原文网址:
http://hangtime.blogs.nba.com/2014/02/19/what-the-contenders-could-use/
Oklahoma City (43-12)
OffRtg: 107.6 (6), DefRtg: 99.3 (3), NetRtg: +8.3 (2)
The Thunder are the most complete team in the league, the only one that ranks
in the top six in both offensive and defensive efficiency. And their bench
has been terrific, even with Russell Westbrook‘s knee surgery forcing Reggie
Jackson into the starting lineup over the last seven weeks.
The only lineup numbers that look bad are those of their original starting
group, which has been outscored by 5.7 points per 100 possessions and which
will be back together when Westbrook returns on Thursday. In 280 minutes, the
lineup has scored just 97.5 points per 100 possessions, a rate which would
rank 29th in the league.
In general, the Thunder have been much better playing small. In fact, they’
re a plus-203 in 1,954 minutes with two bigs on the floor and a plus-204 in
694 minutes with less than two. Some added depth on the wings could make them
even more potent.
雷霆是联盟中最接近完美的球队，唯一在进攻和防守效率都排进前六名的队伍。同时他们
的替补也非常出色，即使在Russell Westbrook动了膝盖手术以后的近七周，Reggie
Jackson被抽离了第六人的位置进入先发名单。
这支球队唯一的隐忧就是他们原本的先发五人只有负5.7分的NetRtg，而Westbrook的回归
将会重现这个阵容。这组先发人马上场的280分钟中，97.5分的OffRtg只能在联盟中排到
第29名。
一般来说雷霆打小球时比较有竞争力，事实上当同时有两名长人在场上的1954分钟里，他
们只比对手多拿了203分，但在场上少于两名长人的694分钟里就净赢了204分。增加侧翼
的深度将会使这支球队更强势。
Indiana (41-12)
OffRtg: 102.4 (18), DefRtg: 93.8 (1), NetRtg: +8.6 (1)
The Pacers are, statistically, the best defensive team since the league
started counting turnovers in 1977. And that may be enough to win a
championship.
But they’re a below-average offensive team and only seven of those have made
The Finals in the last 30 years. The Pacers turn the ball over too much, don’
t get to the rim enough, and aren’t a great 3-point shooting team.
George Hill is a key cog in that No. 1 defense and the starting lineup scores
at a top-10 rate, but Indy could certainly use a more potent point guard, or
at least a third guard that can create off the dribble. Their bench is better
than it was last season, but it still struggles to score.
Danny Granger has a large expiring contract, but acquiring a player on a deal
that goes beyond this season could compromise the Pacers’ ability to re-sign
Lance Stephenson this summer.
数据显示溜马是自1977年纪录失误以来的最佳防守球队，这可能足以让他们赢得总冠军。
但是他们的进攻效率低于联盟平均，过去30年来只有7支进攻效率低于联盟平均的球队拿
到最后的胜利。溜马的问题在于过多的失误、突破能力不足、以及缺乏三分投射。
George Hill是这支防守顶级强队中的一块拼图，他们的先发阵容在得分上也能排进前十
名，不过印地安那势必得找到更强势的控球后卫，或者至少使用第三个后卫去运球突破攻
击篮框。虽然他们的替补已经比上一季进步了，却还是依旧贫攻。
尽管Danny Granger的大合约即将到期，不过在本季多补人将会影响到溜马今年夏天留下
Lance Stephenson的空间。
Miami (38-14)
OffRtg: 109.8 (1), DefRtg: 103.4 (16), NetRtg: +6.4 (5)
Is the Heat’s defensive drop-off a serious problem of just a case of them
being in cruise control most of the season? Their ability to flip the switch
on that end of the floor will depend on Dwyane Wade‘s health and Shane
Battier‘s ability to play more minutes than he has been of late. As much as
rebounding is an issue, so is defending the perimeter. And if there was a way
they could add another shooter/defender on the wing, it would help.
Rebounding is an issue. The Heat have rebounded better (on both ends) with
Greg Oden on the floor, but he’s played just 78 minutes all season and
compromises their offense to some degree. So he’s probably not going to
neutralize Roy Hibbert in a matchup with the Pacers.
到底热火在防守上的退步是个严重的麻烦? 或者这只不过是因为他们在大部份的球季中都
在放空? 他们想重新提升防守能力端视Dwyane Wade的健康，以及Shane Battier能否上场
更久的时间。篮板是他们最大的问题，中距离的防守也是关键，如果能够在侧翼补强射手
和大锁将会很有帮助。
再次强调篮板是个问题，虽然当Greg Oden在场上时热火的篮板能力会上升，但他整个球
季只打了78分钟，同时还会伤害球队的进攻，因此别期待他能在与溜马的对阵中抵消Roy
Hibbert的破坏力。
San Antonio (39-15)
OffRtg: 107.5 (7), DefRtg: 100.4 (5), NetRtg: +7.1 (3)
The numbers look good on the surface. Only the Thunder rank higher than the
Spurs in both offensive and defensive efficiency. But their defense has
failed them, allowing 111.5 points per 100 possessions, as they’ve gone 2-8
in games against the other teams over .600 (every team on this list, except
Golden State). Last season, they allowed just 101.8 in 22 games against other
teams over .600.
Injuries have played a role in their defensive decline and if the Spurs are
healthy, they’re still a great team. But there’s no getting around that,
going back to Game 3 of the 2012 conference finals, they’ve lost nine of
their last 11 games against Oklahoma City and could certainly use more
athleticism up front with that matchup in mind.
表面上看起来数据很棒，只有雷霆同时在进攻和防守效率赢过马刺，实际上他们的防守不
太行。当对阵其他胜率超过6成的球队时，他们的DefRtg掉到111.5分，并且只有2-8的战
绩。上个球季他们对上胜率6成球队的22场比赛中，DefRtg是101.8分。
伤兵问题是他们防守退化的关键，如果全员健康的话，马刺仍然是支强队。然而自2012年
西区决赛第三战以来，他们对上奥克拉荷马的11战输了9场，因此寻找更有运动能力的前
场球员来加强防守势在必行。
Houston (36-17)
OffRtg: 107.7 (5), DefRtg: 102.1 (9), NetRtg: +5.6 (6)
If there’s a fifth contender, it’s the Rockets or the Clippers, two more
West teams that rank in the top 10 on both ends of the floor. Houston is
actually the only team that ranks in the top five in both effective field
goal percentage and opponent effective field goal percentage.
Their defense hasn’t been very consistent though, and it’s allowed 106.1
points per 100 possessions in 22 games against the other eight West teams
over .500. And that’s why they might want to hold onto Omer Asik. One of
their biggest problems defensively is rebounding, especially when Dwight
Howard steps off the floor. Only the Lakers (15.8) have allowed more
second-chance points per game than Houston (15.1).
如果想找第五支有机会争夺冠军的队伍，那不是火箭就是快艇，他们是另外两支不论攻守
都排名前十的西区球队，实际上火箭是唯一能够在eFG%和Opp eFG%都进入前五名的球队。
然而他们的防守并不稳定，当对上西区其他8支胜率超过5成的球队时，DefRtg便来到了
106.1分，这可能正是他们想保有Omer Asik的原因。其中一个在防守上的最大问题便是篮
板，特别是当Dwight Howard下场休息时。放眼全联盟，只有湖人被对手第二波进攻的失
分(15.8分)比火箭还多(15.1分)。
Portland (36-17)
OffRtg: 108.7 (2), DefRtg: 105.7 (23), NetRtg: +3.1 (10)
Diagnosing the Blazers’ issues is pretty easy. You’re simply not a
contender if you rank in the bottom 10 defensively. The worst defensive team
to make The Finals in the last 30 years was the 2000-01 Lakers, who ranked
19th and who, as defending champs, knew how to flip the switch. They ranked
No. 1 in defensive efficiency in the postseason.
Not only are the Blazers bad defensively, but the their bench is (still)
relatively weak. Lineups other than their starting group have outscored their
opponents by just 0.2 points per 100 possessions, the worst mark among the
teams on this list (even Golden State). So they’re going to be tested with
LaMarcus Aldridge out with a groin strain. They’ve been outscored by 8.3
points per 100 possessions with Aldridge off the floor.
要点出拓荒者的缺点非常简单，因为当你的防守只有倒数十名的话，是不可能成为冠军竞
争者的。过去30年来季赛防守最差的冠军队是2000-01的湖人，那年他们尽尽排在第19名
，但身为卫冕队伍，他们懂得在季后赛找回专注力，成为当年季后赛防守效率第一的强队
。
在防守的弱点以外，他们的替补相对来说也不够力，除了先发阵容的其他组合只有0.2分
的NetRtg，这可是这8支冠军口袋名单中最差的(包括金州勇士)，所以LaMarcus Aldridge
腹股沟拉伤休息的这段期间对他们将是很好的考验，目前为止他们缴出了NetRtg 8.3分的
成绩。
L.A. Clippers (37-19)
OffRtg: 108.7 (3), DefRtg: 102.2 (10), NetRtg: +6.5 (10)
The Clippers are very similar to the Rockets. They rank in top 10
defensively, but have struggled on that end of the floor against good teams.
Furthermore, though Howard and DeAndre Jordan rank in the top four in
rebounds per game, their teams rank in the bottom 10 in defensive rebounding
percentage.
Blake Griffin and Jordan rank 2nd and 3rd in total minutes played, and the
Clippers basically have no other bigs that Doc Rivers can trust for extended
stretches in the postseason. Though the Clippers’ injuries have been in the
backcourt, they’re more in need of depth up front.
快艇和火箭非常相似，尽管有Top 10的防守数据，对上真正的强队时却无法发挥。此外，
虽然DeAndre Jordan和Howard一样在篮板排行榜上高居前四，但快艇及火箭的团队DREB%
都排在后段班。
Blake Griffin和Jordan是队中上场时间第2和第3多的球员，基本上快艇没有其他可信任
的长人供Doc Rivers在季后赛使用，尽管快艇的伤病问题一直在后场，他们真正需要提升
的是前场深度。
Golden State (31-22)
OffRtg: 104.2 (12), DefRtg: 99.5 (4), NetRtg: +4.7 (7)
The Warriors and not the Suns (31-21) are the last team on this list because
they have a much better defense and a higher ceiling. They also have a much
easier schedule, which could allow them to get into the 3-5 range in the
West, going forward.
Golden State’s issues are pretty simple. Their starting lineup has been
terrific on both ends of the floor, but their bench … not so much. Things
have been a little better with Jordan Crawford in the mix; They’ve scored
104.5 points per 100 possessions with Stephen Curry off the floor since the
Crawford trade, compared to the putrid 86.7 they were scoring without Curry
before the deal. But one of their most important defensive players – Andrew
Bogut – is banged up and their D falls apart when Andre Iguodala steps off
the floor.
勇士击败了太阳进入这份名单，靠得是比较出色的防守和较高的天花板，同时他们下半季
的赛程比较轻松，或许能够挤进西区第3到第5名，甚至更好。
金州勇士的问题也相当明显，他们的先发球员无论攻守都非常优秀，但是他们的替补就‥
‥不太行了。这个问题在Jordan Crawford加入轮替后有稍微舒缓，现在Stephen Curry不
在场时的OffRtg已经进步到104.5分了，相较于Crawford交易过来之前难堪的86.7分好太
多了。不过他们其中一位最重要的防守球员“Andrew Bogut”又受伤了，而他们的防守在
Andre Iguodala下场时将不堪一击。