※ 引述《CanoNYY (CanoNYY)》之铭言：
: 2011 Cy Young Predictor - AL
: RK PLAYER TEAM CYP G GS IP ER SO SV SHO W-L ERA VB
: 1 Justin Verlander DET 220.6 31 31 229.0 62 232 0 2 22- 5 2.44 12
: 2 CC Sabathia NYY 176.0 30 30 218.1 72 211 0 1 19- 7 2.97 8
: 3 Jered Weaver LAA 161.5 29 29 206.1 57 176 0 2 16- 7 2.49 5
: 4 Jose Valverde DET 142.6 64 0 61.1 17 54 42 0 2- 4 2.49 12
: 5 C.J. Wilson TEX 142.3 30 30 201.0 70 179 0 1 15- 6 3.13 7
: 6 James Shield TB 139.2 29 29 218.0 67 205 0 4 14-10 2.77 0
: 7 Jon Lester BOS 135.3 27 27 172.0 56 167 0 0 15- 6 2.93 4
: 8 Dan Haren LAA 131.1 31 30 208.1 74 169 0 2 14- 8 3.20 5
: 9 Mariano Rivera NYY 129.6 57 0 55.0 13 53 39 0 1- 2 2.13 8
: 10 Josh Beckett BOS 128.3 27 27 173.2 48 155 0 1 12- 5 2.49 4
: 2011 Cy Young Predictor - NL
: RK PLAYER TEAM CYP G GS IP ER SO SV SHO W-L ERA VB
: 1 Ian Kennedy ARI 179.1 30 30 202.0 65 178 0 1 19- 4 2.90 10
: 2 Cliff Lee PHI 174.2 28 28 203.2 56 204 0 6 16- 7 2.47 12
: 3 Roy Halladay PHI 170.8 28 28 202.2 56 195 0 0 16- 5 2.49 12
: 4 Clayton Kershaw LAD 170.8 29 29 205.2 56 222 0 2 17- 5 2.45 0
: 5 Craig Kimbrel ATL 163.8 71 0 69.2 12 115 43 0 4- 2 1.55 0
: 6 John Axford MIL 148.7 66 0 64.2 16 75 41 0 2- 2 2.23 12
: 7 Cole Hamels PHI 148.0 28 28 194.0 56 171 0 0 14- 7 2.60 12
: 8 Brian Wilson SF 132.6 55 0 53.2 19 52 35 0 6- 4 3.19 2
: 9 Drew Storen WSH 132.6 62 0 64.1 23 58 34 0 6- 3 3.22 0
: 10 J.J. Putz ARI 131.8 52 0 51.1 14 51 38 0 2- 2 2.45 10
: *Cy Young Points (CYP) = ((5*IP/9)-ER) + (SO/12) + (SV*2.5) + Shutouts +
: ((W*6)-(L*2)) + VB (see below).
: *Victory Bonus (VB) is a 12-point bonus awarded for leading your team to the
: division championship (pro-rated based on the current standings).
: *以上战绩有包含今日数据
AL应该无悬念了...NL目前战况胶着
传统数据已经战过了 来个进阶数据比一比
Player ERA FIP xFIP ERA+ WAR
IPK 2.90 3.37 3.51 134 4.2(FG) 4.6(BR)
Lee 2.47 2.64 2.76 157 5.9 6.1
Halladay 2.49 2.12 2.61 156 7.4 6.2
Kershaw 2.45 2.44 2.81 151 6.2 5.7
IPK的进阶数据下修的幅度比较大 ERA+ WAR都输其他三人有一截
这几年看WAR来预测有一定的准度
至于胜投...去年King 13W拿到CYA之后真的说不准
就不列入讨论了 进阶数据来看 我真的不认为IPK机会跟其他三人一样大
各位认为呢