楼主:
kadar (卡卡达达)
2025-08-24 11:14:30As of 8:00 AM today, 24 August 2025, Typhoon KAJIKI (formerly "ISANG") is still
being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
Meanwhile, the Low Pressure Area (LPA 08f) located inside the PAR is also being
monitored and has a "HIGH" potential of developing into a tropical depression wi
thin the next 24 hours.
All are advised to monitor updates from DOST-PAGASA.
https://i.imgur.com/VQ2ELzb.jpeg
—
【系集预报】
GFS
https://i.imgur.com/F7uNBw4.png
ECMWF
https://i.imgur.com/nzJVdlX.png
AIFS
https://i.imgur.com/Su5Meye.jpeg
FNV3
https://i.imgur.com/7ssDqmW.jpeg
数值似乎都不太支持发展 强度不高
这枴上来的路径有点西偏的丹娜丝感觉!提到面糊,就要小心他的励志性发展了!(误XD)
作者: vindiesl2000 (vindiesl2000) 2025-08-25 07:38:00
AIFS 18Z又把9/6这颗调没了,时间太久抓不准
现在的气候已不如以往偏稳定了!就连夏天都一样,不到前一刻不知道台风会如何发展!
但应该有机会长出来,看现在菲东那一大片云系蠢蠢欲动!
作者: vindiesl2000 (vindiesl2000) 2025-08-31 07:16:00
AIFS 12Z 还是把原9/5这个近台低压修没了
一片看坏XD 好歹中台登陆两个了 不满意也该知足了
作者: vindiesl2000 (vindiesl2000) 2025-09-01 06:19:00
AIFS 12Z又把9/6近台低压调掉,晚点看会不会调回来