[专栏] AO Analyst: Cilic v Edmund

楼主: YuChanChung (BradleyChung)   2018-01-25 12:36:24
来源:https://goo.gl/NZ6B9u
作者:Craig O'Shannessy
It took Kyle Edmund 60 matches in the 2017 season to hit 315 aces.
Kyle Edmund在2017年赛季花了60场比赛才打出315个aces球。
It has taken him five matches at the 2018 Australian Open to barrel down 78 ac
es. That’s 25 per cent of his 2017 total in just five matches.
而他只花了5场比赛就打出了78记aces,这已经2017年赛季的1/4。
The serve is on fire.
他现在的发球非常火烫。
Edmund, 23, has powered through to his first Grand Slam tournament semifinal,
and will face big-serving Croatian Marin Cilic at Rod Laver Arena on Thursday
night from 7.30pm. They have played once before, with Cilic winning 6-3 7-6(5)
in the second round of Shanghai last year.
23岁的Edmund,强势挺进了澳网准决赛,他将于晚间7点30分(台湾时间下午4点30分),于
Rod Laver中央球场,面对来自克罗地亚的重砲Marin Cilic。他们曾交手过一次,Cili
c去年在上海大师赛第二轮以6-3 7-6(5)取得胜利。
Edmund only hit three aces in that match. New year. Improved serve.
Edmund在那场比赛只打出了3记aces。这个新年,他有更好的发球。
This is an extremely close match-up any way you look at it. Cilic has always h
ad a dominant serve, and has hit 96 aces through five matches in Melbourne. Th
e Croatian has played seven tiebreaks, winning five of them.
仔细分析,这将是个很接近的对战组合。Cilic总是有主宰性的发球,并且5场澳网的比赛
打出了96记aces。这名克罗地亚好手打了七次抢七,赢了其中的五场。
When rallies do extend past a serve and a return, the predictable baseline pat
tern to look for is Edmund looking to hit as many forehands as possible, espec
ially as a run-around standing in the ad court.
当攻守度过了一次发球和回发球,可预期的底线对抽模式,是Edmund将力求打越多正拍越
好,尤其是跑到左侧场区(ad court)。
A dominant pattern for the Brit is a baseline strategy called the 2-1 pattern.
Two shots in one direction, and the third to the opposite corner. Here’s how
it will play out.
英国人的占优的模式,是一种2-1的战术。意即,两球打相同位置,第三球打向反方向的
角落。以下作解说。
Shot 1 = Deep
Edmund’s run-around forehand from the ad court will go cross court to Cilic’
s backhand. The emphasis here is not on direction. It’s all about depth. Make
Cilic have to lean off the ball because the ball is bouncing closer to the ba
seline than the service line.
第一球 = 打深
Edmund在左侧场区的闪身正拍,将横跨球场打向Cilic的反拍。重点将不在角度,而是深
度。让Cilic必需沉退,因为球将更靠近底线。
If Edmund does get the ball deep, and Cilic is having to hit a neutral to defe
nsive backhand, it’s tough to hit it down the line. It has to go cross court,
where Edmund is already standing.
如果Edmund真能把球打深,Cilic就必须打一个防守性的反拍。同时也很难打直线,多半
又是横跨球场,回打到Edmund的位置。
Shot 2 = Wide
When you hit a ball deep, it often comes back short, and you can step in and e
njoy improved geometry for the next shot. Edmund will be looking to hit anothe
r run-around forehand wide through the ad court to stretch his 197cm (6’6”)
opponent off the court to the backhand side. The key is to stop the opponent s
tepping into the ball. Make them reach. This two shot sequence goes hand in ha
nd.
第二球 = 角度打开
当你把球打深,回球通常会短,你就可以向前施压,再下一球增加击球的角度。Edmund会
再度尝试在左侧场区打一记闪身正拍,将身高197公分的对手,拉出反拍边的球场。关键
是阻止对手趋前击球,让对手必须延展到极限。这两球将接连使用。
Shot 3 = Switch
Imagine Cilic is now standing in the alley in the ad court, playing a defensiv
e backhand. Edmund will now change directions with the third shot and hit his
forehand inside-in to the vacant deuce court. The first two shots create a hug
e hole in the deuce court to finish points. Sometimes it’s a 3-1 pattern, wit
h an extra shot needed to arm wrestle the required advantage.
第三球 = 变线攻击
想像一下Cilic现在被逼到了左侧场区边缘,打了一记防守反拍。Edmund第三球会接着正
拍变线,inside-in打向Cilic的右侧场区(deuce court)空档。先前两球制造了在右侧场
区的大空档。有时为了制造更大的优势,模式会变成3-1。
Will Cilic also be running the 2-1 pattern as well? Not as much as Edmund will
, simply because Cilic loves to hit his backhand. Cilic has 39 backhand winner
s (Edmund 36) for the tournament so far, and runs around it far less than most
players on tour.
Cilic会不会也使用2-1的攻击模式? 应该不会像Edmund那么多,因为Cilic更喜欢打反拍
,他在这赛事有39记反拍致胜球(Edmund 36记),并比起其他球员,闪身的动作少了很多

Cilic has committed 157 backhand errors (93 forced / 64 unforced) and 218 fore
hand errors (91 forced / 127 unforced) through five matches in Melbourne. Cili
c will initially rely on his backhand to stand tall against Edmund’s run-arou
nd forehand before he calls in the cavalry from the forehand wing.
五场的澳网比赛,Cilic有157个反拍失误(93 受迫 / 64 非受迫),并有218个正拍失误(9
1 受迫 / 127 非受迫)。在施展正拍之前,Cilic会先依赖他的反拍以抵挡Edmund的闪身
正拍。
PREDICTION: Edmund in five sets
预测:Edmund五盘胜出
作者: charlie01   2018-01-25 12:39:00
预测hen大胆 XD
作者: icedog122 (冰狗)   2018-01-25 12:41:00
如果是英国新希望赢四强的话,那决赛费爸应该是轻松赢的吧
作者: lwamp (尧尧)   2018-01-25 12:43:00
费爸能否过得了郑还很难说吧 想看 费郑的赛前分析
作者: fish0112 (鱼)   2018-01-25 12:47:00
都很多ace 应该好看
作者: grugru (是名牌喔)   2018-01-25 12:49:00
郑和纳豆很像,这种暴力型老费豆很难打
作者: nba407t (喔爸)   2018-01-25 12:49:00
我觉得有一点没考虑 心理因素 经验的差距其实很巨大还是觉得犀利哥会过
作者: drunk0102 (Drunk)   2018-01-25 13:02:00
结果EDMUND比Murray更快拿下澳网!?
作者: PENOMECO (PENO)   2018-01-25 13:06:00
搞不好脚底有水泡 打到一半破掉
作者: mothertime (我超爱傅红雪这变态)   2018-01-25 13:10:00
爱德蒙加油!拿下澳网就可以转职岩窟王了
作者: joulin (joulin)   2018-01-25 13:18:00
真的蛮大胆的
作者: katrinaCCC (katrinaCC)   2018-01-25 13:47:00
重点在下半区还是喜欢莫https://i.imgur.com/umUhXKf.jpg
作者: vincentgotu (網壇的人)   2018-01-25 13:54:00
有一个文章提到郑cilic和费https://goo.gl/3RKg6Q
作者: nicomurray (妮可)   2018-01-25 14:05:00
我的莫加油啊!!你还是英国希望的
作者: nba407t (喔爸)   2018-01-25 14:06:00
虽然有点失礼 V大你贴的那个文 还满没有料的...
作者: vincentgotu (網壇的人)   2018-01-25 14:08:00
nba大没关系
作者: dazzzlee   2018-01-25 14:31:00
还是看好犀利哥 发球猛正拍又强
作者: tsop010 (渣渣渣)   2018-01-25 14:33:00
看好犀利哥+1
作者: senate0125 (~~)   2018-01-25 14:37:00
已经看过不知上百千个推文说费过不了某XX某XX请自行带入
作者: tge5052000 (天江响)   2018-01-25 14:41:00
Cilic 3:0 Edmund
作者: vincentgotu (網壇的人)   2018-01-26 08:30:00
结果上面那篇不知名作者文打脸AO专栏作家Ptt果真卧虎藏聋

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