[外电] Yankees 2020 top 50 prospect

楼主: lukemarley (sttud)   2020-01-29 01:27:23
今天Prospect 1500释出了洋基农场五十大新秀介绍,而且还用五个tier去分类

个人认为满值得细读的,尤其可以更了解一些IFA签的小朋友。原文有点长,今天先翻译
前言跟排名1-5的新秀。
原文:https://reurl.cc/oDj5qQ
New York Yankees 2020 Top 50 Prospects(tier 1-2,排名1-5)
January 28, 2020 By Paul Woodin
The Yankees are loaded with talent. Some of the talent seems more of a sure
thing then others. I believe the Yankees will end up trading some of the
talent to help the parent club in 2020 or soon thereafter. They have done a
good job in the international market. I was once told by a minor leaguer that
he is playing for 29 other teams’ eyes as well as his team, that is
definitely the case for some of the prospects in the Yankees system! The
surplus of middle of the rotation arms and outfielders will be the first to
choose from in trades. One of the biggest issues on the farm is lack of
middle infield prospects. However, when you look at the system as a whole,
the Yankees remain one of the deepest systems in baseball. They have their
usual supply of diamond-in-the-rough pitching finds, toolsy international
free agents, and some slick fielding infielders. Based on the sheer amount of
toolsy young players in the Yankees’ system, I expect enough of them to
shine to push the Yankees back into above-average status in just a short
period of time. The Yankees continue to push their top prospects with
challenging assignments, which is sometimes reflected by the numbers the
prospect puts up. Injuries were a huge issue throughout the system in 2019
and I’m hoping that everyone stays healthy in 2020!
洋基的农场有许多天赋,其中也有很多有机会成为真货的新秀。我认为洋基很快
就会拿一部分的潜力新秀去补强他们的MLB阵容。洋基在海外新秀签约市场表现得很不错

这几年签下了Gary Sanchez、Luis Severino、Miguel Andujar等球员。曾经有一个小联
盟球员告诉我:“我们努力打出好表现并不只是要给母球团的球探看,联盟里其他29队也
可能会注意到我们。”也许已经有许多其他队球探已经在洋基农场发现他们属意的未来之
星了。洋基农场充满许多投手和外野手天赋,这两类型的新秀是最有可能被交易的。他们
农场最大的弱点是缺少好的中线内野手,但如果我们以整体农场系统来看,洋基依旧拥有
全联盟最深的农场之一:他们总能在砾沙中挑出珍珠,找到天花板高的投手、各方面都有
养成潜力的海外新秀、还有一些守备专家。我认为球探们很快就会发现这些新秀的才华,
使洋基农场评比回到联盟平均之上。洋基喜欢给顶尖新秀具有挑战性的发展目标,有时候
会影响到他们小联盟的数据表现。2019年他们的农场也受到伤病的侵扰,希望今年这些年
轻天赋都能保持健康,在场上发光发热。
Prospects1500 Tiers:
Tier 1: Players with high expectations of both making the majors and playing
at an All-Star level for a number of years.
Tier 2: Players with an above average expectation of making the majors and
being a solid contributor.
Tier 3: Players with an average expectation of making the majors and being a
solid contributor.
Tier 4: Players who have the potential of making the majors, or have high
likelihood of making the majors but providing minimal impact.(e.g. middle
reliever, low-ceiling UT guys)
Tier 5: Players who are worth keeping an eye on, but likely to never make a
team’s 40-man roster.
新秀的五个分级说明:
Tier 1:这等级的球员不仅有很高的机率能升上大联盟,更被期待在数个球季中展现全明
星级的身手。
Tier 2:这等级的球员升上大联盟的机率在平均之上,并且被期待成为稳定的先发球员。
Tier 3:这等级的球员升上大联盟的机率普通,被期待能在球队需要的时候缴出不错的贡
献。
Tier 4:这等级的球员偶尔会展现升上大联盟的潜力,或有极高机率以中继投手或低地板
的替补球员升上大联盟。
Tier 5:这等级的球员值得你的关注,但他们可能永远都不会被球团放入40人名单内。
补充:洋基目前TOP 50新秀分级组成状况:
tier 1:一个
tier 2:十二个
tier 3:十二个
tier 4:十四个
tier 5:十一个
Tier 1
1. Jasson Dominguez, OF
Age: 16
2019 Highest Level: N/A
I struggled to put Dominguez in Tier 1 since he has not even swung a bat
against MiLB pitching stateside during a game. Dominguez, who is nicknamed
The Martian and was named after former Yankee Jason Giambi, was signed out of
the Dominican for $5.1 million in 2019. He is strong and athletic with a
mature body for his age. He has a smooth, short and compact swing with
excellent bat speed from both sides of the plate. The ball jumps off of his
bat with extra pop. He has shown good bat control and can drive the ball into
the gaps and hit for power to all fields. Dominguez squares up the ball and
has an advanced approach with a good understanding of the strike zone. He’s
also good baserunner with good speed. He’s known for getting good leads and
a quick first jump. He has a true chance at being a 30/30 player annually. On
defense, Dominguez has shown good footwork and soft hands, and he takes good
routes. He possesses plus arm strength and throws the ball on a line. He
loves the sport and has a reputation for being a baseball rat who is always
working on a different part of his game. Scouts do compare him to a young
Mike Trout. I will be trying to grab Dominguez in every dynasty league I am
in. ETA: 2024
Tier 1
1. Jasson Dominguez, 外野手,16岁
曾在2019达到的最高层级:无
因为Dominguez从未在职业赛场上出赛过,我对于要不要把他放在tier 1相当挣
扎。这位绰号为火星人的16岁外野手是以前洋基球员Jason Giambi命名的,他在2019年以
海外新秀的身分被洋基以五百一十万的天价签下。他有强壮的体格以及良好的运动能力,
以一个16岁的青少年来说相当惊人。他的挥棒轨迹短且流畅,在左右打击区都展现了优秀
的挥棒速度,他击出的球会“砰”的一声飞得老远。目前他展现出很好的球棒控制,能够
把球击向球场各个角落。除了能打出强劲击球之外,Dominguez对于好球带的掌握度也很高
,不会很躁进的追打坏球。他在平均之上的跑速、离垒距离的掌握度以及快速的first
jump使他成为一个优秀的跑者。
防守方面,Dominguez已经展现不错的脚步以及柔软的手感,他追球的路径也大
多是最短距离。他的臂力相当优异,大多数的传球也都很准确。
心态方面,他十分热爱棒球,被认为是一个棒球狂人的他为了提升自己在各方面
的表现相当努力训练,球探们将他与年轻的Mike Trout相比,Dominguez是我玩dynasty
league一定选中的球员。
目前评价:天赋像外星人的16岁青少年
未来期待:单季30轰/30盗,防守优异的明星中外野手
预估升上MLB年度:2024
Tier 2
2. Clarke Schmidt, RHP
Age: 23
2019 Highest Level: AA Trenton
2019 Stats: 19 G, 18 GS, 90.2 IP, 6-5, 102 K, 3.47 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
The Yankees drafted Schmidt 16th overall in 2017. The former South Carolina
right-hander had to wait until June 2018 to make his minor league debut
because of Tommy John surgery. Schmidt ended his impressive first season at
Double-A Trenton with a 3.47 ERA and 2.68 FIP in 90.2 innings across three
levels. His fastball sits between 92-94 mph and tops off at 96. He has a
fantastic four-pitch mix, with a fastball, low-80s curveball, mid-80s slider
and a changeup. He should start the season with Trenton and could do well
enough to get a late season call up. However, Schmidt only has 124.2 career
minor league innings between the regular season and postseason so do not
expect him to be ready to throw 200 MLB innings right away. ETA: Late 2020
Tier 2
2. Clarke Schmidt, 右投手,23岁
曾在2019达到的最高层级:2A
2019成绩:出赛19场(18场先发)主投90.2局,102三振/ERA3.47/WHIP1.18
2017年洋基以第一轮第16顺位选中正要动TJ的Schmidt,这位南卡罗来纳出身的
右投手在2018年六月才终于在小联盟第一次出赛。隔年他也迎来第一个小联盟完整赛季,
横跨三个层级主投90.2局交出3.47ERA/2.68FIP令人印象深刻的成绩。Schmidt速球大多在
92-94mph,最快能达到96mph,他的速球与low-80s的曲球、mid-80s的滑球以及变速球组
成超赞的投球武器库。
Schmidt应该还是会在2A展开2020球季,如果他的表现良好有机会在季末被叫上
大联盟。但是他的职业生涯总共只出赛过124.2局,不要期待他能立即负担大联盟先发的
投球工作量。
目前评价:低天花板高地板,完成度高但有伤病疑虑的先发新秀
未来期待:2-3号先发投手
预计升上MLB年度:2020季末
3. Deivi Garcia, RHP
Age: 20
2019 Highest Level: AAA Scranton/Wilkes-Barre
2019 Stats: 26 G, 21 GS, 111.1 IP, 5-9, 165 K, 4.28 ERA, 1.35 WHIP
Signed for just $200,000 out of the Dominican Republic in 2015, this
20-year-old has underwhelming size at 5’9” 163 pounds, but the movement and
command of his fastball make it a plus pitch as it regularly hits 93-96. He
backs it up with a high spin curveball with depth, which maybe his best
pitch, and an above-average changeup that is still developing but should be
able to be a strong third pitch. He has made a lot of progress in 2019 in
both controlling his pitches and commanding the ball. With very clean
mechanics and a low-effort delivery there is a lot to like about him as he
has no trouble repeating his delivery. He moved up the ladder rather quickly
in 2019 beginning the season in A+ and reaching AAA in July. He could end up
a reliever down the line if it is determined he is too small to hold up to
the rigors of being a starter in the big leagues. He did work as a reliever
late in the season with Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. He was added to the 40 man
roster this off season to protect him in the Rule 5 Draft. Trenton Thunder
manager Pat Osborn compared him to Pedro Martinez and as a Yankees fan I sure
hope he’s right! ETA: Mid 2020
3. Deivi Garcia,右投手,20岁
曾在2019达到的最高层级:3A
2019赛季成绩:26场出赛(21场先发),主投111.1局165个三振,ERA4.28/WHIP1.35
Garcia在2015年以20万美金的低价被洋基签下。这位多明尼加出身的投手身形单
薄(175公分74公斤),但他的速球坐落在93-96mph,并且有良好的尾劲。他最好的球种
是有着高转速且变化幅度大的曲球,他的变速球尚未成熟,但也被预期能够成为第三个平
均之上的球种。
Garcia在2019年在control跟command上都有很大的突破。他的投球机制相当干净
,使他能够轻易地重复他顺畅的投球姿势。他去年爬升的速度非常快,短短三个月就从高
阶1A一路升到3A。
Garcia曾在去年季末以救援投手在3A出赛过,休赛季时洋基为了不让他在规则五
选秀中被选走而把他加入40名单。有许多球探认为他单薄的身材无法承受先发投手的工作
量,所以他转型成为后援的机率是存在的。带过他的2A教练曾把他比喻成年轻的Pedro
Martinez,身为洋基迷的我多么希望这能成真。
目前评价:高天花板低地板的投手新秀,有2个plus的球种(速球、曲球)以及一个发展
中有机会达到平均之上的球种(变速球);command还不稳定,但是以他流畅的投球动作有
机会再进步;但他矮小的身材可能阻碍他成为先发。
未来期待:中前段先发,或是顶尖的后援投手。
预计升上MLB年度:2020年季中
4. Estevan Florial, OF
Age: 22
2019 Highest Level: A+ Tampa
2019 Stats: 74 G, 301 PA, .237/.297/.383/.680, 8 HR, 38 RBI, 9 SB
Florial’s swing contains plus bat speed and will develop plus power in the
future. His swing possesses a high leg kick that will assist with his power.
Even though he has been pull dominant thus far in his career, his strength
actually comes into play when he goes to left-center field. Florial is a plus
runner. I would give him at least a 70 grade on the 20-80 scouting scale. He
has the potential to be a 30/30 player. With the bat speed and lofty in his
left-handed swing he can take advantage of Yankee Stadium. One concern is
that he is still very raw and at time gets overly aggressive as a hitter
since he’s so young, this leads to concerns about whether he can make enough
contact to realize his full potential. He should stick in center field but he
has plus arm strength which will allow him to be successful as a corner
outfielder should the organization choose to move him from center. He has a
great first step and plus reactions. Backs up every pitch and is moving on
every ball in play. Possesses plus arm strength and throws the ball on a
line. He must try and stay healthy after having fluky injuries the last few
years, even as recently as 2019. He spent two months on the IL from
fracturing his right wrist well crashing into the center-field wall during
Spring Training. It’s the second straight season Florial has dealt with
right wrist problems. He played just 84 games in 2018 due to hamate bone
surgery. The Yankees added Florial to the 40 man roster in the offseason to
protect him from the Rule 5 Draft. ETA: 2022
4. Estevan Florial,外野手,22岁
曾在2019达到的最高层级:A+
2019赛季成绩:74场出赛,301个打席,打击三围:.237/.297/.383 8支全垒打,9次盗垒
Florial有plus的挥棒速度,很有可能在未来长出plus的game power,他挥棒时
会有着高抬腿,让他能轻易击出长打。左打的他一直都是强力拉回式的打者,但他的力量
容许他把球打向中左外野。Florial也是一个plus的跑垒者,我会给他的跑速70分(20-80
scale)。如果能善用天赋,他有成为30-30明星球员的潜力。令人担忧的是,他现在的完
成度还是很低。他有时候会太过积极挥棒,球探们担心不成熟的approach会让他有过高的
挥空率,最终无法完全兑现他的打击天赋。
守备方面,Florial有良好的反应以及第一步,他专注于投手投出的每一球,并
且积极去追每一个打到外野的球。他应该能常驻中外野,但他强壮的臂力让他有成为顶尖
角落外野手的潜力。
Florial最大的问题是健康状态,他近两季都因为手腕伤势停机了很长一段时间
,洋基在这个休赛季也把他加入40人名单,不让他在规则五中被选走。
目前评价:天赋极高,但是手腕伤势影响到他的表现。挥棒太过积极又没有好的contact
skill,完成度很低。
未来期待:五拍子明星中外野手,或者是更实际的:守备良好的盲砲型中外野手。
预计升上MLB年度:2022
5. Luis Gil, RHP
Age: 21
2019 Highest Level: A+ Tampa
2019 Stats: 20 G, 20 GS, 96 IP, 5-5, 123 K, 2.72 ERA, 1.23 WHIP
When the Yankees needed roster space after signing Neil Walker in March 2018,
they designated Jake Cave for assignment and traded him to Minnesota for Gil.
Boy has that trade worked out! Gil had shoulder surgery in 2016 and missed
the season but it hasn’t affected his development. Gil’s big arm helps him
regularly hit 94-98 mph and reach 101 mph with his four-seam fastball. He
keeps his velocity deep into his starts and can blow his heater by hitters up
in the strike zone. He can also miss bats with an excellent power curveball
that has exceptional spin rates and a decent changeup that’s still a work in
progress. He has trouble keeping his delivery in sync and repeating his
release point, which makes it difficult for him to harness his overpowering
stuff at times. He may wind up as a dynamic late-inning reliever or closer
but because of his rapport he may work better as a reliever. The Yankees
added Gil to the 40 man roster to protect him from the Rule 5 Draft. ETA: 2022
5. Luis Gil,右投手,21岁
曾在2019达到的最高层级:A+
2019成绩;20场先发,主投96局,123个三振,ERA2.72/WHIP1.23
洋基在2018年初需要清出40人名单空间给刚签下的Neil Walker,所以他们把外野
新秀Jake Cave交易到双城换来Gil,这个不起眼的交易目前看起来真的太赞了。Gil在2016
年动了肩膀手术缺赛了整季,但是这并没有影响到他的发展。他的四缝线速球通常在94-
98mph之间,有时甚至可以飙到101mph,他的球速不会在后段局数降低太多,代表他的体
能很不错;他的曲球有着超优异的转速,变速球还未成熟,但也有成为良好第三球种的潜
力。
Gil可以在需要时把他的heater控制在好球带上缘,这时打者对他一点办法都没
有。但是他的协调性还没有很好,让他无法保持相同的投球姿势以及放球点,使得他空有
顶尖的stuff却没办法把球投进好球带。他的控球如果无法改善,未来可能会转往后援,
但以他的先天条件绝对有机会成为终结者或是球队重要的布局投手。他也在今年被加到40
人名单中。
目前评价:stuff非常顶尖,但是因为投球机制还不稳定所以控球还不行。
未来期待:有成为ace的潜力,接下来的目标就是挑整姿势改善控球,只有21岁的他绝对
有机会更上一层楼。最差也有成为顶尖牛的实力。
预计升上MLB年度:2022
To be continued...
作者: godspeed0221 (novio)   2020-01-29 20:35:00

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