Best, worst offseason deals thus far
http://es.pn/1jQRpr8
Free-agency is only three days old, but plenty of deals are already in the
works. Which are the best and worst so far? Our panel sorts through the
summer signings.
今年暑假的自由市场开放还不到一周，但已经有不少签约已经对联盟生态造成影响，这
也让ESPN网站招集了五位球评来对这些签约的好坏做评比
本期参与球评：
．Amin Elhassan, ESPN Insider
．Andrew Han, TrueHoop
．Kevin Pelton, ESPN Insider
．Ethan Sherwood Strauss, TrueHoop
．Royce Young, ESPN.com
说明：Royce Young本身其实是雷霆部落格Daily Thunder的负责人，但今年季后赛开始，
他也会帮ESPN网站撰写其他球队的文章
1. What's been the best deal given out this offseason thus far?
目前为止最好的签约
投票结果：
．三人投票给Dirk Nowitzki降薪续约小牛（Elhassan、Han与Young）
．1人投给Kyle Lowry五千万以下续约暴龙（Pelton）
．1人投给老鹰挖角 Thabo Sefolosha（Strauss）
原因：
Amin Elhassan, ESPN Insider:
They basically stole a page out of the Spurs' playbook with Tim Duncan, and
it'll allow Dallas to be a major player in free agency and the trade market.
小牛或许是从马刺那里偷来战略手册中，对待Tim Duncan方式的那一页来说服Dirk降薪
续约，这举动可以让小牛在自由与交易市场上继续担任大重要买家的角色。
Andrew Han, TrueHoop:
the Mavs re-signing Dirk Nowitzki to the "Tim Duncan value plan" is about as
good as it gets. Nowitzki was likely the best offensive big man in the league
last season and accepted a salary commensurate of a third man to a contender
in an effort to help Dallas compete.
小牛这次与Dirk的签约，不仅让人想到马刺与Duncan的相处模式，也是对彼此有利的双赢
局面。德佬在上季证明他依然是联盟最会进攻的长人，但他却愿意以一哥的身手拿球队
第三人的薪水，这正是他以身作则帮助小牛增加竞争力。
Apologies to Toronto Raptors GM Masai Ujiri, Kyle Lowry and #WeTheNorth
不过Andrew Han也有提到暴龙与Kyle Lowry续约的事情，这应该也是他评比今年暑假第二
好的签约。
Royce Young, ESPN.com:
It's not so much the money or years, it's just the overall commitment from
both sides. The Mavs will be paying Dirk until he's 39, but he also made a
clear decision to make sure he took a considerable pay cut in order to
preserve as much remaining cap space for the team to work as possible.
Dirk降薪续留获选今年最佳签约，最主要的原因并不是金额与合约期限，而是球队/球员
两方的永恒承诺。Dirk至少在39岁时还是可以从小牛那里得到薪水，但他也借由这次的
续约，表明他之所以愿意降薪，就是为了让球队能就由变宽的薪资空间，追到其他的潜
在好队友。
Kevin Pelton, ESPN Insider:
Lowry is a top-10 point guard in his prime who will make the same amount for
the next four seasons as Kobe Bryant will for the next two.
Lowry不仅是联盟前十优PG，也正处在球员的巅峰期。更棒的是他的年薪只有Kobe的一半
，但暴龙拥有他的时间比湖人拥有Kobe久。
Honorable mention to Patty Mills, but at least there's some risk there with
Mills' shoulder surgery.
马刺续签Patty Mills的价格也不错，只可惜他肩膀手术造成的风险多少扣了一些分数
Ethan Sherwood Strauss, TrueHoop:
With the cap rising, $4 million per season is good value for a defensive ace.
If Sefolosha returns to form, the Hawks have a scary perimeter defense with
him and DeMarre Carroll.
随着球队薪资上限调升，开给顶尖防守者4百万美金的年薪已经被认为是公道价。假如
沙发哥能够甩开上一季的低潮，他将与长发前锋DeMarre Carroll组成全联盟最让外线
射手提心吊胆的防守组合。
2. What's been the worst deal given out this offseason thus far?
目前为止最糟的签约
投票结果：
．两人投给Jodie Meeks跳槽活塞（Elhassan与Young）
．两人投给国王挖角Darren Collison（Pelton与Strauss）
．Han投给赛尔提克以偏高年薪（8百万美金）续签Avery Bradley四年，也是此题唯一获
选的续约
原因：
Elhassan:
So many to choose from! I have to go with Jodie Meeks' three-year, $19
million deal. Why did Detroit pay so high a price out of the gate? Did they
even explore other options? Meeks isn't even the best catch-and-shoot
prospect on the market.
其实第一周就有不少让人匪夷所思的签约了，但活塞要连三年付给Meeks六百万美金恐怕
是最瞎的。因为Meeks根本不是市场上最稳定的外线射手，而且这也让人质疑：活塞有在
认真寻找同位置的其他人选吗？
Young:
Jodie Meeks. He had a nice season with the Lakers, and as a specialist he has
value. But he'll be making more than $6 million per year the next three
seasons. A few players (non-rookie scale) that make around that: J.J. Redick,
Jamal Crawford, Kevin Martin and Wesley Matthews. And now Meeks. One of these
is not like the others.
Meeks上季在湖人固然打出身价，也有比其他人专精的特殊技能。当他跳槽活塞后，他的
年薪将暴增到与J.J. Redick、Jamal Crawford、Kevin Martin和Wesley Matthews领同
样的薪水－但Jodie的实力跟上述几人相比并不在同一等级。
Pelton:
There are worse deals on their own, but in the context of building a team,
the Kings signing Collison will have the biggest ramifications because it
surely means letting restricted free agent Isaiah Thomas walk. Not only does
Collison not upgrade Thomas' weaknesses, he's not as good at Thomas'
strengths.
国王这几年的烂交易可说是罄竹难书，但以建立球队文化的角度而言，还是以这次签下
Collison的举动冲击最大，因为这显示“伪笑汤” Isaiah Thomas即使有优先续约权（
他是有限制自由球员）也注定要离开国王了。Collison不仅无法改善伪笑汤原先的缺点
，也无法补足小汤的优点。
Strauss:
I don't like Sacramento's signing of Collison, an average offensive player
who happens to be terrible on defense. Every year, the Kings try to replace
Isaiah Thomas, who's been a revelation as a second-
rounder. I think they're selling him short.
Collison虽然进攻上符合联盟的控卫标准，但他的防守能力实在糟糕。不过国王至少终于
找到人，取代选秀顺位更低后卫I.Thomas，伪笑汤应该不久就会用先签后换的方式换东家
了。
Han:
Bradley showed hints of becoming a reliable 3 and D guard this past season,
but his 3-point percentage has been erratic over his past three seasons
(40.7, 31.7, 39.5 percent on an average of 2.2 attempts per game). And he's
never played a full season. Also, who were the Celtics bidding against?
Bradley今年证明他有外线也有防守，但当对照他近三年的三分命中率，可以看出其实还
不够稳定。更糟的是，小小AB从来没有一季出赛超过70场。此外，这段期间似乎也没有
其他球队想挖他的传闻。
3. What's been the biggest surprise of this offseason thus far?
目前为止最震撼或意外的事件
投票结果：
．Jason Kidd换队执教获得2票（Han、Young）
．Ben Gordon加盟魔术也获得2票（Pelton、Strauss）
．Elhassan选的是国王挖角Collison
原因：
Han:
Undoubtedly the bungled power play by Jason Kidd in Brooklyn… All it needs
is a promo on Netflix.
当然是Jason Kidd那拙劣的自导自演权力游戏。他教练生涯第一年所发生的戏剧化事件，
大概足以让网络影视网站Netfilix（代表作有纸牌屋）开拍新的连续剧了。
Young:
Kidd tried to force his hand to the top, only to be put in his place, then
forcing his way to a new situation and therefore leaving collateral damage
thrown all over (Larry Drew). A stunning development that nobody could've
seen coming.
Kidd想威胁篮网争取更大权力，后来又强迫母队把他调到另一个新环境，并导致对其他人
造成间接伤害（公鹿原教练Larry Drew中枪下台）。这样让人吃惊的情节，相信即使是好
莱坞编剧也无法预测到会真的发生。
Pelton:
Gordon was released too late to be eligible for a playoff roster, but nobody
even bothered picking him up when Charlotte waived him in March. For him to
get nearly mid-level money, even if not fully guaranteed and entirely
non-guaranteed beyond this season, was shocking.
B.Gordon在三月被山猫（新黄蜂）释出时，根本没有争冠强队愿意给他短约（虽然这也跟
Gordon在当时超过时限，失去季后赛登录资格有关）。但BG到了暑假还能获得类似中产条
款的合约，即使这合约并非全额保障，甚至只有第一季保障，还是让人感到吃惊。
Strauss:
He could theoretically make sense as a piece on a stable, veteran team. But
on a rebuilding squad? Why bother?
理论上Gordon应该要选一个实力稳定且主力有一定球龄的争冠队，但他却愿意来到一个还
须锻炼的重建队？
Elhassan:
Sacramento pre-empting losing Isaiah Thomas by signing Darren Collison to a
four-year, $16 million deal. Like Detroit, I'm not entirely sure who they
weretrying to outbid, but it seemed extremely premature to offer Collison
that much money (not to mention, apparently, the starting job).
国王签下Collison的举动，虽然多少是为了“伪笑汤”Isaiah Thomas的离去打保险，但
很难确定开出比想像中还要高的价码给小柯，是为了想要在标价上打败哪只球队。这举
动不但显示出国王高层的急躁与不会看时机，更不用说接下来会让教练感到烦恼的“谁
来当先发PG”的难题了。
4. What possible free agent-team pairing you've heard is most intriguing?
最期待成真的自由球员谣言/提案
投票结果：
．三人投票给Pau Gasol加盟雷霆（Elhassan、Pelton、Young）
．Han选择Chris Bosh返乡跳槽火箭
．Strauss选择Isaiah Thomas跳槽赛尔提克
原因：
Elhassan:
Pau to OKC! He's just what the doctor ordered, as a high IQ passing big man
that the Thunder can run their offense through to solve their stagnant
isolation problems. Meanwhile, Serge Ibaka is the perfect, mobile defensive
complement to help "hide" Pau's weaknesses.
Pau对雷霆而言可说是医生对于球队缺点的处方签，他拥有长人少见的高传球智商，可以
解决球队单调的单打弊端。而Ibaka优秀的移动防守力，也可以隐藏Pau防守能力不足的
地方。
Pelton:
If Oklahoma City signs Gasol, and if it means replacing Kendrick Perkins in
the starting lineup, I'm definitely intrigued by what that might mean for the
Thunder.
假如雷霆能说服Gasol加盟，那就表示他可以把Kendrick Perkins挤出先发名单，至于好
处？不解释！
Young:
It's not just that Gasol's unique offensive skills would fit so beautifully
next to Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. It's not just that Gasol's
passing ability would remedy a lot of what often ails the Thunder in the
halfcourt. It's not just that Gasol alongside Serge Ibaka would not just
cover a lot of deficiencies, but produce some kind of an offense-defense
tandem. It's not just that OKC would have some unbelievably interesting
lineup options. It's all those things.
1.Gasol独特的进攻技巧，与雷霆一二哥搭配的效果值得期待
2.Gasol的传球能力，可以降低雷霆打半场时犯错的机率
3.Pau与Ibaka同时上场可以互补彼此的缺点，并且建立攻守的串连
4.雷霆签到Pau后，可以让球队轮值更活化与更有趣
Han:
Bosh's arrival in H-town would not only vault the Rockets into the upper
echelon of West contenders, but it would also cause a domino effect in Miami.
Does LeBron go back to South Beach with only Wade? Do they try and attract
Melo or Pau Gasol? Bosh seems like the key support to the Miami 3; pull him
out and the whole league could be impacted.
Bosh西进火箭不仅让火箭在西区更有竞争力，也会对热火造成难以想像的骨牌效应。
LeBron会在球队只剩Wade的情况下留在南滩吗？热火会尝试挖角甜瓜与Pau这样的明星
赛常客吗？Bosh即使在热火三巨头的地位只是三哥，但仍是重要的角色，把他抽离将
会彻底影响联盟的东西两端的生态。
Strauss:
I'd love to see the aforementioned Isaiah Thomas paired with Marcus Smart in
Boston. I'm not sure what that'd mean for Rondo, but the Thomas-Smart
backcourt would complement each other on defense while generating a lot of
League Pass excitement.
不确定伪笑汤到青赛，对现任一哥Rondo造成的影响，但伪笑汤与新秀Marcus Smart的
后场组合，应该可以产生出不少次值得让体育新闻重播不少次的精采好球。
5. What's one bold prediction about the rest of free agency?
最大胆的未来事件预测
投票结果：
有两个预测跟LeBron James有关，但严格来说这一题其实并没有共通的答案，因为即使
跟LBJ相关也牵涉到不同细节
Elhassan:
Lance Stephenson will regret turning down the reported $44 million, five-year
deal that the Pacers offered him.
预测1：Lance Stephenson可能会在几天后后悔拒绝过溜马总额超过4千万的续约方案
It wouldn't surprise me if he made the circuit, realized no one's trying to
pay him, and came back to Indiana only to find out that offer has been
withdrawn, leading him to sign for less.
预测1的原因：小史大概会在几天后，终于发现除了溜马外，没有其他队想挖角他的残酷
事实。更讽刺的是他就算回锅溜马，领到的钱恐怕还要变少
Han:
LeBron James signs a short-term deal, maybe a two-year max deal with a player
option for the second year.
预测2：LBJ这次签短期合约，其中第二年可能会增加球员跳出选择权
James will turn 30 next season, and it's possible that once he completes
another long-term contract he will no longer be the NBA's best player. So for
King James, it could be in his best interest to leverage as much influence as
he can while he still wears the crown.
预测2的原因：LBJ不久就要30岁了，假如他签的是长约，有可能跑完合约后他就不再是
联盟第一人了。所以LBJ趁还在颠峰时继续在市场上造成影响，对他来说是最有利的。
Pelton:
The Utah Jazz will successfully scare teams off from making a max offer to
Gordon Hayward, leaving Hayward to negotiate a slightly smaller deal with the
Jazz rather than an offer sheet.
预测3：爵士会成功吓跑想要对白人前锋Gordon Hayward的球队，以低于市场预期的价格
与他续约
Strauss:
LeBron doesn't sign for the max.
预测4：LBJ不需要顶级约就能续留热火
It seems like being the highest paid player on his team is the main sticking
point. So long as he's that, I predict he'll cede a little cap space to Pat
Riley.
预测4的原因：“成为队上最高薪球员”这件事，固然是LBJ与热火续约陷入僵局的症结，
但经过一段时间后，他应该还是会放弃部分薪资空间，并将它还给总管Pat Riley。
Young:
The Suns come away with a marquee free agent. Probably not LeBron, probably
not Melo.
预测5：太阳可以从其他球队挖到球星－即使不是LBJ与甜瓜。
Chris Bosh could be intrigued if the Big 3 can't sort things out in Miami. Or
maybe Greg Monroe. Or Chandler Parsons. Or Luol Deng. With such an intriguing
young roster and loads of cap space, the Suns seem like an offseason
destination for somebody.
预测5的原因：
1.假如热火无法即时解决三巨头薪资重分配的争议，趁乱挖角Bosh不是空想
2.Monroe、Parsons与Deng知名度比较低，但上季都有稳健的数据
3.太阳本身就拥有不少杰出的年轻球员，外加宽裕的薪资空间，有机会让其它队的球员看
到希望