Re: [新闻] 油价大跌 沙特阿拉伯举债40亿美元

楼主: shihchinlun (stone)   2015-07-14 11:48:33
International Petroleum and Other Liquids Production, Consumption, and
Inventories
U.S. Energy Information Administration
Short-Term Energy Outlook - July 2015
2014
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
供给
OECD 24.8 25.1 25.3 25.6 25.2 25.6 25.8 25.6 25.8 26.4 26.6 27.1
非OECD 66.8 67.2 66.4 66.7 66.9 67.4 67.4 68.0 68.3 68.6 68.1 68.2
Total 91.7 92.3 91.7 92.3 92.2 93.1 93.2 93.6 94.1 95.0 94.7 95.3
消费
OECD 45.3 46.5 45.4 45.0 44.3 45.0 46.1 45.5 45.8 46.4 45.5 47.2
非OECD 45.7 45.6 45.6 46.8 46.9 47.2 47.3 47.2 47.6 47.0 47.0 46.4
Total 91.0 92.2 91.0 91.8 91.2 92.2 93.4 92.7 93.3 93.3 92.6 93.6
期末库存
US 1047 1047 1057 1087 1118 1123 1127 1131 1144 1139 1151 1165
OCED 2557 2561 2568 2583 2647 2636 2649 2693 2705 2686 2688 2693
超额供给 0.7 0.1 0.8 0.4 1.0 0.8 -0.2 0.8 0.8 1.7 2.2 1.6
2015
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
供给
OECD 26.5 26.7 26.8 27.0 26.9 26.8
非OECD 67.7 67.5 68.3 68.8 68.7 68.9
Total 94.2 94.2 95.1 95.8 95.6 95.7
消费
OECD 45.9 47.1 46.4 45.2 44.8 45.8
非OEC 46.2 46.3 46.4 47.8 47.8 48.1
Total 92.1 93.4 92.8 92.9 92.6 93.9
期末库存
US 1183 1187 1217 1244 1254 1260
OECD 2715 2725 2770 2818 2856 2879
超额供 2.0 0.8 2.3 2.8 3.0 1.9
Source:EIA
#供几和消费的单位:百万桶/天
#库存的单位:百万桶
今年Q1相较去年Q4产量其实有稍微下降,但3月后开始回升
Q2需求虽有些微上升,但超额供几持续扩大
库存则从来没有下降过(但这部分只有OECD的资料)
不负责不专业评论:
近期如果伊朗原油禁运能解除(非常有可能)
加上下半年预期美元走强,近期油价非常有可能再度崩跌挑战前低

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