原文标题：
Trump is considering a national economic emergency declaration to allow for
new tariff program, sources say
原文连结：
https://tinyurl.com/mpuyh6vy
发布时间：
Published 6:30 AM EST, Wed January 8, 2025
记者署名：
By Kayla Tausche, CNN
原文内容：
President-elect Donald Trump is considering declaring a national economic
emergency to provide legal justification for a large swath of universal
tariffs on allies and adversaries, four sources familiar with the matter told
CNN, as Trump seeks to reset the global balance of trade in his second term.
The declaration would allow Trump to construct a new tariff program by using
the International Economic Emergency Powers Act, known as “IEEPA,” which
unilaterally authorizes a president to manage imports during a national
emergency.
Trump, one of the sources noted, has a fondness for the law, since it grants
wide-ranging jurisdiction over how tariffs are implemented without strict
requirements to prove the tariffs are needed on national security grounds.
“Nothing is off the table,” said a second source familiar with the matter,
acknowledging the robust discussion over declaring a national emergency that
has taken place.
The Trump transition team did not respond to a request for comment.
据 CNN 引述四名知情人士的说法，美国候任总统川普正考虑宣布国家经济紧急状态，
以提供法律依据，推动针对盟友与对手的大范围关税计划。
川普可能利用《国际经济紧急权力法案》（IEEPA），该法案允许总统
在国家紧急状态下管理进口事宜，无需严格证明关税与国家安全相关。
一位消息人士指出，川普对这项法律特别感兴趣，
因为它赋予总统广泛权力来执行关税措施。
另一名消息人士则表示，有关宣布紧急状态的讨论正在积极进行，
目前没有任何方案被排除。
川普的交接团队对此未回应置评请求。
心得/评论：
若川普宣布经济紧急状态并推行新关税计划，将扰乱全球供应链，
推高进口成本与通膨，并引发贸易战升级，削弱美国经济增长。
同时，与盟友关系可能恶化，削弱美国国际影响力，
并引发国内企业与国会的反对声浪。
尽管有助巩固其政治基本盘，但长期恐损害美国经济竞争力与国际地位，
增加不确定性风险。
此消息一出，美国20年期国债收益率涨破5%的关卡。
https://i.imgur.com/WqFRPBO.png