http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/building-through-the-draft-best-of-th
e-best/
过去十年哪些球队农场的新秀贡献最多 作者以WAR做计算方式(括号后面是WAR除人数)
不过交易出去的球员似乎没算在里面?
Prospects have never been trendier amongst baseball fans than they are right
now. The MLB Draft is now televised, most baseball blogs and online publications
now publish at least a Top 10 Prospects list for each organization, and
struggling fan bases such as that of the Kansas City Royals have begun to see
their attendance rise as their prized minor leaguers begin to reach the majors.
The same can be said for their popularity within major league organizations,
too. Teams have begun pouring so much money into the draft that the new CBA
contains specific limitations to curb the spending spree. Teams now often value
control years more than overall talent and have become extremely cautious in
parting with top prospects to acquire proven talent. This generalization goes
for both big-market and small-market franchises, too, which is something that
was not often said in previous years.
Which teams have benefited most from homegrown talent in recent years? Which
teams have drafted amateur players and developed them into major league talent
the best?
For a lack of a better endpoint, I chose to look at the draft history of the
past decade. I ranked teams in total wins above replacement added by these
homegrown players since the 2002 Draft, but also included the average WAR per
homegrown player for that club. This helps determine if a team simply hit big
on a player or two, or if they had a more holistic success in developing
quality big league talent through the draft.
Below are the top five franchises in terms of WAR accumulated by homegrown
talent:
#5) Tampa Bay Rays — 80.2 WAR (4.46 WAR/player)
Their inclusion should surprise few, as Tampa Bay has been the poster child
for small market organizations building through the draft, but the Rays’
draft history over the past decade has been a mixed bag of success. The
organization has only drafted and developed 18 big leaguers in the past
decade. Only two teams (Houston and Philadelphia) have developed less
homegrown talent. When the Rays have found success in the draft over the
past decade, though, they hit the jackpot. Two superstars — Evan
Longoria and David Price — along with 2002 first-round pick B.J. Upton
combine for 71.2% of the total WAR accumulated by homegrown players in that
time frame. And with Desmond Jennings and Matt Moore poised for breakout
campaigns in 2012, it seems the Rays are poised to cash in on the draft yet
again.
#4) Milwaukee Brewers — 86 WAR (3.91 WAR/player)
After a decade of occupying the cellar in both the AL Central and NL Central,
the Milwaukee Brewers transformed their big league squad through the draft.
Since 2002, they anchored their lineup with the homegrown trio of Prince
Fielder, Rickie Weeks, and Ryan Braun. They also drafted a fringe-ace in
right-hander Yovani Gallardo, who has pitched atop their rotation for the
past handful of seasons. General manager Doug Melvin then acquired
complementary pieces via trade and free agency, which resulted in the first
two postseason appearances for Milwaukee since the 1982 season.
#3) Los Angeles Dodgers — 95.5 WAR (3.98 WAR/player)
The recent legal troubles for the organization have sullied what was a solid
run from 2006-2009. The latter portion of that stretch was driven by homegrown
talent in every portion of the roster. Chad Billingsley and Clayton Kershaw
headlined the rotation; Matt Kemp — and to a lesser extent Russell Martin
and James Loney — provided value in the batting order; and Jonathan Broxton
locked down the closer’s role. The Dodgers reached two consecutive Game 5’s
in the NLCS in 2008 and 2009. The organization
hopes that more recent draftees Dee Gordon, Zach Lee, and Nate Eovaldi can
complement Kemp and Kershaw over the next three or four years and help the
organization to a postseason berth yet again.
#2) San Francisco Giants — 97.9 WAR (2.88 WAR/player)
San Francisco has been a perennial contender in the NL West for over a decade
and earned a World Series championship in 2010, yet many fans overlook just
how well the organization has performed in the draft over the past decade.
Not only have the Giants acquired superstar talent — like Tim Lincecum —
through the draft, but they also have accumulated a myriad of useful big
league players. In fact, only the Miami Marlins and Detroit Tigers have seen
more homegrown talent drafted since 2002 make major league debuts. Players
such as Matt Cain, Brian Wilson, Sergio Romo, Jonathan Sanchez, Madison
Bumgarner, and Buster Posey have all played significant roles in the
organization’s success in the past decade. The average WAR per player is not
overly impressive for the Giants since the 2002 Draft, but the overall
accumulation of talent is perhaps the best in baseball.
#1) Boston Red Sox — 100.3 WAR (4.36 WAR/player)
With Theo Epstein at the helm, the Red Sox became one of the most-effectively
run organizations in Major League Baseball, and that extended to the draft.
Since the 2002 season, the organization drafted one MVP (Dustin Pedroia) and
one who perhaps should have been MVP (Jacoby Ellsbury). They drafted one of
the best closers in baseball (Jonathan Papelbon), one of the best left-handed
starters in baseball (Jon Lester), and one of the best set-up men in baseball
(Daniel Bard). Boston doesn’t quite boast the overall depth of quality
homegrown talent that San Francisco does, but the upper echelon is clearly
the cream of the crop.