Re: [心得] 曝险100%的情况下的比较

楼主: tensionship (no)   2022-05-05 22:47:39
※ 引述《tensionship (nothing)》之铭言:
: 看到这一篇忽然想到的灵感
: https://reurl.cc/e3xeDK
: 你还在定期定额0050?用一半的钱投资这档ETF报酬更高
比较2016年
: 1.ALL IN 0050
: 2.一半00631L,一半现金
: 3.一半00631L,一半现金K<20买进,K>80卖出
: 4.加权报酬指数
时间订在2015/12/31买进,2016/12/30卖出
1.0050,60.75买进,71.8卖出,股息0.85
报酬率(71.8-60.75+0.85)/60.75=19.59%
2.00631L,17.97买进,25.01卖出,2016全年定存利率1%
报酬率(25.01-17.97)/17.97=39.18%
合计(39.18%/2+1%/2)=20.09%
3.00631L,17.97买进,25.01卖出,2016全年定存利率1%
1/7,K<20买进16.02 ,1/29,K>80卖出16.92
5/3,K<20买进18.1 ,5/25,K>80卖出18.72
11/4,K<20买进24.26 ,11/29,K>80卖出24.94
12/22,K<20买进24.4 ,2017/1/5,K>80卖出25.49(跨年不列入计算,仅列出)
报酬率(16.92-16.02)/16.02=5.62%,(18.72-18.1)/18.1=3.43%
(24.94-24.26)/24.26=2.8%,(25.49-24.4)/24.4=4.47%
合计39.18%/2+((1+5.62%)(1+3.43%)(1+2.8%)-1)/2=25.74%
4.加权报酬指数
105/12/30 15,256.22
104/12/31 13,198.59
(15,256.22-13,198.59)/13,198.59=15.59%
简单比较:3>2>1>4
2016~2021
1.(145.5-60.75+3.6+3.4+3+2.9+2.4+0.85)/60.75=166.09%
2.(146-17.97)/17.97=712.47%
合计(712.47%/2+1%*6/2)=359.24%
3.712.47%/2+((1+13.62%)(1+6.22%)(1+13.73%)(1+11%)(1+2.41%)(1+5.41%)(1+6.53%)
(1+4.01%)(1+4.02%)(1+6.65%)(1+7.02%)(1+6.96%)(1+5.62%)(1+3.43%)(1+2.8%)
(1+4.47%)-1)/2=441.99%
4.(36,138.47-13,198.59)/13,198.59=173.81%
简单比较:3>2>4>1
: 参考资料
: 1.https://reurl.cc/e3xeDK
: 你还在定期定额0050?用一半的钱投资这档ETF报酬更高
: 2.https://www.twse.com.tw/zh/page/trading/indices/MFI94U.html
: 指数资讯 TWSE自行编制指数 发行量加权股价报酬指数
: 3.https://rate.bot.com.tw/twd?year=2016&month=02&day=04
: 新台币存(放)款牌告利率

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