[外絮] 热火队就 Kyle Lowry 去留可能作出的抉择

楼主: laptic (无明)   2023-06-28 08:55:23
原标题:Heat considering multiple options with Lowry. Where things stand and
what makes sense
(热火队正考虑 Lowry 的去留。目前进展如何、哪些作法较为合理?)
来源:https://is.gd/gWT6wf
作者:Barry Jackson
原文+翻译:
Kyle Lowry’s Heat contract is due to pay him $29.7 million next season in
the final season of a three-year deal. In reality, Lowry could end up costing
the Heat tens of millions of dollars more than that, because of salary-cap
implications. And that has the Heat considering multiple exit avenues with
the veteran guard.
在来到三年合约的最后一个赛季时,萝莉在热火预计将可获得二千九百七十万美元的薪资
。从现实上来说,由于薪资帽的影响,萝莉最终可能会令热火队多支出数千万美元。这让
热火队开始考虑处理他合约的各种方式。
According to two sources, the Heat has been giving thought to potentially
using the waive-and-stretch provision on Lowry if Miami is unable to trade
him, though a firm decision on that has not been made. That waive-and-stretch
mechanism would allocate his remaining cap hit equally over three seasons.
根据两组消息人士的说法,热火队正想着在无法将他交易出去的情况下,尽管尚未作出明
确的定案,是否要使用合约中的延伸条款来摊提并裁走萝莉?这种机制将会在三个赛季间
重新平均分配其剩余薪资。
In other words, if the Heat goes the waive-and-stretch route, Lowry would
have a cap hit of $9.9 million each of the next three seasons instead of
$29.7 million next season, which would be his cap hit otherwise.
换句话说,如果热火队决定使用延伸条款来摊提并裁走,萝莉在未来三年的薪资上限将各
达九百九十万美元,而不是单一赛季的二千九百七十万美元(即他一年的薪资上限)。
The upshot of that: Miami’s 2023-24 salary cap commitments would shrink from
$178.5 million to $158.5 million, below the $165 million tax line and the
$182.5 million second apron, a threshold that carries significant
restrictions, including the inability to sign buyout players who were making
more than $12 million from the team that released them. That extra
flexibility could allow the Heat to re-sign guard Gabe Vincent in the days
ahead without paying an enormous tax.
好处:
热火队的2023-24 薪资帽承诺将从现有的 1.785 亿美元降低至 1.585 亿美元。如此一来
,将能在低于两层硬上限的情况下,不必面对无法签下原薪资超过120 万美元之球员的命
运。这种额外的伸缩性,也可以让热火在不必另外缴付巨额税务的情况下,重新签下后卫
Gabe Vincent。
The downside of waiving and stretching Lowry: The $9.9 million cap hits in
2024-25 and 2025-26 would be burdensome, especially because the particularly
onerous restrictions of surpassing the second apron take effect a year from
now. That option will be moot if the Heat includes Lowry in a potential trade
for Portland guard Damian Lillard — who has not asked for a trade — or
another transaction. But the decision must be made this summer, because the
waive-and-stretch provision can only be used before Sept. 1.
坏处:
2024-25 赛季和2025-26 赛季的990 万美元薪资上限将形成一个负担,特别是在超过第二
层硬上限时,特别繁重的限制将从现在起一年后生效的情况下。如果热火队将萝莉纳入尚
未要求交易的拓荒者后卫小李之潜在交易中,这一选择将失去意义。但这个决定必须在今
年夏天做出,因为延伸条款只能在九月一日前使用。
If the Heat keeps Lowry beyond Sept. 1, Miami would need to hope that his
contract could be parlayed into assets, perhaps at next February’s trade
deadline should he remain on the roster that long. At this past season’s
trade deadline, the Lakers appreciably upgraded their team by parlaying
Russell Westbrook’s expiring contract — the one that paid him $47 million
last season — into three helpful rotation players.
如果热火队决定在九月一日后,继续留住萝莉,热火队将必须希望他的合约能在明年二月
的交易大限前,在他到时仍留在球队班底的前提下,可以转换成为交易资产。在上赛季的
交易大限时,湖人队透过将上赛季支出4700万美元薪资、当时合约即将到期的威少换成三
位板凳球员的方式,升级其球队。
With D’Angelo Russell and Malik Beasley averaging 17.4 and 11.1 points per
game, respectively, after their acquisition, and Jarred Vanderbilt
contributing 7.2 points and 6.7 rebounds, the Lakers had the needed depth to
ride LeBron James and Anthony Davis to the Western Conference finals, where
they were swept by Denver. (Rui Hachimura, also acquired before the trade
deadline in a different deal, also helped.)
D'Lo和Malik Beasley在被交易进来后,平均每场得到17.4分和11.1分,Jarred Vanderb-
ilt也能贡献7.2分和6.7个篮板。在此情况下,湖人有所需的板凳深度,来驱动LBJ和AD进
入西部决赛,但最终却被金块横扫。(在交易截止日期前,透过其他交易获得的八村垒,
也是如此。)
The path that would most benefit the Heat — aside from Lowry being used in a
Lillard deal — would be finding a team that has the cap space to absorb Lowry
’s contract while sending the Heat a lesser player making much less money.
That path seems unlikely because the teams with cap space seemingly could use
their space on more appealing options than Lowry. Five teams have more than
$30 million in cap space: Houston at $60.9 million, San Antonio at $38.6
million, Sacramento at $35.6 million, Indiana at $32.2 million and Detroit at
$30 million.
除了将萝莉用于小李的交易之外,最有利于热火队的途径是找到一支有薪资空间的球队来
吸收萝莉的合约,同时给热火队送去一个能减少薪资支出的球员。这条途径似乎不太可能
,因为有薪资空间的球队可能会用在于比萝莉更有吸引力的选择。有五支球队的薪资空间
超过了3000万美元:火箭有6090万美元,马刺有3860万美元,国王有3560万美元,溜马有
3220万美元,活塞有3000万美元。
(下面是在不使用延伸条款的情况下,其他可能可以跟进萝莉薪资的球队,本文不翻译)
If the Heat doesn’t include Lowry in a trade involving Lillard — and if
Miami bypasses using the waive-and-stretch provision on him by the end of
August — here would be some teams that hypothetically could be a match for
Lowry under certain circumstances:
- Los Angeles Clippers: Power forwards Marcus Morris (due $17.1 million) and
Robert Covington ($11.7 million) would be a cap match for Lowry if the
Clippers want a veteran point guard. This would make sense if the Heat gets
Lillard, especially if Caleb Martin is sacrificed in the deal. But the Heat
likely would need to throw in a sweetener for the Clippers to consider. The
Heat also could give the Clippers tax relief by taking the last two years of
Terance Mann’s deal ($10.5 million, $11.4 million).
- Utah: There’s no reason to think the Jazz would try to move off the
reasonable money due Lauri Markkanen, who had a breakout season last year and
is due $17.2 million and $18 million the next two seasons. Utah is reportedly
trying to move point guard Colin Sexton’s contract, but this would be worth
considering for Miami only if the Heat cannot land Lillard. Flipping Lowry
for Sexton (due $17.3 million, $18.1 million, $18.9 million) and Kelly Olynyk
($12.2 in an expiring deal) would work. But Utah’s willingness to take only
Lowry would depend on how eager the Jazz is to dump Sexton’s contract.
Sexton, a 6-1 swing guard, averaged 24.3 points and shot 37.1 percent on
threes in 35.3 minutes per game while making 60 starts for Cleveland two
seasons ago. Last season, he averaged 14.3 points and 23.9 minutes and shot
39.3 percent on threes in 48 games, including 15 starts.
- Toronto: There remains mutual affection and respect between Lowry and the
Raptors. If the Heat cannot get Lillard, it would be worth exploring the
possibility of flipping Lowry and other assets (a first-round pick or Nikola
Jovic) for 6-5 swingman Gary Trent Jr. (17.4 point per game last season) and
power forward Chis Boucher. The salaries line up almost perfectly; Trent will
make $18.6 million in an expiring deal and Boucher $11.7 million. The Raptors
’ incentive? If Toronto determines it cannot or does not want to extend
Trent and if it wants to get out of Boucher’s $10.6 million in 2024-25.
Boucher averaged 9.4 points and 5.5 rebounds last season. He shoots threes
but not at a great percentage; he’s 270 for 908 (33.4 percent) in his
career. Former Heat player Precious Achiuwa also could be an option in this
scenario.
- San Antonio: There are several permutations that could be built around
Lowry’s money, but the Heat would need to motivate the Spurs with draft
picks and/or Jokic or perhaps Martin. Such a package could be built around
swing forward Doug McDermott (on a $13.7 million expiring/10.3 points per
game and 41.3 percent on threes last season) and point guard DeVonte Graham,
who’s due $12.1 million and $12.6 million the next two seasons.
- Indiana: If the Pacers want to rebuild, a package starting with Lowry and
Oladipo’s expiring contracts would be enough – from a cap standpoint - to
land Myles Turner (due $20.9 million and $19.9 million) and Buddy Hield, who’
s on an expiring deal worth $19.2 million. But from a value standpoint,
Indiana would seek far more. If the Lillard pursuit doesn’t materialize, a
case could be made to offer Lowry, Oladipo, Jokic and multiple first-round
picks for that Turner/Hield package. But Indiana likely would be disinclined
to give up on the 2023-24 season before it even starts. And Herro would have
no value to Indiana, with Bennedict Mathurin coming off a very good rookie
season.
If the Pacers start the season poorly, this is one team worth monitoring if
Lowry remains on the Heat’s roster past August. Beyond Lowry, the
sign-and-stretch mechanism also remains an option for Oladipo, whose $9.5
million cap hit could be split instead into $3.1 million cap charges the next
three seasons.
NOTABLE
其他重点
The Heat extended qualifying offers to forward Jamal Cain and center Orlando
Robinson, who finished the season on two-way contracts. Both Cain and Robinson
will play for the Heat’s summer league team next month. The qualifying offers
make Cain and Robinson restricted free agents and gives the Heat the right to
match outside offers for either player. The Heat could give them two-way
contracts again or sign them to standard contracts, a decision that hasn't
been made.
热火队已经为以双向合约结束上赛季的 Jamal Cain 和 Orlando Robinson 提供合格报价
,他们将在下个月出战夏季联赛。他们也可以考虑再次提供双向合约,或以一般合约留住
他们,但迄今为止,他们尚未作出任何决定。
*根据 Bobby Marks 的说法,他们都拥有鸟权,因此可以在薪资帽之上续约
The Heat must decide by Thursday whether to extend a $2.3 million qualifying
offer to center Omer Yurtseven, a move that would make him a restricted free
agent and give the Heat the ability to match outside offers.
同时热火队必须在星期四决定,是否要为中锋 Omer Yurtseven 提供二百三十万美元的合
格报价,这样就能让他成为受限制自由球员、并给予热火跟进其他球队报价的可能性。
短评:
豪华税的问题,不知何时了... (?)
另外在其他报导中,该记者也提到,热火队正在“耐心等待”小李作出决定,而老板 Pat
Riley 将在自由市场开始前,到南加州与他会面。
作者: eeqqww112233 (酒桶)   2023-06-28 10:25:00
Y77会留吧 不然就可惜了…
作者: Aretimis7345 (思考)   2023-06-28 12:15:00
首轮油头只愿意拿来换明星 叫他贴签倒烂约他才不要愿意贴签的话 阿舍早就换出去了

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