标准值还低！！
当然这显示他有多棒， 洋基 或者任何一支球队都会想要一个这么好的投手。
但，从现实上来看， 洋基 真的有必要去交易来得到他吗？
It’s practical in that the Yankees do have a hole in the rotation, and will
have one until Andy Pettitte returns. With him out, the Yankees could use an
extra starter. Of course, that could lead to a log jam if Phil Hughes and
Ivan Nova continue to pitch well, but that “too much pitching” thing always
seems to work itself out, just like it did early this year. And, cliche as
this may sound, flags fly forever. There’s no doubt that Hamels would do a
lot in helping to secure a 28th World Series title. They should try to trade
for Hamels, but can they? This is where it gets dicey.
洋基 确实在先发投手的轮值上有缺陷，并且会在 派提特 归队前都会有一个空缺。
当 派提特 不在阵中的时候， 洋基 必须使用额外的一位先发投手。
如果 休斯 和 诺瓦 继续投的很棒，这会变成一个甜蜜的负担，但是太多投手总是
可以有方法解决的，就像 洋基 去年球季初那样。（注）
好吧，这么说就像老生常谈。谁都不能否认说 黑魔使 可以给 洋基 赢得
第二十八次冠军很大的帮助。他们可以试着去交易 黑魔使 ，但是他们可以吗？
这才是问题所在。
（注： 洋基 去年也是有六位先发投手：
分别是CC . Burnett . Hughes . Garcia . Colon . Nova ,
但由于Hughes 球季初的球速、痛痛等问题而得到解决 ）
While the Phillies may turn into sellers, they definitely have the ability to
compete in the coming years without gutting the current team too much. Because
of that, it's presumable that they'd want upper-livel prospests that are
ML-ready or close to it .The Yankees don’t really have that. While
Manny Banuelos could represent that, he’s been some combination of shaky or
hurt all season and probably isn’t good enough on his own to headline a
package for a pitcher of Hamels’caliber.
If the Yankees are to acquire Hamels, they could definitely include Banuelos,
but they’d also have to include a lot of lower-level talent that
may not be too enticing to the Phillies, depending on what other teams can
offer. There’s also the financial issue, as I’d assume the Yankees would
want an extension window with Hamels. Considering the $189M payroll looming
for 2014, as referenced here, it might be a tough proposition to give Hamels
the contract he wants. That, of course, is another issue altogether, which I’
ll tackle next week during the All-Star Break.
确实 费城人 可能会转变成卖家。他们不需要改变阵容太多就绝对有能力在外来几年中
继续保持竞争力。正因为如此，可以推测他们大概会想要的交易包裹是高层级的新秀，那
些准备好上大联盟的或是至少靠近的。 洋基 说真的确实没有这些。虽然，
Manny Banuelos 可以说是 费城人 想要的那种新秀的代表，但痛痛和低潮已经使他无
法成为足够去交易 黑魔使 的主要包裹。
假使 洋基 要去交易黑魔使，可以肯定包裹中一定得包括 Banuelos 但是一定还包含了
更多低阶联盟的新秀，这跟其他球队的交易提案相比，可能无法吸引 费城人 。
除此之外，还有财政上的问题，假使 洋基 想要跟 黑魔使 续约，考虑到 2014年
球队的 1.89 亿美元的薪资上限，给 黑魔使 他想要的合约会是一个很困难的问题。
当然，这又是另一个问题了。作者将会在下周，明星赛周中讨论这个问题。