来源: The USA Today
网址: https://tinyurl.com/ybd933mu
Raptors encouraging 'poor' shooters to take threes rather than mid-range
暴龙鼓励投的烂的射手多投三分线,少投中距离
The Toronto Raptors have changed their shot distribution under new head coach
Nick Nurse and it’s led to an interesting offensive philosophy.
在新教练Nick Nurse上任之后,多伦多暴龙改变了他们的投球分布,展现出了一个非常有
趣的攻击哲学。
While most teams at all levels of competitive basketball have typically
encouraged their bad shooters to move closer to the basket, it’s entirely
possible that Toronto has a new method that suggests the exact opposite might
make more sense.
在篮球领域,大部分的队伍都是鼓励投的烂的球员要尽量离篮框近一些,不过暴龙完全颠
覆的新策略或许可能更合理一些。
Utah Jazz announcer David Locke presented his theory during a recent podcast
(via Locked On NBA):
爵士播报员David Locke最近在podcast说明了这个新策略的理论。
“I think they’re onto something in the moneyball realm that’s different
than the rest of the NBA. My quick thesis on this is that they are only
letting their good shooters take mid-range shots and their bad shooters take
threes, which is a complete flip from how it used to be.”
“我认为他们跟其他NBA队伍不一样的是他们开始注意Moneyball的部分。简单说,这理论
是他们让他们好的射手去投中距离的球,而让投的烂的射手去丢三分球,完全颠覆大家以
前的习惯。”
Locke said that when he asked Nurse about this, the Raptors coach seemed to
react as if the speculation was fairly accurate. A long distance shot taken
by a decent shooter has nearly the same value as a mid-range shot from a
skilled shooter when following this philosophy.
Locke说当他去问暴龙总教练Nurse有关这个观察时,Nurse的反应似乎就是反映出他的观察
是很准确的。依据这个理论,一个OK的射手去投远距离的价值几乎跟一个好的射手去投中
距离是差不多的。
That’s because it is worth more for someone shoot 34.0 percent from
three-point range than 50.0 percent from mid-range. That means someone can be
worse than the current league average on three’s (35.2 percent) and it is
still more valuable than the NBA’s most accurate team (48.1 percent) on
mid-range attempts.
那是因为当三分球命中率34趴的价值比中距离命中率50趴的价值要高的多。这也代表了,
一个球员若是三分球命中率低于联盟平均(35.2趴),他会比联盟中距离命中率最佳队伍
(48.1趴)可能还要更有价值。
We looked through the data and Locke’s speculation on Toronto is also what
the latest numbers reflect. Only Kawhi Leonard is taking significantly more
mid-range shots than three-pointers among high-volume contributors on
Toronto. Good shooters like Leonard likely have a green light to take good
looks from anywhere on the court.
这些观察结果可以在暴龙最近的数据上反映出来。在暴龙队上的主要得分手,只有Kawhi
Leonard投的中距离比三分球多。当然,像Leonard这样的好射手可以在场上任何地方都有
开火权。
As such, the Raptors are shooting just 34.0 percent from three-point range
through 17 games. This ranks in the Bottom 10 among all teams so far this
season. Some might view this as a cause for concern. But they have been the
most accurate (48.1 percent) on mid-range attempts because they have been
more careful about who takes these attempts.
也因此,在过去17场比赛,暴龙的三分命中率只有34趴,目前联盟排名倒数10名,有些人
可能会对此有点担心。但是他们的中距离命中率却是极高(48.1趴),因为他们对于谁可以
投中距离非常小心。
Toronto is averaging a league-best 1.009 points per possession on mid-range
jumpers, per Synergy Sports. But they’re averaging 1.005 PPP on three-point
attempts, and while that ranks No. 20 in the league, it’s still the same
value as their mid-range looks.
根据Synergey Sports,平均每次球权,在中距离出手可以得到1.009分,是联盟最佳,但
是他们在平均每次球权,三分球出手得分是1.005,排名联盟第20,而那分数跟他们的中距
离分数是差不多的。
Non-dominant shooters on the Raptors such as Pascal Siakam or OG Anunoby are
presumably encouraged to move beyond the arc if they are taking a jump shot
even though they aren’t particularly effective.
暴龙的非主要射手,像是Pascal Siakam或是OG Anunoby都被鼓励,若是要跳投,即使他们
命中率不高,也要多投三分球。