[外絮] 新CBA将如何影响尼克队?

楼主: laptic (无明)   2023-06-11 20:26:06
原标题:How could NBA’s new CBA affect Knicks this summer and beyond?
(NBA 的新版劳资协议在今年夏季如何影响尼克队?)
来源:https://theathletic.com/4596744/ (付费媒体)
作者:Fred Katz
原文+翻译:
The New York Knicks will need a new strategy soon. After all, the rules are
about to change.
纽约尼克队将需要一个新的策略,毕竟规则将会发生改变。
The NBA and the players’ association agreed this spring on a new collective
bargaining agreement, which will kick in July 1 at the start of free agency.
The Knicks, along with the rest of the league, will have to tweak their
approach to handing out contracts, making trades, valuing draft picks and
more.
联盟和球员工会在今年春季,已就新版劳资协议达成共识,预定于七月一日自由市场开启
时开始生效。和联盟内其他球团一样,尼克队将必须调整他们在派发合约、进行交易、评
估选秀签等方面的作法。
There is nothing glamorous about long, complicated legal documents, but if
you see the Knicks or anyone else do something funky this summer, it may just
be because of this agamic CBA.
对于冗长、繁杂的法律文件,并没有什么值得奇怪的,但如果看到尼克或其他球队在今夏
作出古怪动作的话,这可能是因为新版劳资协议所造成的。
With the start of free agency only three weeks away, here are six ways the
new CBA could affect the Knicks this offseason and beyond:
距离自由市场开启还有三个星期的时间,以下是新版薪资协议在休赛季期间,对尼克造成
的影响:
Matching salaries
薪资配对
All we hear about in Knicksland is the team’s chase for a star. Well, the
team is in an even more advantageous position under the new CBA, which will
make it more difficult for teams with expensive payrolls to deal not just for
star players but for any players at all. Meanwhile, the Knicks are below the
luxury-tax line and should remain in that territory for the 2023-24 season.
一直从尼克队听闻到的,是对于球星的追逐。在将导致薪资支出高的球队更难进行交易的
新版劳资协议下,该队将处于更有利的竞争优势。与此同时,尼克队目前处于豪华税门槛
之下,预计2023-24 赛季也是如此。
Some of the new restrictive rules are being phased in, but here is a summary
of them:
一些新的限制性条款将获得实施,其中摘要如下:
The NBA is adding a “second apron,” which will be $17.5 million above the
luxury-tax threshold and will hurt high-payroll teams on the trade market.
联盟将增加“第二层硬上限”,在原有的豪华税门槛上,还要多出一千七百五十万美元
,在自由市场上将伤到高支出的球团。
The Knicks, as constructed, could make a hypothetical star trade using
players whose salaries come within 125 percent of the salary they’re trading
for — referred to as “matching salaries.” But during the 2023-24 season,
which begins July 1, teams who are above the second apron can match salaries
up to only 110 percent, according to league sources, making any sort of trade
far more difficult.
按照预想的结构,尼克队可以利用工资在他们要交易的工资125%以内的球员进行假设的明
星交易——被称为“薪资配对”。但是在七月一日开始的2023-24 赛季,根据联盟的消息
,在第二层硬上限以上的球队最多只能配对110%的工资,这使得任何形式的交易变得更加
困难。
New York, which is not in the tax, won’t have to deal with this. But more
expensive teams could be wiped out of the conversation for a star, or even
for just a regular old role player because they can’t make the money work.
目前无需缴付豪华税的尼克队,将不需要应付这问题。但其他支出高的球队可能会被排除
在球星交易的谈判之外,甚至连普通球员也不行,因为他们无法“让钱工作”。
The rules become even more restrictive once the 2023-24 regular season ends.
From that point on, teams above the second apron cannot aggregate players in
trades at all, meaning they can deal only one player at a time, and
salary-matching rules become as prohibitive as possible. If two teams both
above the first apron are making a trade, they can do the swap only with
players who make identical salaries, down to the cent. Essentially, starting
next summer, the only realistic way a team over either apron can make a trade
is if it flips one player who signed a max, midlevel or minimum deal for
another player who signed the same contract in the same season.
在2023-24 赛季例行赛结束后,规则会变得更加严格。从那时起,高于第二层硬上限的球
队完全不能在交易中汇总球员,这意味着他们一次只能交易一名球员,而且薪资配对规则
将受限更多。如果两支都在第一层硬上限之上的球队进行交易,他们只能用薪资相同的球
员进行交换,精确到分。基本上,从明年夏天开始,超过任何一层上限的球队可以进行交
易的唯一现实方式是,用一位签署了高薪、中产或低薪合约的球员,换取另一位在同一赛
季签署相同合约的球员。
How often do we see trades like that?
类似交易会否变得更频繁?
If the Knicks trade for a star, whether it’s this summer or the next one,
they will have to maneuver around these measures. If it’s a particularly
expensive household name and they manage to hold onto Jalen Brunson, Julius
Randle and RJ Barrett in the process, then they’re talking about the tax or
maybe even the second apron, and that’s without considering new salaries for
upcoming free agent Josh Hart or up-and-comers Immanuel Quickley and Obi
Toppin, who could be included in a star trade but are also only one year away
from free agency.
如果尼克斯队要交易一位球星,无论是在今年夏天还是明年夏天,他们将不得不围绕这些
措施进行交易。如果这是一个特别昂贵的家喻户晓的名字,而且他们在这个过程中成功留
下Jalen Brunson、Julius Randle 和 RJ Barrett,他们即是在谈著豪华税,甚至可能是
第二层硬上限。这一切还没有考量即将成为自由球员的 Josh Hart 或后起之秀 Immanuel
Quickley 和Obi Toppin 的新工资,他们可能包括在一个球星交易中,但距离进入自由市
场也仅有一年之隔。
There was never a good time to part with lots of picks and young players for
a star who does not work, but it’s possible, given the punitive tax rules,
that it’s more harmful now than ever to give up the kitchen sink for the
wrong star. If a team has a player who doesn’t fit and underperforms because
of it, then that team has fewer ways to improve around him and could be stuck.
在放弃大量选秀权和年轻球员及换取一个不工作的球星之间,从来没有这样刚好,但鉴于
惩罚性的税收规则,如果要为选错的球星而放弃厨房水槽(编按:指“普通球员”),现
在有可能比以往任何时候都更有害。如果一支球队有一个不适合的球员,且因此而表现不
佳,这支球队在他周围改进的方法就变得更少,甚至可能会被困住。
Teams above the second apron are restricted in how they can build out their
rosters, too. They lose access to the taxpayer midlevel exception.
Essentially, if a team is above the second apron, it can only sign players
with minimum contracts or by using Bird rights, which allows organizations to
exceed the salary cap to re-sign their players.
超过第二层硬上限的球队,在建立球员阵容方面也受到限制。他们失去了使用付税中产特
例的机会。基本上,如果一支球队在第二层硬上限之上,它只能以低薪合约或通过使用允
许球队以超过薪资帽的方式重签的“鸟权”签下球员。
Player-friendly extension rules
对球员友善的续约规则
Extensions for players coming off rookie contracts can now be five years for
everyone — not just for designated top prospects, as was the case during the
previous CBA — which means Quickley and Toppin will be eligible for
five-year deals this summer. The extensions would kick in for the 2024-25
season. Next summer, Quentin Grimes would be eligible for a five-year
extension, which would start for the 2025-26 season.
如今新秀合约约满的球员,续约期间都可以是五年,而不是在旧制度下只能提供给指定的
顶级潜力球员。这意味着 Quickley 和 Toppin 今年夏天都可以签一份长达五年合约,将
从2024-25 赛季开始生效。而在明年夏天,Quentin Grimes 也将符合该资格,从2025-26
赛季开始生效。
But the young players aren’t the only ones who could benefit. There’s also
Hart, an anticipated free agent who isn’t guaranteed to become one, even if
Hart returning to New York remains the most likely outcome this summer.
但年轻球员不是可以受益的唯一群体。还有预计不一定能成为自由球员的 Hart ,毕竟回
到纽约将是较为可能出现的结果。
Hart has a unique contract structure: a $13 million player option for the
2023-24 season that becomes non-guaranteed if he picks it up. The assumption
all along was that he would go into free agency since he’s worth more than
$13 million. But with the new rules, he has another option.
Hart 有一个独特的合约结构: 2023-24 赛季时的一千三百万美元球员选择权,执行的话
将成为不受保障球员。一直以来的假设是,因为价值比选择权本身还要更高的关系,他将
会进入自由市场。但有了新规则后,他将有别的选择。
Veterans can now extend for up to 140 percent of their previous season’s
salary. That figure used to be 120 percent. It means leading into June 24,
the deadline for Hart to pick up or decline his player option, he and the
Knicks could negotiate a 2024-25 salary for up to $18.1 million (140 percent
of $13 million). If both sides agreed, Hart could pick up the player option,
the Knicks could guarantee it and he could then sign an extension, which
would begin in 2024-25, worth up to about $81 million over four years.
老将现在可以领取他们上赛季工资的140%。这个数字过去是120%。这意味着在六月廿四日
之后,也就是 Hart 接受或拒绝履行球员选择权的最后期限,他和尼克可以就2024-25 年
的工资进行谈判,最高可达一千八百一十万美元(一千三百万美元的140%)。如果双方同
意,哈特可以接受球员选择权、尼克队可以作担保,然后他可以签署一份续约合同,这将
在2024-25 年开始,价值高达约八千一百万美元,为期四年。
The extension route would accomplish two things for New York.
这种续约方式将让尼克队能达成两件事。
First, it would keep Hart around for an extra season — five years instead of
the max of four he’d get as a free agent. Second, it would keep his 2023-24
salary down, giving the team a little more financial flexibility in the
upcoming season.
首先,这将使 Hart 多留一个赛季、直达五年,而不是他作为自由球员时,至多的五年。
其次,这将使他2023-24 年的薪资下降,让球队在新赛季有更多的财政灵活性。
The frozen pick
被冷冻的选秀签
There is one more way the trade market could dampen if a star becomes
available.
如果有球星进入自由市场,还有一种可以冷却(抑制)的方式。
When a team is above the second apron at the end of the season, then “the
frozen pick,” unquestionably the coolest new term to come out of this CBA,
comes into play. Here’s what it means: If a team is above the second apron,
then its first-round pick seven years into the future cannot be traded.
如果球团在赛季结束时处于第二层硬上限,“被冷冻的选秀签”——毫无疑问地是新劳资
协议中最酷的新条款——将会发挥作用。这个意思是:如果球队处于第二层硬上限之上,
该队将无法把未来七年的首轮签交易出去。
For example, if a team were above the second apron right now, then that means
it can’t trade its 2030 first-rounder.
打个比方,如果球团在本赛季已超出第二层硬上限,该队将无法把二零三零年的首轮签交
易出去。
Since teams cannot go consecutive seasons without first-round picks and since
they can trade first-rounders as far as only seven years into the future,
this means ones above the second apron can deal as many as three of their
first-rounders, while teams below the second apron can trade up to four of
their own firsts.
由于球队不能连续多个赛季没有首轮选秀签,而且他们最远的选秀签交易只能是在未来七
年内,这意味着高于第二层硬上限的球队可以交易至多三个他们的首轮选秀权,而低于第
二层硬上限的球队最多可以交易四个首轮选秀签。
This could give the Knicks another slight advantage on the trade market if
they’re bidding against a second-apron team for a player they want.
如果尼克在交易市场上与接近第二层硬上限的球队竞逐他们想要的球员,这可能会让他们
在交易市场上稍有优势。
All-NBA likelihoods
前三队的可能性
Brunson and Randle, who don’t sit out many games, may be more likely to make
All-NBA teams than ever before, which could make Brunson eligible for a lot
of dough.
未曾缺赛过多场次的 Brunson 和 Randle,如今更有可能进入前三队的阵容之内。这将让
Brunson 有资格领取更多奖金。
Players must compete in at least 65 games to be eligible for All-NBA teams
now. If those rules applied to this season, five of the 15 players who made
them would not have been on the ballot, clearing the way for Brunson, who
missed it narrowly. Randle has been All-NBA twice in three years.
如今要进入前三队,球员必须在单一赛季中上阵六十五场次。如果此条款在本赛季生效,
其中五位球员将不再具备资格。这将让先前差点上榜的Brunson 更有机会出现;而Randle
则在过去三年中,进入前三队两次。
But let’s concentrate on Brunson because this could affect how much money he
makes.
但现阶段先专注在 Brunson,因为这将影响他的收入。
The point guard can become a free agent in 2025. And if he enters the market
coming off an All-NBA campaign, he will be supermax eligible — meaning his
contract could start at 35 percent of the salary cap instead of 30 percent of
it.
这位控球后卫将在二零二五年成为自由球员。而如果他在成功进入前三队后,才进入自由
市场,他将有资格领取顶薪——意味着他的合约可以比薪资帽高出至多百分之三十五,而
不是百分之三十。
In this situation, his starting salary on a max deal would jump from a
projected $44.3 million to a projected $51.7 million. A five-year supermax
contract in 2025 would make 1990s Wall Street CEOs jealous: $299.9 million.
在这情况下,他的顶薪合约之起薪将从预计的四千四百三十万美元,跳到预计的五千一百
七十万美元。二零二五年的五年顶薪合约,将让九十年代的的华尔街首席执行官们感到嫉
妒:约三亿美元。
The games-played initiative isn’t the only new All-NBA rule that’s friendly
to Randle and Brunson, who veer away from sitting out games during the age of
load management. All-NBA teams also will become positionless, which could
help Brunson, since point guard is the deepest position in the league.
出赛措施的举措并不是唯一对 Randle 和Brunson 友善的前三队新规则,他们在负荷管理
的时代下鲜少缺赛。前三队阵容也将不按位置分类,这可能帮到 Brunson,因为控球后卫
是联盟中最深的位置。
For what it’s worth, Randle would not need the supermax provision. By 2025,
he’ll already be a 10-year veteran, meaning he’d be automatically eligible
for the 35 percent max.
值得一提的是,Randle 将不需要顶薪条款。到了二零二五年时,他已经是一个十年老将
,这意味着他将有资格自动获得三成五的最高限额。
Managing the midlevel
中产合约管理
The Knicks are likely to operate as an above-the-cap team this summer, which
means they can use the midlevel exception, worth a little more than $12
million in starting salary.
尼克队今年夏天很可能作为一支超出上限的球队运作,这意味着他们可以使用中产特例,
起薪可略高于一千二百万美元。
But they, along with the rest of the league, could be less likely to use the
midlevel exception to sign someone.
但是,他们和联盟其他球队一样,不太可能使用中产特例签下球员。
Starting in 2024-25, teams can use the midlevel, if untouched, as a trade
exception, according to league sources. That means organizations above the
salary cap can use the midlevel exception to sign a player, claim someone on
waivers or trade for someone who makes up to $12 million without having to
match salaries in that deal. Whether the midlevel can always be used as a
trade exception or if it turns into a trade exception after the offseason
remains unclear. At this point, the league office is yet to give a final copy
of the new CBA to the 30 teams. Instead, it has sent a detailed summary of
the changes. But there are still tiny details that front offices are unsure
about.
据联盟消息人士的说法,从2024-25 赛季开始,在未被触及的情况下,球队可以使用中层
交易特例。这意味着高于薪资帽的球团可以使用中层特例来签下一名球员,在裁掉后面认
领球员,或交易薪资至多一千二百万美元的人,而不必在该交易中进行薪资配对。中产球
员是否可以一直作为交易特例使用,或者在休赛季后变成交易特例,目前还不清楚。在这
一点上,联盟办公室还没有将新版薪资协议的最终副本交给三十支球队。相反,它已经发
放了一份详细的变化摘要。但仍有一些微小的细节是前台人员所不确定的。
I recently spoke with another league source who predicted that the new rule
could hurt the NBA’s middle class. “Unless teams see someone as a clear
upgrade, I think they’ll hold (the midlevel),” he said.
我曾与另一联盟消息人士讨论过,他预测新规则可能会伤害到领中产薪的球员。他说:“
球队能找到明确的球员升级,我觉得他们会留住中产合约。”
Derrick Rose situation
飙风玫瑰的处境
Rose has a $15.6 million team option for next season. Considering he never
plays, save for when the Madison Square Garden fans chant loud enough to
convince Tom Thibodeau to insert him at the end of games, declining it seems
like a no-brainer.
飙风玫瑰下赛季有一千五百六十万美元的球团选择权。考量到除非麦迪逊广场花园的球迷
大声呼喊,足以说服Tom Thibodeau 在比赛结束时让他上场,否则就会很少出战的情况下
,拒绝执行似乎是不用多想就能下决定的事。
But that’s only on the surface. The Knicks could justify picking up Rose’s
lavish team option.
但这只是表面上可见的。尼克队可以就执行飙风玫瑰奢华的球团选择权站稳立场。
Leading into this past trade deadline, league sources told The Athletic that
the Knicks communicated to other teams they were considering picking up Rose's
team option if they felt his salary could help with a swap for a big-time
player. Remember, the Knicks have to match salaries in trades, and Rose’s
expiring deal along with Evan Fournier’s expiring $18.9 million is enough to
land the Knicks a big-time player — as long as they package those guys with
draft picks and young talent.
在过去的交易截止日,联盟的消息来源告诉《运动家》,尼克曾与其他球队沟通,如果他
们认为飙风玫瑰的薪资可以协助换来一个大牌球员,他们会考虑执行他的球队选择权。记
住,尼克必须在交易中配对薪资,而玫瑰即将到期的合约和Evan Fournier 即将到期的一
千八百九十万美元合约足以让尼斯得到一个大牌球员——只要他们把这些人与选秀权和年
轻人才加入交易包裹。
But the new rules give the Knicks another reason to keep Rose if they choose
to do it.
但是,如果尼克想要留下飙风玫瑰,新的规则将会给予该队另一个理由。
At least some of the league’s most-expensive teams (particularly the ones
who are concerned about exceeding the second apron in 2024-25, when all those
regulations mentioned up top become far more punishing) will try to dump
future salaries this upcoming summer. For those organizations, flipping
someone with two years remaining on his contract for someone with only one is
a victory.
至少联盟中一些支出高的球队(尤其是担心在2024-25 年将超出第二层硬上限的球队,届
时上面提到的规定会变得更严)会在即将到来的夏天尝试甩掉未来的薪资。对于这些球团
来说,把合约还剩两年的人换成只剩一年的人是一种胜利。
My prediction: expiring contracts will make a comeback. And Rose — who’s at
a nice, middling salary — could provide one.
个人推测:合约届效的球员将会回锅。而位于中产薪资的飙风玫瑰,将可提供一部分。
The Knicks could use his money to trade for someone who makes a similar
amount as him. They could pair him with Fournier to bring back someone who
earns more than $40 million.
尼克队可以用他去换取一个薪资和他差不多的人。该队可以把他和 Fournier 配对,换回
一个薪资超过四千万美元的球员。
It would be unconventional (and if the Knicks picked up Rose’s option, it
could signal that they felt good about their chances of dealing him for
someone worthwhile) but no one can guarantee the best way to operate in this
new environment, because no one has lived through it yet. This is the time to
be creative.
这将是非常规的(如果尼克执行飙风玫瑰的选择权,这可能预示着他们对于用他换取一个
有价值的球员的可能性感觉良好),但没有人可以保证在这个新环境下的最佳操作方式,
因为还没有人经历过。现在是发挥创造力的时候了。
短评:
休赛季期间,什么事都有可能发生,因此还是拭目以待吧!
作者: Hohenzollern   2023-06-11 22:21:00
球队薪资超过第二层奢侈线 真的好难作球队交易日后争冠球队只能在球队薪资125%+17.5M的区间操作

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