https://reurl.cc/A4Y93Y
Key Highlights:
可以只看重点：
-Since teams only really run set plays after timeouts, the best way to evaluat
e a coach’s play-calling acumen is to analyze how their team performs in afte
r timeout possessions.
-由于球队只有在暂停后才真正set play，因此评估教练的战术敏锐度最佳方法是分析球
队在暂停后的表现。
-Coaches with better offensive personnel have an advantage when it comes to ra
w ATO data. So, we need to adjust for that in order to paint a clearer picture
.
-在原始ATO 数据方面，拥有更好进攻球员的教练具有优势。因此，我们需要对此进行调
整。
-The best ATO play callers this year are Jason Kidd, Ime Udoka, Tyronn Lue, Ad
rian Griffin/Doc Rivers, and Joe Mazzulla. And the worst play callers are Bill
y Donovan, Mike Malone, Nick Nurse, J.B. Bickerstaff, and Gregg Popovich.
-今年最好的 ATO 教练是 Jason Kidd、Ime Udoka、Tyronn Lue、Adrian Griffin/Doc R
ivers 和 Joe Mazzulla。
-最糟糕的是 Billy Donovan 、Mike Malone 、Nick Nurse 、J.B. Bickerstaf 和Gregg
Popovich 。
Basketball has come a long way in terms of data. Not only can we tell you how
efficient a player is from a particular spot on the floor. But we can also tel
l you how well they perform in specific play types like pick-and-rolls and dri
bble handoffs.
篮球在数据方面已经取得了长足的进步。我们不仅可以告诉你一名球员在场上特定位置的
效率，也可以告诉你他们在挡拆和运球递手传球特定play中的表现如何。
However, one area where sports data is still lacking is in how we evaluate coa
ches. One problem is there is so much that happens behind the scenes that we j
ust don't know. Another issue is there are so many facets of coaching to analy
ze – rotations, timeout usage, play-calling, etc.
然而，运动类数据仍然缺乏的一个领域是如何评估教练。主要问题是幕后发生了太多我们
不知道的事情。另个问题是教练有太多方面需要分析：轮换、暂停的使用、call战术等。
How We Will Measure Play Calling?
我们如何评估？
The tricky part about assessing a coach’s play-calling acumen in 2024 is how
little of it they actually do. In his book, “Spaced Out: The Tactical Evoluti
on of the Modern NBA,” Mike Prada dedicates a whole chapter to this topic (Ch
apter Five).
2024 年评估教练的战术智慧棘手之处在于他们实际上做得很少 （可以看这本书...这段
不翻译了）
Most of the time, teams don’t run set plays anymore. They install concepts/pr
inciples and let their players free flow and read and react out of that infras
tructure. The unpredictability of it all is part of the reason that offenses h
ave become so efficient today.
大多数时候，球队不再set plays ；他们只灌输概念和原则 让球员自行发挥、阅读比赛
并做出反应。这一切的不可预测性是当今进攻变得如此有效率的部分原因。
Nowadays, the only time that coaches get to try their hand at is in plays imme
diately following a timeout. You’ve probably heard the phrase “ATO” (after
timeout).
如今，教练们唯一尝试做play-calling的时机是在暂停后立即进行的比赛中，也就是ATO
。
Anyway, fortunately for us, the good people at PBP Stats track how many posses
sions and how many points each team has scored on possessions after timeouts.
So, we can take a look at how each team performs in these situations.
幸运的是，PBP Stats 人员会追踪暂停后每支球队的控球次数和得分。因此，我们可以看
看每个团队在这些情况下的表现。
A Look At The Data
Here is how all 30 teams look on a points per possession basis in after timeou
t situations (all this data is as of February 26, 2024):
以下是所有 30 支球队在暂停后的情况下每次控球得分的情况（所有数据截至 2024 年 2
月 26 日）
https://i.imgur.com/JXmrqjd.png
领先者:
Boston Celtics (Joe Mazzulla), Dallas Mavericks (Jason Kidd), Los Angeles Clip
pers (Tyronn Lue), Milwaukee Bucks (Adrian Griffin/Doc Rivers – man, the iron
y 真讽刺), Utah Jazz (Will Hardy)
倒数5名：
Charlotte Hornets (Steve Clifford), Portland Trail Blazers (Chauncey Billups),
Philadelphia 76ers (Nick Nurse), San Antonio Spurs (Gregg Popovich), and the
Cleveland Cavaliers (J.B. Bickerstaff).
(Sidebar: It seems like Griffin was better at drawing up ATO’s than Rivers ha
s been this season. With Griffin, the Bucks were scoring 1.22 points per posse
ssion on their ATOs. Now, with Rivers, they are averaging just 1.14 points per
possession on ATOs.)
Griffin本赛季似乎比老河更擅长制定ATO。在Griffin的带领下，公鹿在ATO 上每回合得
分为1.22 分。现在，在老河的带领下，他们在ATO 上的平均每回合得分仅为1.14 分.
Adding Some Nuance To Our Analysis
While looking at raw ATO data does give us some insight into who excels in thi
s area of coaching. But even the best coaches will tell you that all their bri
lliance means nothing if the players can't execute.
为我们的分析做点微调
虽查看原始 ATO 数据可以让人深入了解谁在教练领域表现更出色，但即使是最好的教练
也会告诉你，如果球员不能执行，他们的功力都毫无意义。
So, when we look at just raw ATO data, we are biasing toward coaches who lead
teams with better offensive personnel. After all, it is more likely a coach’s
play will succeed when they have great offensive players running it.
因此，当我们仅查看原始 ATO 数据时，会偏向那些拥有更好进攻球员球队的教练。毕竟
，当教练有出色的进攻球员来指挥时，ATO更有可能取得成功。
So, when we look at just raw ATO data, we are biasing toward coaches who lead
teams with better offensive personnel. After all, it is more likely a coach’s
play will succeed when they have great offensive players running it.
如果你仔细观察，你会发现每回合 ATO 得分排名前五的球队中有三支在整体进攻效率上
也排名前五（赛提 快艇 和公鹿）。每次控球 ATO 得分排名倒数五位的球队中，有三支
球队的整体进攻效率也排名倒数五位（黄蜂、拓荒者和马刺）。
So, in order to add more nuance to our analysis, we are going to look at each
team's ATO points per possession relative to their overall offensive rating.
因此，为了让分析更精确，我们将考量每支球队每次控球的 ATO 得分相对于整体进攻效
率的情况。
https://i.imgur.com/mXmcz9b.jpeg
现在我们前5魔法师变成 Mavericks (Kidd), Houston Rockets (Ime Udoka), Clippers
(Lue), Bucks (Griffin/Rivers – still so funny), and Celtics (Mazzulla).
倒数5名 : Chicago Bulls (Billy Donovan), Denver Nuggets (Mike Malone), 76ers (
Nurse), Cavaliers (Bickerstaff), and Spurs (Popovich).
心得：
蛮意外的，其实老基是ATO战术大师
Adrian Griffin 》DocRivers
参考用，只是看到觉得有趣，有兴趣可以看原文，有些不太重要就略过了