Re: [新闻] 台股PB低于历史平均 万点只是派对行情的

楼主: tompi (大波动)   2017-04-09 13:31:02
※ 引述《cheinshin (那就这样吧)》之铭言:
: 1.原文连结:
: https://goo.gl/ODZBGG
: 2.原文内容:
: 台股PB低于历史平均 万点只是派对行情的开始
: 记者周康玉/台北报导
: 台股面临万点关卡,如果攻上万点后,是派对行情的结束或开始?法人表示,从台股股价
: 净值比(PB)来看,目前台股PB值才1.73倍偏低,认为多头行情不会因万点而止步。
: 根据CMoney,前两次加权指数收盘价站上万点为1997年与2000年,PB值分别为3.4倍与2.8
: 倍,目前台股PB值才1.73倍,还低于历史平均值,整体估值并未过高。
都说了金融市场全球都是看美股脸色~~ 以下不涉及预测,只想补充点资料。
SP500 上一次PB 大于3 是 13年前。
金融海啸前一年的PB高点是 2007/10 的 2.94
我比较担心的是我们还没开始是不是就要结束了!?~~
资料来源:PB ratio:Bloomberg /(百分比等级为另外计算)
DATE TW_PB SP_PB TW_PB SP_PB TWSE SP500
%等级 %等级
2017-03 1.65 3.10 47.9 89.6 9,811.52 2,368.1
2017-02 1.64 3.09 42.7 89.1 9,750.47 2,363.6
2017-01 1.59 2.98 32.9 86.5 9,447.95 2,278.9
2016-12 1.56 2.93 28.8 81.9 9,253.50 2,238.8
2016-11 1.61 2.84 36.0 71.6 9,240.71 2,198.8
2016-10 1.62 2.74 37.6 51.5 9,290.12 2,126.2
2016-09 1.59 2.80 33.5 61.3 9,166.85 2,168.3
2016-08 1.61 2.86 36.5 74.7 9,068.85 2,171.0
2016-07 1.60 2.86 34.5 75.2 8,984.41 2,173.6
2016-06 1.54 2.77 25.2 54.1 8,666.58 2,098.9
2016-05 1.45 2.80 18.5 63.4 8,535.59 2,097.0
2016-04 1.42 2.77 15.4 54.6 8,377.90 2,065.3
2016-03 1.49 2.77 21.1 53.0 8,744.83 2,059.7
2016-02 1.46 2.62 19.0 40.2 8,411.16 1,932.2
2016-01 1.41 2.64 14.4 41.7 8,145.21 1,940.2
2015-12 1.44 2.77 17.0 55.6 8,338.06 2,043.9
2015-11 1.47 2.81 20.1 65.9 8,320.61 2,080.4
2015-10 1.51 2.80 23.1 62.8 8,554.31 2,079.4
2015-09 1.45 2.58 17.5 36.0 8,181.24 1,920.0
2015-08 1.48 2.66 20.6 43.2 8,174.92 1,972.2
2015-07 1.57 2.84 30.9 70.6 8,665.34 2,103.8
2015-06 1.69 2.81 59.7 65.4 9,323.02 2,063.1
2015-05 1.68 2.87 57.2 78.3 9,701.07 2,107.4
2015-04 1.70 2.84 61.8 73.1 9,820.05 2,085.5
2015-03 1.66 2.83 50.0 69.5 9,586.44 2,067.9
2015-02 1.71 2.89 67.0 78.8 9,622.10 2,104.5
2015-01 1.66 2.74 51.5 51.0 9,361.91 1,995.0
2014-12 1.65 2.82 48.9 69.0 9,307.26 2,058.9
2014-11 1.72 2.80 69.0 61.8 9,187.15 2,067.6
2014-10 1.67 2.73 54.6 50.0 8,974.76 2,018.1
2014-09 1.67 2.67 53.0 44.3 8,966.92 1,972.3
2014-08 1.81 2.73 80.9 49.4 9,436.27 2,003.4
2014-07 1.79 2.63 78.8 41.2 9,315.85 1,930.7
2014-06 1.80 2.67 79.8 45.3 9,393.07 1,960.2
2014-05 1.70 2.64 63.9 42.2 9,075.91 1,923.6
2014-04 1.65 2.59 46.9 36.5 8,791.44 1,884.0
2014-03 1.66 2.60 50.5 39.1 8,849.28 1,872.3
2014-02 1.68 2.59 57.7 37.1 8,639.58 1,859.5
2014-01 1.65 2.49 46.3 33.5 8,462.57 1,782.6
2013-12 1.69 2.58 58.7 35.5 8,611.51 1,848.4
2013-11 1.70 2.60 62.8 37.6 8,406.83 1,805.8
2013-10 1.71 2.52 65.9 35.0 8,450.06 1,756.5
2013-09 1.65 2.42 44.8 31.9 8,173.87 1,681.6
2013-08 1.65 2.39 47.4 29.8 8,021.89 1,633.0
2013-07 1.67 2.47 54.1 32.9 8,107.94 1,685.7
2013-06 1.64 2.36 41.7 28.8 8,062.21 1,606.3
2013-05 1.68 2.40 56.1 30.4 8,254.80 1,630.7
2013-04 1.64 2.35 43.8 28.3 8,093.66 1,597.6
2013-03 1.67 2.34 53.6 27.8 7,918.61 1,569.2
2013-02 1.67 2.26 52.0 25.7 7,897.98 1,514.7
2013-01 1.66 2.24 49.4 24.2 7,850.02 1,498.1
2012-12 1.62 2.14 39.1 17.5 7,699.50 1,426.2
2012-11 1.64 2.13 40.2 17.0 7,580.17 1,416.2
2012-10 1.54 2.12 26.8 15.9 7,166.05 1,412.2
2012-09 1.72 2.16 67.5 19.5 7,715.16 1,440.7
2012-08 1.64 2.14 44.3 18.0 7,397.06 1,406.6
2012-07 1.61 2.10 37.1 14.4 7,270.49 1,379.3
2012-06 1.62 2.08 38.6 12.8 7,296.28 1,362.2
2012-05 1.55 2.06 27.8 10.3 7,301.50 1,310.3
2012-04 1.58 2.21 31.9 22.1 7,501.72 1,397.9
2012-03 1.67 2.23 55.6 23.7 7,933.00 1,408.5
2012-02 1.75 2.21 73.7 21.6 8,121.44 1,365.7
2012-01 1.62 2.13 38.1 16.4 7,517.08 1,312.4
2011-12 1.52 2.05 23.7 9.2 7,072.08 1,257.6
2011-11 1.50 2.02 21.6 6.1 6,904.12 1,247.0
2011-10 1.64 2.03 41.2 7.7 7,587.69 1,253.3
2011-09 1.55 1.83 28.3 1.5 7,225.38 1,131.4
2011-08 1.72 1.98 69.5 5.1 7,741.36 1,218.9
2011-07 1.92 2.10 91.7 13.9 8,644.18 1,292.3
2011-06 1.92 2.15 92.2 19.0 8,652.59 1,320.6
2011-05 1.89 2.25 89.1 25.2 8,988.84 1,345.2
2011-04 1.89 2.29 90.2 27.3 9,007.87 1,363.6
2011-03 1.82 2.24 82.9 24.7 8,683.30 1,325.8
2011-02 1.86 2.29 88.1 26.8 8,599.65 1,327.2
2011-01 1.97 2.22 95.8 22.6 9,145.35 1,286.1
2010-12 1.94 2.17 93.8 20.1 8,972.50 1,257.6
2010-11 1.82 2.07 81.9 10.8 8,372.48 1,180.6
2010-10 1.81 2.08 80.4 12.3 8,287.09 1,183.3
2010-09 1.79 2.02 79.3 6.7 8,237.78 1,141.2
2010-08 1.74 1.93 71.6 4.1 7,616.28 1,049.3
2010-07 1.78 2.02 78.3 7.2 7,760.63 1,101.6
2010-06 1.68 1.90 56.7 3.0 7,329.37 1,030.7
2010-05 1.64 2.04 43.2 8.2 7,373.98 1,089.4
2010-04 1.77 2.23 77.3 23.1 8,004.25 1,186.7
2010-03 1.77 2.20 76.8 21.1 7,920.06 1,169.4
2010-02 1.70 2.11 62.3 14.9 7,436.10 1,104.5
2010-01 1.75 2.07 73.1 11.3 7,640.44 1,073.9
2009-12 1.85 2.15 85.0 18.5 8,188.11 1,115.1
2009-11 1.78 2.19 77.8 20.6 7,582.21 1,095.6
2009-10 1.72 2.07 70.6 11.8 7,340.08 1,036.2
2009-09 1.76 2.12 75.7 15.4 7,509.17 1,057.1
2009-08 1.67 2.08 52.5 13.4 6,825.95 1,020.6
2009-07 1.72 2.05 70.1 9.7 7,077.71 987.5
2009-06 1.56 1.92 29.3 3.6 6,432.16 919.3
2009-05 1.65 2.04 47.9 8.7 6,890.44 919.1
2009-04 1.43 1.96 16.4 4.6 5,992.57 872.8
2009-03 1.25 1.80 5.6 1.0 5,210.84 797.9
2009-02 1.12 1.64 1.5 - 4,557.15 735.1
2009-01 1.05 1.84 - 2.0 4,247.97 825.9
2008-12 1.13 2.00 2.0 5.6 4,591.22 903.3
2008-11 1.06 1.73 1.0 0.5 4,460.49 896.2
2008-10 1.16 1.87 3.0 2.5 4,870.66 968.8
2008-09 1.36 2.27 12.8 26.2 5,719.28 1,166.4
2008-08 1.70 2.42 61.3 31.4 7,046.11 1,282.8
2008-07 1.70 2.39 60.3 29.3 7,024.06 1,267.4
2008-06 1.82 2.41 81.4 30.9 7,523.54 1,280.0
2008-05 1.92 2.63 92.7 40.7 8,619.08 1,400.4
2008-04 1.99 2.60 96.9 38.6 8,919.92 1,385.6
2008-03 1.90 2.49 90.7 34.0 8,572.59 1,322.7
2008-02 1.93 2.51 93.2 34.5 8,412.76 1,330.6
2008-01 1.73 2.60 71.1 38.1 7,521.13 1,378.6
2007-12 1.95 2.77 94.3 53.6 8,506.28 1,468.4
2007-11 1.99 2.81 97.4 67.5 8,586.40 1,481.1
2007-10 2.25 2.94 100.0 83.5 9,711.37 1,549.4
2007-09 2.18 2.91 98.9 81.4 9,476.52 1,526.8
2007-08 2.16 2.84 98.4 70.1 8,982.16 1,474.0
2007-07 2.21 2.80 99.4 60.3 9,287.25 1,455.3
2007-06 2.14 2.90 97.9 79.8 8,883.21 1,503.4
2007-05 1.89 2.98 89.6 86.0 8,144.95 1,530.6
2007-04 1.83 2.89 83.5 79.3 7,875.42 1,482.4
2007-03 1.83 2.77 84.0 55.1 7,884.41 1,420.9
2007-02 1.91 2.80 91.2 58.7 7,901.96 1,406.8
2007-01 1.86 2.87 86.5 76.8 7,699.64 1,438.2
2006-12 1.95 2.84 94.8 72.6 7,823.72 1,418.3
2006-11 1.89 2.84 88.6 71.1 7,567.72 1,400.6
2006-10 1.75 2.79 74.7 58.2 7,021.32 1,377.9
2006-09 1.72 2.71 68.0 47.9 6,883.05 1,335.9
2006-08 1.71 2.73 64.9 48.9 6,611.77 1,303.8
2006-07 1.67 2.67 55.1 44.3 6,454.58 1,276.7
2006-06 1.74 2.66 72.1 43.8 6,704.41 1,270.2
2006-05 1.70 2.71 60.8 47.4 6,846.95 1,270.1
2006-04 1.77 2.81 76.2 64.9 7,171.77 1,310.6
2006-03 1.63 2.78 39.6 56.1 6,613.97 1,294.8
2006-02 1.31 2.80 10.8 59.7 6,561.63 1,280.7
2006-01 1.30 2.80 8.7 62.3 6,532.18 1,280.1
2005-12 1.30 2.73 9.7 50.5 6,548.34 1,248.3
2005-11 1.26 2.78 6.1 57.7 6,203.47 1,249.5
2005-10 1.17 2.69 3.6 46.3 5,764.30 1,207.0
2005-09 1.23 2.76 4.1 52.5 6,118.61 1,228.8
2005-08 1.24 2.80 4.6 60.8 6,033.47 1,220.3
2005-07 1.30 2.84 9.2 72.1 6,311.98 1,234.2
2005-06 1.28 2.75 7.2 52.0 6,241.94 1,191.3
2005-05 1.60 2.80 35.5 58.7 6,011.56 1,191.5
2005-04 1.55 2.72 27.3 48.4 5,818.07 1,156.9
2005-03 1.59 2.78 34.0 56.7 6,005.88 1,180.6
2005-02 1.70 2.87 63.4 77.3 6,207.83 1,203.6
2005-01 1.65 2.82 45.3 68.5 5,994.23 1,181.3
2004-12 1.69 2.91 59.2 80.9 6,139.69 1,211.9
2004-11 1.64 2.94 42.2 82.9 5,844.76 1,173.8
2004-10 1.60 2.84 35.0 73.7 5,705.93 1,130.2
2004-09 1.64 2.80 40.2 63.9 5,845.69 1,114.6
2004-08 1.66 2.87 51.0 77.8 5,765.54 1,104.2
2004-07 1.57 2.87 29.8 75.7 5,420.57 1,101.7
2004-06 1.69 2.98 58.2 85.0 5,839.44 1,140.8
2004-05 1.71 2.98 65.4 85.5 5,977.84 1,120.7
2004-04 1.74 2.95 72.6 84.0 6,117.81 1,107.3
2004-03 1.86 3.01 87.6 87.1 6,522.19 1,126.2
2004-02 1.99 3.19 96.3 92.2 6,750.54 1,144.9
2004-01 1.86 3.15 86.0 91.2 6,375.38 1,131.1
2003-12 1.72 3.11 68.5 90.7 5,890.69 1,111.9
2003-11 1.76 3.03 75.2 88.1 5,771.77 1,058.2
2003-10 1.84 3.02 84.5 87.6 6,045.12 1,050.7
2003-09 1.70 2.87 64.4 76.2 5,611.41 996.0
2003-08 1.75 2.94 74.2 82.4 5,650.83 1,008.0
2003-07 1.65 2.90 45.8 80.4 5,318.34 990.3
2003-06 1.51 2.85 22.6 74.2 4,872.15 974.5
2003-05 1.39 2.95 13.9 84.5 4,555.90 963.6
2003-04 1.27 2.82 6.7 68.0 4,148.07 916.9
2003-03 1.32 2.61 11.3 39.6 4,321.22 848.2
2003-02 1.37 2.64 13.4 42.7 4,432.46 841.2
2003-01 1.54 2.70 26.2 46.9 5,015.16 855.7
2002-12 1.42 2.78 14.9 57.2 4,452.45 879.8
2002-11 1.46 2.81 19.5 64.4 4,646.69 936.3
2002-10 1.45 2.68 18.0 45.8 4,579.14 885.8
2002-09 1.30 2.46 8.2 32.4 4,191.81 815.3
2002-08 1.54 2.81 24.2 65.9 4,764.94 916.1
2002-07 1.54 2.81 25.7 67.0 4,940.38 911.6
2002-06 1.59 3.06 32.4 88.6 5,153.71 989.8
2002-05 1.71 3.31 66.4 93.2 5,675.65 1,067.1
2002-04 1.86 3.28 85.5 92.7 6,065.73 1,076.9
2002-03 1.97 3.43 95.3 96.3 6,167.47 1,147.4
2002-02 1.82 3.31 82.4 93.8 5,696.11 1,106.7
2002-01 1.86 3.39 87.1 94.8 5,872.14 1,130.2
2001-12 1.57 3.44 30.4 96.9 5,551.24 1,148.1
2001-11 1.30 3.40 7.7 95.8 4,441.12 1,139.5
2001-10 1.14 3.16 2.5 91.7 3,903.49 1,059.8
2001-09 1.06 3.11 0.5 90.2 3,636.94 1,040.9
2001-08 1.31 3.34 10.3 94.3 4,509.44 1,133.6
2001-07 1.25 3.56 5.1 97.4 4,352.98 1,211.2
2001-06 1.36 3.61 12.3 97.9 4,883.43 1,224.4
2001-05 1.35 3.67 11.8 98.9 5,048.86 1,255.8
2001-04 1.43 3.64 15.9 98.4 5,381.67 1,249.5
2001-03 1.54 3.39 24.7 95.3 5,797.92 1,160.3
2001-02 1.51 3.67 22.1 99.4 5,674.69 1,239.9
2001-01 1.57 4.06 31.4 100.0 5,936.20 1,366.0
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