Small Sample Size Theater Part 2
鹈鹕队的小样本剧场（第二集）
（底下连结有网志版）
The Pelicans are 3-0 since Ryan Anderson returned, though you can temper that
by pointing out the fact that they have played all three teams at home and
the combined record of said teams is 11-30. However, we have to remember that
we did lose to poor teams before Ryan Anderson returned, so there has
definitely been an improvement. It is just the extent of the improvement that
we do not know yet.
自从Ryan Anderson归队后，鹈鹕队获得3连胜的好成绩。虽然你可以藉著指出这
三场比赛都在主场而且三个对手加起来的战绩是11胜30败的事实，以舒缓三连胜
的喜悦。不过，我们必须记住在Ryan Anderson归队前，我们的确输给几个较差的
球队，所以球队肯定有所进步。只是我们还不清楚进步的程度而已。
For now, let us bask in the glory of a team averaging 114.7 points per game
since Ryan Anderson’s return as we look at our second installment of Small
Sample Size Theater.
现在，在我们瞧瞧小样本剧场的第二集的同时，让我们享受Ryan Anderson归队后
令人骄傲的场均114.7分吧！（以下三个小标题是我自行加上的）
- The Finishing Five (though I also like a readers suggestion for the ‘
Ballot Five’) has been unreal in their limited time together on the court.
Simple stats: 22 minutes on the floor, 68 points scored, 41 points allowed.
They outscore their opponents by over a point per minute. Seriously, think
about that. The score of a 48 minute game would be 148-89.
（1）关键五人组的效率：
比赛终结五人组（我也喜欢读者建议的“全明星候选人五人组”（译按：这五人
组指的是Davis-Anderson-Evans-Gordon-Holiday））在有限的合作时间内，有着
电动般的数据。一些简单的数据：22分钟内，得68分、失41分。他们平均每一分
钟比对手多得超过一分。认真的想一想这个数据。假设换成48分钟的话，总分数
会变成148比89。
Now, to dig a little deeper. Some might think that with Anderson on the
court, and above average three-point shooters in Holiday and Gordon, that
this unit would be letting it fly from deep, but only 17% of their attempts
have come from behind the arc. That would rank them dead last in the NBA
amongst all teams, though they would be first in percentage made, because
they hit 75% of them! Where that unit is getting its shots is at the rim. 29
of their 47 shots (61.7%) are coming at the rim or in the paint. Only 8 of
their 47 shots have come in the “dumb zone”.
现在，再更深入探讨。有些人会认为当Anderson在场上，配上Holiday和Gordon这
两位平均程度以上的三分射手时，这个组合会下三分雨。但事实上只有17%的出手
是来自三分线外。这个比率在所有NBA球队中是最后一名，不过他们会是命中率最
高的组合，因为他们三分球命中率高达75%！而这个球队获得的出手机会大多都在
篮框附近。47次出手中的29次（61.7%）来自于篮下或油漆区出手。只有8次出手
来自“蠢区域”（译按：指的是效率最低的中距离）。
And this unit could get even better offensively by getting to the line and
converting. Despite all their shots in the paint, they have only got to the
line for 11 attempts and have missed five of them. Defensively, that unit is
turning teams over (19 TO’s per 48) and rebounding misses (Dreb rate of
82.3%). Opponents take a high rate of shots from behind the arc – over 44% –
but make very few of them (26.7%). They also get a good percentage of their
shots in the paint -38.2% – but aren’t shooting from well there, partly due
to Anthony Davis’s block rate of nearly 10%.
而且这个组合可以借由上罚球线得分，让团队进攻变的更好。尽管他们在油漆区
大量出手，他们只有11罚机会而且投失5罚。防守方面，这个组合能使对手失误（
每48分钟造成19次失误），和能保护防守篮板（防守篮板率82.3%）。对手的三分
出手比率高达44%以上，但是命中率很低（26.7%）。对手的油漆区出手比率38.2
也不差，但命中率也不佳，部分归因于Anthony Davis将近10%的火锅率。
Long story short, this team gets to the rim and converts, only takes three’s
when it is a wide open look, crashes the glass on both ends, and has perhaps
the best defensive player in the league turning high percentage shots into
low percentage shots for the opposition. Sounds like a recipe for success;
148-89 type success.
简言之，这支球队能打进篮下并成功得分、只在大空档机会才投三分、攻守两端
都拼命争抢篮板，而且潜在的联盟最佳的防守球员让对手无法把握高命中率的出
手机会。听起来像是148比89这种类型的成功组合。
- One of the biggest questions coming into the season was whether Ryan
Anderson and Anthony Davis could play together. Last year, their units were
very good offensively, but they were miserable on the defensive end. So, can
they play together? The very small sample size says yes.
（2）Anthony Davis + Ryan Anderson的禁区组合：
这季的最大难题就是Ryan Anderson和Anthony Davis能否在场上配合。上季，这
个组合的进攻很优异，但防守端是场悲剧。所以他们能同时在场上吗？这个超小
样本的答案是没问题。
In three games, they have logged 53 minutes together and the Pelicans have
outscored the competition 141-104 in that stretch. Again, we see a very high
percentage of shots taken and shots made around the rim, with surprisingly
poor shooting from behind the arc. From straight away, the Pelicans are 4-5
on three-point attempts (all four makes by Anderson), but are just 3-11 from
every other spot behind the arc. But we know any unit with Davis and Anderson
on it can score, it is on the defensive end that they will be judged.
在这三场比赛中，他们俩同时在场上打了53分钟，而这段时间内鹈鹕队以141比104
的差距压着对手打。我们再一次看到篮框附近的高出手比率和高命中率，配上令
人意外的低三分命中率。在弧顶位置的三分，鹈鹕队5投4中（这四球都是Anderson
投进的），但其它位置的三分只有11投3中。但我们都知道Davis和Anderson的双
人搭配没有得分问题，是防守端才需要被检视。
First things first, the AD/Ryno units control the board, grabbing 88.4% of
all possible defensive rebounds. And with Davis playing center in those
lineups, the block rate skyrockets to 13.9%. Fearing Davis’s presence in the
paint, teams settle for bad three’s more often and make just 23% from behind
the arc. So, can these two play together? Yes. And why? Well, Monty’s
defensive scheme hasn’t changed much, nor has the defensive effort of Ryan
Anderson. You can argue that the perimeter defenders have had some effect,
and that is true, but more than anything it is the evolution of Anthony
Davis. SkyNet has become self-aware!
首先，AD/Ryno组合掌控了篮板，抓下88.4%的防守篮板。而且当Davis在这些阵
容中扛中锋时，火锅率攀升至13.9%。由于害怕Davis在油漆区开的火锅店，对手
更常选择投机会不好的三分而且命中率只有23%。所以，这两个人能同时在场上
吗？答案是肯定的。为什么呢？这个嘛～Monty的防守策略没有什么改变，而Ryan
Anderson的防守积极度也无不同。你可以主张是因为外围防守者的努力，而这个
论点是正确的，但更重要的原因是Anthony Davis的成长。就像天网进化出自我
意识了（译按：来自电影－魔鬼终结者）！
- With the Pelicans moving more and more to a three-big rotation and Austin
Rivers seemingly taking the backup PG spot from Brian Roberts, the
Rivers-Evans-Morrow-Anderson-Smith unit is essentially our second unit. This
unit has played just a handful of minutes together, but the early returns are
encouraging. They take more than half their shots from behind the three-point
line and draw fouls at a ridiculously high rate (1 FTA for every 2FGA’s).
（3）替补的最佳组合：
由于Pelicans的长人轮替越来越趋向只用三个大个，而且Austin Rivers似乎取
代Brian Roberts的替补控卫位置，Rivers-Evans-Morrow-Anderson-Smith五人
阵容现在是鹈鹕的主要二军。这个组合只出现几分钟，但目前为止效果很不错。
他们三分出手超过一半，同时制造犯规的比率高的离谱（每两次出手就获得一次
罚球机会）。
What might really make fans giddy is this unit has never attempted a
mid-range shot. Not a single one. Every attempt has been in the paint or
behind the arc. Defensively, they are nothing to write home about. They
defend the arc, and do everything else at about an average rate, but because
their offense has been so good, they have outscored their opponents by a
nearly two-to-one margin and should be able to hold leads, if not extend them
as the season goes on.
会让球迷们感到惊讶的是这个组合目前还没出手过一次中距离。一次都没有喔！
所有出手都是在油漆区内或三分线外。防守方面，这个阵容并没有什么吸引人的
表现。他们无论防守三分还是其他防守面的事都只有平均水平，但因这个阵容的
进攻表现极优，他们以2比1的得分差距压制对手。同时，接下来的赛季即使他们
无法扩大领先差距，这个组合应该能保持领先优势。
原文网址－
http://tinyurl.com/ld6kuec
心得：
有兴趣看第一集的的话，网址如下
http://www.bourbonstreetshots.com/2013/11/17/small-sample-size-theater/
因为这集谈比较多Ryan Anderson回归后对鹈鹕的正面影响
而且我个人认为他队鹈鹕相当重要
所以只分享这篇
由于只是小样本，而且这三场对手分别是爵士、七六人、骑士
所以数据肯定还会有很大的变动
但可以看的出来鹈鹕磨合的不错，而且慢慢步上正轨
接下来鹈鹕的赛程会越来越硬
对这些年轻球员来说，保持稳定并不简单
不过只要维持健康，我想这支球队值得大家多多关注
（PS. 对其他球队的分析文有兴趣都可以提出来）