[防守] Big Zone Metric

楼主: abc12812   2009-03-17 18:41:52
这是THT的Peter Jensen建立的一种防守模型
数据来源是参考Gameday
以下是各个位置在2008年的排名
(数字代表每150场比平均少失的分数,请注意负数是表示高于平均,不要搞错了)
===============================================================================
First Baseman:
Lance Berkman -28.6
Albert Pujols -23.3
Lyle Overbay -22.7
Mark Teixeira -21.8
Daric Barton -17.4
Casey Kotchman -16.3
Joey Votto -13.2
Chad Tracy -10.5
Adrian Gonzalez -10.2
Miguel Cabrera -6.5
Todd Helton -6.4
Carlos Pena -5.6
Carlos Delgado -3.4
Derrek Lee -3.4
Paul Konerko -3
Ryan Howard -2
Conor Jackson 0
Kevin Millar 0
Kevin Youkilis 0
James Loney 0.7
Justin Morneau 0.8
Rich Aurilia 1.5
Nick Swisher 2.4
John Bowker 3.2
Adam LaRoche 5.9
Jason Giambi 8.5
Ryan Garko 8.6
Prince Fielder 9.1
Ross Gload 17.3
Garrett Atkins 17.9
Richie Sexson 22.5
Mike Jacobs 26
===============================================================================
Second Baseman:
Adam Kennedy -18.5
Clint Barmes -17.7
Jamey Carroll -15.8
Mark Ellis -13.6
Aaron Miles -12.8
Chase Utley -11.7
Asdrubal Cabrera -8.5
Placido Polanco -8.1
Mike Fontenot -5.7
Edgar Gonzalez -5
Howie Kendrick -5
Freddy Sanchez -4
Rickie Weeks -3.6
Brandon Phillips -2.8
Dustin Pedroia -2.5
Jeff Kent -2.5
Mark Grudzielanek 0.5
Alexei Ramirez 1.9
Jose Lopez 2.1
Dan Uggla 2.2
Ian Kinsler 2.2
Brian Roberts 2.5
Robinson Cano 3.2
Kelly Johnson 4.2
Joe Inglett 4.7
Aaron Hill 5.5
Akinori Iwamura 7.7
Alexi Casilla 10.2
Tadahito Iguchi 10.8
Orlando Hudson 11
Felipe Lopez 11.1
Mark DeRosa 12.7
Ray Durham 17.5
Damion Easley 17.8
Kazuo Matsui 18.4
Luis Castillo 22.3
===============================================================================
Third Baseman:
Scott Rolen -28.2
Andy Marte -23.9
Mike Lowell -17.1
Evan Longoria -15.8
Jack Hannahan -15.6
Joe Crede -14.9
Adrian Beltre -14.6
Bill Hall -14
Mark Reynolds -10.3
Andy LaRoche -9.5
Chone Figgins -8.6
Alex Gordon -7.8
Pedro Feliz -7.7
Blake DeWitt -7
Juan Uribe -6.1
Jose Bautista -3.7
Ian Stewart -3.7
Carlos Guillen -3.6
Geoff Blum -2.8
Casey Blake -2.5
Kevin Kouzmanoff -0.1
Melvin Mora 0.3
Chipper Jones 1.4
Mike Lamb 2.1
Ty Wigginton 2.4
Aramis Ramirez 2.5
Alex Rodriguez 3.1
Brian Buscher 3.3
Garrett Atkins 3.6
Troy Glaus 4.5
Jorge Cantu 6.4
Edwin Encarnacion 9.7
Ramon Vazquez 10.7
Ryan Zimmerman 11.2
Rich Aurilia 12.2
Jose Castillo 13.2
David Wright 13.4
===============================================================================
Shortstop:
Mike Aviles -23
Marco Scutaro -22.8
Cristian Guzman -21.4
Jack Wilson -16.2
Nick Punto -12.8
Michael Young -11.4
Miguel Tejada -11.1
Angel Berroa -10.6
J.J. Hardy -9.6
Troy Tulowitzki -9.6
Yunel Escobar -8.9
Jimmy Rollins -8
Cesar Izturis -7.4
Omar Vizquel -7.4
Orlando Cabrera -7.1
Tony Pena -6.4
Derek Jeter -3.1
Hanley Ramirez -1.6
Bobby Crosby -0.3
Jose Reyes 0
Ryan Theriot 2.4
Jhonny Peralta 2.7
Jason Bartlett 5.5
Edgar Renteria 5.6
Khalil Greene 7.7
Julio Lugo 12.5
Yuniesky Betancourt 16.3
Erick Aybar 18.5
John McDonald 21.6
David Eckstein 22.5
Jeff Keppinger 23.4
Stephen Drew 24.9
Brendan Harris 31.1
===============================================================================
Left Fielder:
Jay Payton -30.7
Johnny Damon -26.5
David DeJesus -25.8
Carl Crawford -24
Garret Anderson -16.1
Willie Harris -12.8
Juan Pierre -12.7
Conor Jackson -9.3
Wily Mo Pena -8
Matthew Joyce -7.3
Matt Holliday -6.2
Fred Lewis -6.2
Luke Scott -4.9
Chase Headley -2.2
Josh Willingham 2.4
Alfonso Soriano 5.5
Eric Byrnes 6.1
Emil Brown 6.4
Brandon Boggs 6.5
Ryan Braun 8.4
Ben Francisco 8.6
Marcus Thames 9.2
Luis Gonzalez 12.5
Carlos Quentin 12.9
Carlos Lee 15.1
Adam Dunn 15.2
Adam Lind 17.1
Manny Ramirez 17.6
Raul Ibanez 19.3
Delmon Young 20.4
Gregor Blanco 20.6
Pat Burrell 28.5
Jason Bay 31.8
Jack Cust 34.1
===============================================================================
Center Fielder:
Jody Gerut -36.3
Ichiro Suzuki -31.6
Jacoby Ellsbury -28.5
Carlos Gomez -25.4
Melky Cabrera -25.1
Cody Ross -18.3
Carlos Beltran -16.3
Mike Cameron -14.3
Corey Patterson -13.9
Curtis Granderson -12.8
B.J. Upton -10.9
Shane Victorino -9.2
Adam Jones -7.2
Grady Sizemore -5.8
Chris Young -5.7
Willy Taveras -5.3
Joey Gathright -3.1
Aaron Rowand -3.1
Rick Ankiel -2.9
Josh Hamilton 0
Coco Crisp 0.5
Torii Hunter 2.3
Jim Edmonds 3.7
Matt Kemp 3.9
Vernon Wells 5.7
Skip Schumaker 8.1
Michael Bourn 11.2
Lastings Milledge 14.8
Mark Kotsay 18.5
Reed Johnson 19.2
Nate McLouth 19.4
===============================================================================
Right Fielder:
Franklin Gutierrez -41.3
Denard Span -32
Gabe Gross -19.8
Geoff Jenkins -18.4
Jose Guillen -18.3
Elijah Dukes -17.2
Jayson Werth -13.6
Brian Giles -11.8
Austin Kearns -11.8
Ryan Sweeney -11.1
Michael Cuddyer -10.7
Randy Winn -10.2
Brad Wilkerson -7.9
Jeremy Hermida -7.7
Kosuke Fukudome -7.6
Nick Markakis -7.4
Xavier Nady -6.2
Alex Rios -5.2
Mark Teahen -3.4
Corey Hart -3
Ichiro Suzuki -2
Matt Kemp -1.8
Ryan Church -0.2
Bobby Abreu 0.6
Justin Upton 4
Andre Ethier 4.8
Vladimir Guerrero 5.3
Ken Griffey 6.9
Jermaine Dye 9.9
Hunter Pence 9.9
Ryan Ludwick 12.4
J.D. Drew 13.3
Jeff Francoeur 14.2
Magglio Ordonez 16.3
Jay Bruce 22.3
Brad Hawpe 48.7
作者: synchron   2009-03-17 18:48:00
David Wright竟然垫底,Hawpe也未免差太多了吧
楼主: abc12812   2009-03-17 18:49:00
其实最咸鱼翻身的是...Mark Reynolds!
作者: appshjkli (猫肉球)   2009-03-17 19:07:00
Melky Cabrera -25.1 XDDDD这也正太多了XD
作者: MauriceLM (rebirth)   2009-03-17 19:14:00
"比平均少失的分数" 应该把"少"改成"多"比较合理吧
作者: YHank (Hank--since 2002/10)   2009-03-17 19:15:00
Abreu居然接近平均 Jeter防守居然高于平均 还有Mentle防守排名居然前几...这数据真的怪怪的..........
作者: Nikezoomair (Kent)   2009-03-17 19:15:00
D.Wright 竟然垫底 0.0
作者: NAMESTANLY (Stanley~ New life)   2009-03-17 19:17:00
NYY 中左外野 那么强~对耶 Wright 居然垫底 ~wow出乎意料
作者: Valter (V)   2009-03-17 19:18:00
Melky守备是不错 可是他的打击...
作者: MauriceLM (rebirth)   2009-03-17 19:19:00
Jason Bay @@"
作者: jayin07 ( ⊙o⊙)   2009-03-17 19:21:00
没看过站在Green Monster前面防守数据会好看的...
作者: Terry1984 (puppy)   2009-03-17 19:21:00
跟其他防守评价差好多
作者: marx93521 (<阿ㄉ一ㄥˋ>)   2009-03-17 19:22:00
我知道牛奶弟臂力好 可是守备好吗?谁可以帮忙说明一下
作者: jayin07 ( ⊙o⊙)   2009-03-17 19:26:00
防守数据就参考看看而已嘛...好几家做出来的数据都有差距...
作者: weian (林帛亨加油!!!)   2009-03-17 19:52:00
Reynolds , Damon 跟 开心的洞一洞 都让我很意外 @@
作者: jhunfong (Adun Toridas)   2009-03-17 20:02:00
Chase Utely的守备本来就没那么差 只是明星赛让他黑掉
作者: jayin07 ( ⊙o⊙)   2009-03-17 20:03:00
是在讲Dan Uggla吧
作者: eigawa   2009-03-17 20:06:00
所以洋基补铁爷就赚了30分XD
作者: OoyaoO (你今天崩潰了嗎 囧)   2009-03-17 20:14:00
依据攻守 把Giambi换成铁爷洋基会多8胜
作者: catchtsu   2009-03-17 20:20:00
Scott Rolen即使老了还是没人可以比他守备强 太强惹
作者: pedro501 (小小高)   2009-03-17 20:27:00
D.Wright 竟然垫底
作者: catchtsu   2009-03-17 20:27:00
不过D.Wright和Ichiro(CF)的评估结果跟ZoneRating不一样
作者: Belladonaa   2009-03-17 20:28:00
/防守 => 有将各家数据取平均的 ARS 应该最客观
作者: Belladonaa   2009-03-17 20:29:00
单比较两家数据得不到什么结论
作者: catchtsu   2009-03-17 20:32:00
可能各种评估的方式着重的方面不一样吧, 要个别看
作者: Liriano   2009-03-17 20:32:00
一朗喜欢守的RF只比平均略好.守CF却是大幅领先XD
作者: jhunfong (Adun Toridas)   2009-03-17 20:39:00
是Uggla 我说错人了 sorry
作者: viro72 (阿斯)   2009-03-17 20:49:00
话说NYM的内野还真是抖= ="
作者: viro72 (阿斯)   2009-03-17 20:53:00
到底是谁跟我说一朗守CF很差的=___=
作者: majohn (喔)   2009-03-17 21:05:00
这是怎样算出来的阿?
作者: hollowmanx (New way of life)   2009-03-17 21:19:00
这篇真是大爆冷门XDDDD
作者: kimifort (奇米堡)   2009-03-17 21:23:00
NY外野怎么变这么威?
作者: jk2436   2009-03-17 22:32:00
hudson不是金手套二垒手吗??
作者: RaXePhOnZeRo   2009-03-17 22:50:00
这个也只是评估方法之一 DW就差很多
作者: roger744 (小胖)   2009-03-17 22:55:00
看到Jeter就知道不准 科科
作者: evaju (julubi)   2009-03-18 01:06:00
Wright垫底真的第一次看到
作者: lisungyu (随枫飘柏)   2009-03-18 01:54:00
3个日本2垒手都好惨...
作者: KKyosuke (春日恭介)   2009-03-18 16:28:00
John McDonald 21.6 这是怎么回事@@?

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