[新闻] 希腊,命运停驻之夜

楼主: humbler (兽人H)   2015-06-18 21:34:43
1.原文连结(必须检附):
http://money.cnn.com/2015/06/17/news/economy/greece-deal-default-delay/index.html?iid=Lead
文章来自CNN新闻,不专业翻译,请见谅。
2.原文内容:
Deal, delay, or default?
达成,延迟,还是违约?
It might sound like a game show title, but it's all very real for Europe.
Officials will meet Thursday to try one more time to strike a deal that will
keep Greece solvent in return for economic reforms.
这或许有点像游戏的开头画面,但对欧盟来说无比真实。官员们将在周四再一次开会试着
让希腊软化接受金融改革。
What happens next? Here are three possible scenarios:
接下来会发生什么呢?有三种可能情况:
1. Deal
1.达成共识
Everyone is hoping for a deal. But judging by the ugly rhetoric, Greece's
creditors are not willing to offer any more compromises. The only way for an
agreement to happen is for the Greek government to back down.
任何人都希望这件事能妥善解决,但严格来说,希腊的债权人们并不接受任何妥协,唯一
的解决办法是希腊政府主动让步。
Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras remains defiant. On Tuesday, he accused the
International Monetary Fund of "humiliating the Greek people" and stood by
his anti-austerity demands. He might be bluffing. There is at least one big
reason for a last minute U-turn: 70% of Greeks want to stay in eurozone at
any cost, according to opinion polls.
希腊总理奇普拉斯依旧维持藐视的态度,在周二,他控诉IMF侮辱了希腊人民并仍坚持他
的反紧缩政策,
或许他是在唬人,因为最新的民调显示出巨大的逆转,百分之七十的希腊民众希望尽一切
手段留在欧元区。
If Greece agrees to the reforms outlined by its creditors, they'll release
the last 7.2 billion euros ($8.1 billion) from the international bailout
fund, and Athens will be able pay the IMF the money it owes this month.
如果希腊接受债权人的金改政策,他们将会从国际救助基金释出最少72亿欧元,雅典将有
能力支付IMF这个月到期的债务。
2. Default
2.违约
If Thursday's talks end in acrimony, Greece will slip further towards the
economic abyss.
如果周四会谈不欢而散,希腊将会陷入绝望的经济深渊。
The country must pay the IMF 1.54 billion euros by June 30, which is also
when its bailout agreement is due to expire. It then owes 6.7 billion euros
to the European Central Bank in July and August.
希腊必须在六月三十日钱支付IMF15.4亿欧元,同时他的经济支助协定也会到期,其后他
在七月和八月会积欠欧洲央行67亿欧元。
It does not have access to international credit markets and without the
bailout money, it would have to default on its debts.
没有任何办法向国际资金市场取得求助,也没有任何救援金,他的末路只有违约一途。
Even though it has until the end of the month, no deal in the next few days
could be the beginning of the end, because savers are likely to start pulling
more money out of Greek banks, fearing the worst. A deep financial crisis and
capital controls would likely follow.
即使任何这件事也是到月底才发生,但是如果这几天没有任何共识,最害怕的情况,违约
的末路将提早开始,因为储户们可能会开始从希腊银行提出现金,更大的金融危机和资金
控管问题将接踵而来。
The government would ultimately be forced to adopt a new currency in order to
pay pensions and public sector wages.
希腊政府最终将面对采用新货币与支付退休金和公务员薪水的问题。
3. Delay
3.延迟
But perhaps most likely is another fudge. Europe has a history of kicking the
Greek can down the road. Deadlines branded as final have been missed many
times in the past five years, and it is possible that EU leaders will find
another way to muddle through.
但这或许只是另一次回避,欧盟有好几次机会可以把希腊踢出去(这句话不太会翻,请赐
教),过去五年来好几次最终日都被延期了,或许这次欧盟领导人又会找到另个方法忽悠
过去。
European officials could present Greece with a "take it or leave it" offer on
Thursday, giving it until EU leaders meet next week to respond.
欧盟官员可以在周四对希腊说,接受金改或是离开欧盟,直到下周欧盟官员在回应。
Even then, that might not be game over.
即使如此,也未必终结。
German newspaper Bild reported earlier this week that Greece may have found a
way of delaying its IMF payments by six months. That could in theory buy a
little more time for talks.
德国的报导在稍早指出,希腊或许找到一个办法来延后六个月支付IMF的债权,期间有更
多时间来谈判。
3.心得/评论(必需填写):
不管答案是如何,对于台股来说都是假议题,今天台币大涨,找好买点继续买美金,美元
势必升值,这汇差不赚太对不起美国出的送分题。
作者: munichuihsin   2015-06-18 22:01:00
Fate/Stay Night [希腊版]

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