Shooting Blanks: The Players With the Worst ShotScore
空包弹高手：以ShotScore分析之最差得分手
Yesterday we looked at ShotScore, a new method to identify the NBA’s
best scorers. You can read the full piece here, but in a nutshell, the
method compares the actual point yield of an individual NBA shooter
against an estimated tally of what an average NBA shooter would accrue
from that exact same set of shots. This is a useful way to evaluate
shooting because unlike field goal percentage, it accounts for where on
the floor the shooter is most active and factors that in to the analysis.
Midrange shooters are compared against the NBA’s average midrange
production, etc.
昨天我们研究了ShotScore（分数剩余），一个分析NBA最佳得分手的新方法。想
了解的话，你可以阅读“#1IM20-Y7”全文。简言之，这个方法比较每位NBA得分
手实际得分和平均NBA球员在同样的出手状况下的得分。这是个实用的投篮衡量方
法，因为其和命中率不同的是它描绘出每位球员在最习惯的投篮区域和这种趋向
的原因。中距离射手比较对象便是NBA平均的中距离分数产出，以此类推。
Players like Stephen Curry, LeBron James, Kevin Durant, Jose Calderon,
and Kyle Korver immediately rose to the top; these players consistently
outperform league averages from their most active shooting zones. But,
it’s also instructive to identify the players who make shots at rates
much lower than league averages, the guys that regularly underperform
relative to their shooting cohort. Here is the bottom five:
Stephen Curry、LeBron James、Kevin Durant、Jose Calderon和Kyle Korver等
球员当然成为此数据的佼佼者。这些球员一直在其活跃的出手区域胜过联盟平均
值。而去检视那些投篮命中率低于联盟平均的球员，那些一直表现得比其他得分手
差的家伙亦是件有意义的事。以下是倒数五名：
Lowest ShotScore, 2012-13 season
2012-13球季最差的ShotScore
1. Monta Ellis, -159
2. Greg Monroe, -134
3. Ramon Sessions, -130
4. Russell Westbrook, -127
5. Ricky Rubio, -115
These five players are all relatively active shooters, but fail to
accrue points from the field at average NBA rates in their most active
zones. In other words, each player struggles in his own unique way.
这五位球员都算是现役著名的得分手，但在其主要的进攻区域之得分产出却无法达
到联盟平均水准的命中率。换句话说，这五位球员都有属于自己的困境。
Monta and Jose: The Dallas Odd Couple
Monta和Jose：达拉斯小牛队的奇怪组合
You could make a good roommates sitcom about a European perfectionist,
forced to work alongside a purely American free spirit who "doesn’t
play by the rules." Or you could just watch the Mavs this season. It
will be fascinating to see Ellis play on a team led by Dirk Nowitizki.
But it might even be more interesting to watch his backcourt interactions
with Jose Calderon.
你可以和你的好室友一起看主题为一位欧洲完美主义者被迫和一位“不守规矩”的
美国自由主义者合作的连续剧。或者你们大可直接看小牛队这季的比赛。看Ellis
在Dirk Nowitizki的主导下打球很吸引人。但观赏他和Jose Calderon的后场合作
可能更有趣。
Calderon and Ellis are two of the most noteworthy shooters in the league,
but for very different reasons. Basically, Calderon is a great shooter,
and Ellis is not. Calderon is particularly lethal in front of the basket.
Calderon和Ellis两位都是联盟中最值得一提的射手，但被注意的理由却大不同。
基本上，Calderon是个优质射手，但Ellis不是。Calderon在篮框正前方特别的致
命。
http://ppt.cc/BeUj
On the other hand, Ellis is a very creative player with a knack for
getting a shot pretty much whenever he wants. This is an overlooked skill
in most player evaluations. Ellis’s problems begin the moment his shots
leave his fingertips. Simply put, he’s a below-average shooter with a
volume problem. The combination of his high activity and his terrible
efficiency has frustrated fans from Oakland to Oshkosh, and this year he
brings his game to Dallas.
另一方面，Ellis是个有本领在任何位置都能出手的创造出手机会型球员。这是个
在大多数的球员评价上都被忽略技巧。Ellis的问题在于他出手的那一瞬间。简单
来说他是个问题很多的低于平均值得分手。他积极的出手和糟糕的效率这个组合套
餐让奥克兰（金州勇士队）到澳旭扣旭（密尔瓦基公鹿队）的球迷都失望不已，而
今年他的打球方式降临达拉斯。
http://ppt.cc/~8~C
Ellis shoots below league averages from everywhere, except for one tiny
baseline area where he’s hardly active. But that actually might be the
key to his improvement. If Rick Carlisle can reduce Ellis’s activity
and get him to more effectively pick his spots, Ellis has a tremendous
chance of improving. He has never really played in a good system with
decent offensive teammates. Playing alongside savvy veteran scorers like
Nowitzki, Shawn Marion, and Vince Carter should help. If that team
intelligence and Calderon’s shot discretion rub off on Ellis, there’s
a very good chance we will witness a drastic upswing in his efficiency.
Ellis的投篮命中率无论在哪个位置都低于联盟平均，除了底线那块他几乎不太出
手的区域外。但这很有可能是他进步的关键。如果Rick Carlisle可以减少Ellis的
活动区域并让他更有效率的选择出手位置，Ellis将有相当的进步机会。他还未有
机会在充满进攻优秀队友的好体系下打球。与Nowitziki、Shawn Marion和Vince
Carter这些进攻理解力强的老将旁边打球应该对他有所帮助。如果小牛队的进攻教
练团和Calderon的出手选择能磨一磨Ellis，我们将很有机会见证他进攻效率的显
著进步。
http://ppt.cc/Ler5
Either way, this odd couple in Dallas will make for must-watch League
Pass TV this season. Signing him was a risk, but in the same way that
Nowitzki and Calderon know about shooting effectiveness, that modern-day
Texas tycoon, Mark Cuban, knows a thing or two about investment
effectiveness. Let’s hope it doesn’t turn into a soap opera.
无论如何，这对小牛的奇怪组合将是这季的重要看点。签下他是有风险，但就如同
Nowitzki和Calderon理解有效的出手般，现代德州商业钜子Mark Cuban也理解一些
投资的效力。让我们期望这不会变成一出肥皂剧吧。
On Rondo, Russell, and Rubio
关于Rondo、Russell和Rubio
Even though we love to blast Rajon Rondo because "he can’t shoot," there
are a few point guards more deserving of that rep, prominent floor
generals who actually fail to create points at above-average rates, from
both the inside and the outside. Rondo, believe it or not, can actually
makes shots at rates above league averages. In fact, in the last few
seasons, he has made his elbow jumper at elite rates, partly because
he’s left open and partly because he is an improving shooter.
虽然我们热爱抨击Rondo“他不会投篮”，但有些控球后卫更该得到这名声。那些
著名的场上指挥官无论在篮下或外线都无法以高于联盟平均值的效率得分。至于
Rondo，信不信由你，他的45度角中距离跳投是联盟的佼佼者，一部分是因为他常
常被放投而另一部份则是因他是个更优秀的射手。
Russell Westbrook is one of the most polarizing players in the league.
Although most of us love him, the jury is still out on just how
effective of a teammate he is. He’s obviously a great playmaker, but he
has a tendency to shoot a little too frequently, which in some cases
takes away more efficient options from his teammates (one in particular).
As a scorer, Westbrook could improve his efficiency by learning from one
of his biggest rivals.
Russell Westbrook是联盟中最极端的球员之一。虽然大多数的人都爱他，对于他
是否是个给力的队友则依然心存怀疑。他显然的是位优异的进攻发动者，但他太过
倾向投球，某些时候这抹煞掉一些队友更有效率的进攻机会（尤其是某一位队友）
。以一个得分手自居，Westbrook可以向他最大的竞争对手之一学习以强化进攻效
率。
Back in the 2002-03 season, a young Tony Parker attempted 243 3-point
shots; a decade later, during the 2012-13 season, Parker only shot 68 3s.
Parker and the Spurs recognized that not only were these shots not very
effective (31.3 percent for his career), they also introduced a huge
opportunity cost. Every time Parker shot a 3, it meant he wasn’t
attacking or playmaking. The new and improved Tony Parker doesn’t take
those 3s himself, he helps create them for guys like Danny Green, Kawhi
Leonard, and Matt Bonner.
在2002-03球季时，年轻的Tony Parker出手243次的三分球。十年后的2012-13球季
，Parker只投了68球三分球。Parker和马刺队都认清不单是这些投射效果不佳（
31.3%的生涯三分球命中率），他们亦付出极大的机会成本。每当Parker投三分球
时，代表他并没有进攻篮框或制造队友进攻机会。全新进化的Tony Parker不再自
己砍三分，而是帮助像Danny Green、Kawhi Leonard和Matt Bonner等人制造出手
机会。
There’s no doubt that defenses secretly love when Westbrook shoots from
long range; he’s not very efficient, and it means he is not shredding
through defenders, attacking, and dishing to open teammates. The fact
that Westbrook attempted 300 3s last season is troubling — this was up
from 196 the year before, plus he only made 32 percent of them. It’s
really hard to justify this level of activity. Westbrook is much better
suited on the basket side of the 3-point line, pulling up from the elbow,
driving to the hoop, drawing fouls, and distributing the ball.
防守方对于Westbrook投长距离跳投时毫无疑问的会暗自窃喜。他并不是很有效率
，而这表示他并没有在撕裂防线、进攻篮框和传向空档队友。上季Westbrook出手
300次三分球是件麻烦的事实，这比上上季的196球更多，再加上他只有32%的三分
命中率。这个出手量并不容易修正。Westbrook更适合在三分线内进攻、在45度角
中距离跳投、切入篮下、制造犯规和分享球权。
http://ppt.cc/CtuI
The good news is that in the same way that Peyton Manning and Tom Brady
can be great without being great runners, it is possible to be a great
NBA point guard without being a great shooter. In fact, Westbrook and
Derrick Rose, two of the world’s best point guards, prove this on a
regular basis. Still, Westbrook’s game, as great as it already is,
could improve if he just stopped shooting all those 3s. Unfortunately,
this season may not be the best time for him to stop. The loss of Kevin
Martin has left the Thunder in dire need of replacement production from
beyond the arc. We need to get Westbrook a Matt Bonner for Christmas.
好消息是如同Peyton Manning和Tom Brady（译按：两位NFL的超级巨星四分卫）
不是飞毛腿但依旧是优秀四分卫，不是优质射手而成为NBA的顶级控卫并非不可能
。事实上，Westbrook和Derrick Rose这两位世上最佳的控球后卫一直以来都证明
这点。仍然，就算Westbrook的比赛内容已经如此优异，少投点三分球便可使其更
进步。不幸的是，这季可能不是他停止投三分的最佳时机。失去Kevin Martin后
的雷霆队急切的需要三分线外的替代方案。我们需要把Matt Bonner当圣诞节礼物
送给Westbrook吧。
Another point guard with limited perimeter passing options is Charlotte’s
Ramon Sessions. He is a wannabe attack guard who has the speed and skill
to maneuver through NBA defenses, but has trouble finishing at the basket.
另一位控球后卫则是拥有有限的外线传球选择，他是夏洛特山猫的Ramon Sessions
。他是个拥有速度和突破NBA防守者技巧的进攻欲望强大型后卫，但篮底下的放球
能力却有待加强。
http://ppt.cc/WN0G
Although he gets a lot of opportunities at the rim, Sessions converts
less than half of them. He also struggles as a jump shooter, but to his
credit, if his relative inactivity out there is any kind of clue, he
seems aware of this limitation.
虽然他在篮下出手机会很多，Sessions投不进其中的一半。他的跳投也需要加强，
但值得赞赏的是他似乎知道自己的极限，如果他在外围出手不多能代表什么的话。
In a way, Sessions is really similar to Ricky Rubio. Like Sessions,
Rubio’s troubles are most extreme closest to the basket. He made a
dismal 41 percent of his shots inside 7.5 feet last season, which was
tied for worst in the NBA (with Austin Rivers and Randy Foye).
某方面来说，Sessions和Ricky Rubio相当类似。如同Sessions，Rubio最大的问题
就在篮下。他上一季7.5呎内的投篮命中率是悲剧的41%，这是去年NBA的垫底之一
（和Austin Rivers及Randy Foye共患难）。
http://ppt.cc/QqE2
Saying that Rubio has trouble finishing at the rim is kind of like saying
that Toonces the cat has trouble driving on mountain roads. But Rubio’s
troubles extend outward from the hoop. As it turns out, not all Spanish
point guards are freakishly good shooters. When it comes to shooting
efficiency, Rubio is no Calderon. Rubio's pretty lousy in those exact
same elbow areas where Calderon thrives, and Rondo has greatly improved.
So, to the people that continue to make those “Rondo can’t shoot”
proclamations, I propose you take your sneers elsewhere, perhaps to
Oklahoma, North Carolina, or Minnesota.
谈论Rubio的篮下投篮毛病如同谈论Toonces the cat开山路般（译按：Wiki Toonces
the driving cat － http://tinyurl.com/n4qowdu）。但Rubio的问题继续往篮框
外延伸。结果看来并非所有的西班牙裔控球后卫都是变态射手。当提到投篮效率时
，Rubio不能和Calderon相提并论。Rubio在Calderon优异的45度角中距离表现颇差
，而Rondo却进步许多。所以对于那些继续说“Rondo不会投篮”的人们，我建议你
们去别的地方嘲弄吧，或许奥克拉荷马（雷霆队）、北卡罗莱纳（山猫队）或明尼
苏达（灰狼队）会是个好地方。
Speaking of troubles near the basket, the Pistons' Greg Monroe presents
another interesting example. Monroe was by far the NBA’s most active
shooter near the basket last year. That’s good, except that he struggled
to convert his shots down there. He has never met a close-range shot he
doesn’t like. This is compounded by his immature midrange game. Although
Monroe’s interior numbers weren’t terrible, his slightly below-average
production combined with his extreme volume resulted in him arriving at
the bottom of the ShotScore list.
说到篮下出手有困难，活塞队的Greg Monroe成为另一个有趣的案例。Monroe是去
年NBA篮下最活跃的球员之一。这很棒啦，除了他在那的出手难以得分外。他就是
只喜欢在篮下出手。这和他不成熟的中距离有关系。虽然Monroe的禁区数据并非很
糟，比联盟平均稍低的命中率配上大量的出手导致他成为ShotScore的倒数名单之
一。
http://ppt.cc/Jr~U
Despite his troubles last season, Monroe remains a very strong NBA
prospect. With Monroe, Andre Drummond, and Josh Smith the Pistons seem
well positioned to dominate the interior for years to come. There is
little doubt that Monroe will improve both close to the basket and away
from it as his game matures, but as it stands, he is notable for his
inefficiency.
尽管他上季的毛病，Monroe依然是非常看好的NBA未来之星。在拥有Monroe、Andre
Drummond和Josh Smith后，活塞队似乎在将来会统治禁区。对于Monroe未来在篮下
和外围技术将更加进步这件事没有什么人会怀疑，但现况来说，他的效率值得注意
。
None of these players are bad basketball players; in fact most of them
are really good even compared to their NBA peers. When it comes to
shooting efficiency, however, each of these players has an important
issue or two to address.
以上这些球员都并非不好的NBA球员。事实上，即使和NBA同侪比较起来，大多数还
是相当优秀的球员。但当提到投篮效率时，这几位球员便有重要的问题需要解决。
原文网址－
http://tinyurl.com/kutchjp
心得：
这几位选手搭配#1IDvfyE3的话满有趣的
很差的上篮命中率影响其实很大
这几位多数都是“烂的出手选择”配上“大量出手”导致效率很糟
要说真的投篮技巧很烂吗？我倒不觉得
但这两点就足够伤害球队了
可见出手选择的重要性
除了卢小比外
他应该是真的要多练练投篮和上篮了!!!!
毕竟他不像Russ和Ellis一样是自己硬上的球员
我想这份比较文要是能以每100次出手来比会更有趣吧
(欢迎转载，若转至站外请附上原作者和出处，感谢)