Talking to NBA teams over the last few days a theme has emerged:
Caution with long-term deals. With the cap projected to rise only 7% for
2026-27 vs what was thought to be a near-guaranteed max of 10%, teams are
wary of signing deals that will outpace the growth of the cap. (Most
contracts will grow off of 8% raises, which is now bigger than the expected
cap growth is.)
This has impacted rookie scale extensions for the 2022 Draft class, as well
as negotiations with RFAs this summer. We've seen very little movement with
either of those markets thus far.
https://x.com/KeithSmithNBA/status/1941110591554298071
Keith跟其他联盟球队交谈的结论
就是各队在躲避长期合约，因为明年的薪资上限预计只会涨7%，本来大家都预计是10%
，也因此各队对于现在要给长年限的合约态度变得保守
(因为如果母队续约的合约每年数字增加幅度每年是8%，就会变相超越明年递增的薪资)
这也造成一个问题就是2022梯次可以提前续约的新秀部分，以及RFA市场上几乎毫无动静
就是本来大家就已经都在替明年留空间以外，现在考虑上涨幅度又要控制好合约的年限
跟长度
今年搞不好新秀续约的部分有一些球员的价格会比预期的稍低一点，或是干脆放到明年
再看看
现在看JSJ那种先谈好的是超级特异点
因为就算放在往年，这种非顶新秀合约谈判很容易到10月快截止前才谈完，球队跟球员
会拉锯一下
靠北 他开市前就谈好了 真的神速啊这个
不过应该过几天那种可以稳拿顶的 例如板桥罗应该会先出来
Chet跟Jalen Williams或许其中一人就会符合这种状况，要拉锯一下了