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I’ve been waiting to release a 2024 NBA Draft Big Board, largely because
this draft class remains so uncertain. The 2024 draft is seen as the most
questionable one at the top in more than a decade. NBA teams are struggling
to pinpoint the kind of prospect whose value is commensurate with that of a
usual top-five pick.
Right now, I wouldn’t take any player in this class in the top four of the
2022 draft or the top five of the 2023 draft, and I still would not classify
any with a Tier One or Tier Two grade. Because of that, the order these
players will be selected remains extremely up in the air. It’s not an
exaggeration to say any player (outside of one) ranked in the top nine of
this board could end up going No. 1.
我(Vecenie)等了一阵子才发出2024年NBA选秀的百大新秀榜，主要还是因为这届的不确定
性太高了。2024选秀是我十数年来看过有最多疑虑的一届。NBA球队还在想办法找出能与前
五顺位价值相符的潜力。
现阶段而言，我不会将这届的任何球员与2022的Top 4(Paolo, Chet, JSJ, Ivey)或是2023
的Top 5(Wemby, Miller, Scoot, Thompson Bros)相提并论，我也还不会选出Tier 1或2。
因此，这些球员被选的顺序仍悬而不决。不夸张的说，除了某一名球员以外，前9名的任何
一位都有可能会是状元。
And yet, this class is also an incredibly fun one to break down. It’s an
eye-of-the-beholder draft, and scouts are working hard to determine where
value can be had. There are players not ranked on this board who will emerge
over the course of the season and end up being drafted. This is just a
snapshot of where we’re at a quarter of the way through the regular season
— with myriad potential outcomes still on the board.
My goal right now is to identify guys I think have a good chance to play in
the NBA for a reasonable amount of time. I’m thinking less in terms of
upside, and more in terms of their chances of becoming strong rotation
players. You’ll notice I placed an emphasis on prospects who really know how
to play and have elite feel for the game. Another important factor I value,
even more than in previous years, is each prospect’s ability to impact the
game when they don’t have the ball. Because it’s difficult to pinpoint
exactly which guys have potential to be on-ball creators, placing an emphasis
on those who are effective without the ball seems like the best way to get
value out of a class that evaluators believe lacks top-end talent.
但是，这一届分析起来是非常有趣的。这是给旁观者的选秀，而球探正在努力找出他们的
价值。这里一定会有球员不在这个榜上却能逐渐爬上来并被选中。这只是例行赛过了1/4之
后的一个缩影

芝加哥恶徒Terrence Shannon Jr终于要进NBA了