https://x.com/aop_nba/status/1777743208933384221
Latest update of EPM merged with player salaries
^ The more the player has outperformed their contract
v The more the player has underperformed their contract
> The higher the player’s actual contract is
Thoughts?
二月多的时后有发过一篇 #1bs26Wdz (NBA) 最近又更新了
横轴是球员本季至今的薪资
纵轴是球员表现经EPM计算所应拿的薪资
蓝色表示超值 红色表示溢价
^ 球员的表现超出其合约的价值
v 球员的表现未达到其合约的价值
> 球员实际合约薪资越高
大家对此有什么看法?
https://i.imgur.com/u1piQVE.jpg
二月的图:
https://i.imgur.com/At0eVeH.jpg
Some notes on how this was done and how to interpret it:
一些关于如何完成此事以及如何解读它的注解:
To create this I merged EPM data from @taylor_snarr’s excellent site (dunksandt
hrees) with salary data from @spotrac.
为了创见这个,我将来自@taylor_snarr的优秀网站dunksandthrees中的EPM数据,与来自@s
potrac的新资数据合并。
Right off the bat…obviously a player’s value can never be accurately determine
d by one composite metric, otherwise building a team would be super simple. That
being said, it still can provide some insight.
首先 很明显,一个综合指标永远无法准确判断一位球员的价值,否则建立一个队伍将会
变得非常简单。尽管如此,它仍然可以提供一些观察。
Players on rookie deals (most of the top left) have a greater chance outperformi
ng their contracts be default.
对于还再跑新秀合约的球员(大多位在左上角),通常有更大的机会超越其合约价值。
Injuries obviously play a role (ex. Ja Morant). It is an unfortunate reality, bu
t still a reality. Another example is Joel Embiid, who has having a historic sea
son and outperforming his contract by a huge margin all year until he missed the
last two months.
伤病显然扮演了巨大的角色(例如Ja Morant)。这是一个不幸的现实,但就是现实。另一
个例子是Joel Embiid,他在整个赛季都有着历史性的表现,并且一直大幅超出他的合约价
值,直到错过了近两个月。
Being in a negatives does not mean a player is having a bad season. Example, Ste
ph Curry. All it suggests is that Curry’s value is closer to ~$49M than ~$52M t
his season.
处于溢价区并不意味着该球员有一个糟糕的赛季。例如,Steph Curry。这只是表示他的价
值在此计算下,更接近49M。
The analysis tends to hurt players with big contracts playing a smaller role thi
s season, Jrue Holiday and Beal are examples of that.
这项分析不利于扮演较小角色的高薪球员,Jrue Holiday和Bradley Beal就是这样的例子。
想看更细节的每支球队结果在以下连结:
https://x.com/aop_nba/status/1777762629911707695