WILL WARRIORS STRUGGLE IN THE CLUTCH IN 2013-14?
勇士队在2013-14球季的关键时刻会当机吗？
The Golden State Warriors made some changes to their roster during
the 2013 offseason and it is fair to wonder how these moves will
affect their play late in ball games during the 2013-14 season.
金洲勇士队阵容在2013休赛季做出些许调整。会思考这些改变将如何影响2013
-14球季关键时刻的表现是理所当然之事。
Golden State acquired Andre Iguodala during free agency and consequently
had to watch Jarrett Jack and Carl Landry join the Cleveland Cavaliers
and Sacramento Kings respectively.
勇士队在自由市场中签到Andre Iguodala，而这也使的他们必须眼睁睁的看
Jarrett Jack和Carl Landry分别加入克里夫兰骑士队和沙加缅度国王队。
Given that both players performed quite well off the bench during the
2012-13 season, there is a feeling that the second unit might take a
step back. There is perhaps a point to be made on that front but the
starting unit will be better in 2013-14.
由于这两位球员在2012-2013球季从板凳跳出来表现优异，不禁会觉得新球季的
替补实力会稍稍减弱。在这前提下来看板凳战力变弱是有道理的，但先发战力
将会比上季来的更好。
One of the areas of concern with the departure of the tandem is the
Dubs’ performance down the stretch of games. With the scoring margin
within three points during the last two minutes of the game, Golden
State scored 98 points per 100 possessions.
这两位离开球队所引发的其中一部份顾虑便是勇士队（译按：Dubs是勇士迷称
呼勇士队的小名）在比赛关键时刻的表现。在比赛最后两分钟且分差三分内时
，勇士队每一百次进攻能得98分。
That figure was in the league’s bottom third according to NBA.com.
The Warriors only converted 34.2 percent of their field goals in this
setting. Clearly there is room for improvement but one can only wonder
if Golden State has the personnel to do so.
这个数字根据NBA.com统计是联盟倒数第三名。勇士队在这情况下命中率只有
34.2%。很明显的勇士队在关键时刻的表现还有很大的进步空间，但问题是人们
会怀疑勇士队的球员是否有办法担起这责任。
In 2012-13, Mark Jackson simply put the ball in the hands of Jarrett
Jack late in games and lived with the results. NBA.com’s advanced
stats tool tells us that Golden State’s super sub took most of the
shots with the score within three points in the last two minutes of
the game in his lone season in the Bay.
在2012-13球季，Mark Jackson基本上就是在比赛后段时，把球给Jarrett Jack
处理并接受任何结果。NBA.com的进阶数据工具告诉我们金州勇士的超级替补在
去年湾区一季游中，最后两分钟且分差三分内的比赛他的出手次数最多。
Jack took 27 such field goals while Stephen Curry was second on the
team with 19. Curry was particularly bad in this setting because of
his penchant to go for the jugular. Indeed, the Dubs’ leading scorer
loved to bring the ball up and simply launch contested 3-point shots
down the stretch of games.
Jack出手27次，而Stephen Curry则出手球队第二多的19次。在这个情况下Curry
特别的糟，因为他倾向于给对方致命一击。没错！勇士队的得分王喜欢在比赛关
键时刻带球过半场，然后直接的拔起来砍一个被对到的三分球。
Because of this, the coaching staff entrusted Jack with steering the
offense and it produced mixed results. Golden State favored putting
their sixth man in the middle of the floor beyond the arc to scan the
defense.
正因如此，教练团交给Jack来掌控进攻，而这产生了各种结果。勇士队偏爱把他
们的最佳第六人放到球场中央位于弧顶的位置来观察防守。
From there, the Warriors usually ran Curry off screens and when he
shook loose, the ball came his way. Look at the video below for an
example of this:
此时，勇士队通常跑一个Curry空手掩护战术，而当他甩掉防守者时球就会传到
他手上。请见以下的VCR：
http://tinyurl.com/mjusvk2
In the event Curry did not get free or that Golden State wanted to
throw defenses off, they would act as though the set was designed to
feature the sharpshooter as the primary option and actually go away
from him and run a pick-and-pop with David Lee.
当Curry无法如勇士队想要的甩开防守者，他们会表现像是要作战术给他们的超
级射手，但真正的第一选择是把球远离射手并和David Lee跑档拆战术（译按：
pick-and-roll和pick-and-pop都是档拆战术；前者是档人者空手跑向篮框，而
后者是档人者拉到中距离跳投）。
The coverage obviously determined the direction of the play. Watch
below as the Miami Heat decide to hedge on Jack. He and Lee read the
defense and adjust:
防守显然会影响战术要如何执行。看以下的VCR，迈阿密热火队决定要作障碍缓
冲（hedge）Jack。在他和Lee解读防守后作出以下调整：
http://tinyurl.com/lsyuxqe
Lee quickly went to the open area on the court to receive a pass and
drive to the hoop. Although he missed the shot, it was still a high
-percentage look.
Lee快速的跑向空档区域，接球后切入篮下。虽然他没进，但这依然是个好的出
手机会。
Things got dicey for Golden State when great defensive teams nullified
those two options. It left Jack with the ball in his hands and the shot
clock ticking down. That prompted him to go one-on-one against his
defender, which provided some uneven results.
当优质的防守球队防住这两个选项时，对勇士队来说状况便难以掌握。最终导向
Jack控球然后时间慢慢磨掉。迫使他必须和防守者一堆一，而造成不确定的结果。
In the video below, Jack goes to his pet play where he employs a series
of dribble moves and then rises up for the elbow jumper:
以下的VCR中，Jack用出他得意的招。他利用一连串的运球后拔起来砍45度角中
距离跳投：
http://tinyurl.com/n4yhzpw
That jumper turned Jack into some sort of mythical figure for Warriors
fans and even led to a post titled Jarrett Jack God Mode is real by our
very own Ethan Sherwood Strauss.
这个跳投让Jack成为勇士队的某种神话人物，甚至让我们的Ethan Sherwood
Strauss作出标题为“Jarrett Jack上帝上身”的海报。
The new Cavalier grew exceedingly comfortable with the stage and
consequently called his number often late in games and helped the Dubs
win 17 of their 29 games decided by three points or less.
这位骑士队的新同学越渐习惯大场面，所以比赛末段常常交给他，并帮助勇士队
赢下29分之17的三分差内比赛。
The Warriors were not great in this setting, but Jack allowed them to
run their offense and play Curry off the ball. Running the Davidson
product off screens occasionally created open looks for his teammates
and also forced a couple of defensive rotations that allowed the likes
of Klay Thompson to get open looks.
勇士队在关键时刻并不优秀，但Jack让他们可以跑出战术并解放Curry的无球攻
击。执行Davidson的产物－空手掩护战术，偶尔能创造队友的空档和迫使一些防
守轮转让像Klay Thompson这样的人能有空档出手机会。
Jack’s defection to Cleveland technically creates a void that forces
Curry to assume ball-handling duties once again in crunch time. Except
that is not entirely true.
Jack跑去克里夫兰这件事从技术上来说产生关键时刻的空缺，从而迫使Curry要
再次承担关键时刻的控球责任。不过这不完全正确。
Iguodala can actually orchestrate the offense late in games because he
is a good ball-handler and also a good passer. Furthermore, he is a
decent pick-and-roll player that can split double teams attack the rim
for scores.
Iguodala真的可以在比赛末段组织进攻，因为他是个好的控球者和传球者。此外
，他是个优秀的档拆球员，可以切开包夹并攻击篮框得分。
The tricky thing about the swingman is that he possesses some of
Jack’s instincts but poorly executes in late game situations. He loves
to have the ball on the wing and will always dribble towards the middle
of the floor.
奇怪的是这位摇摆人的拥有一些Jack的特质但在关键时刻执行能力却很差。他热
爱在两翼持球并总是往球场中央运。
From there he will scan the defense and see if he can get all the way
to the basket. In the event he senses there is too much resistance,
Iguodala will typically pull up from the elbow for a jump shot. For
the sake of understanding what that means, have a look at his shot
chart from the 2012-13 campaign and pay careful attention to the right
and left elbows:
然后他会观察防守并看能否一路杀进篮下。当他觉得防守太紧时，Iguodala特爱
在45度角拔起来跳投。为了了解这什么意思，来看看他2012-13球季的投篮区域
表，并注意两边45度角中距离：
http://ppt.cc/16BQ
Not so coincidentally, NBA.com’s advanced stats tool tells us that
Iguodala converted eight-of-22 (36.4 percent) shots during the 2012-13
season with the scoring margin within three points in the last two
minutes of games. Here is his shot chart for the previously outlined
setting:
不意外的，NBA.com的进阶数据工具告诉我们Iguadala在12-13球季剩两分钟且
三分差内的比赛里，投进22球中的8球（36.4%命中率）。这是前述内容的投篮
表：
http://ppt.cc/hooE
The sample size is small but we can see that he is not incredibly
proficient from the elbow areas in crunch time. He is actually on par
with his regular season shooting figures from that range. Potentially,
this could spell doom for the Warriors’ clutch offense in 2013-14.
虽然是小样本，但我们能看到他并不精通于关键时刻的45度角中距离跳投。事实
上这命中率等同于他常规赛的命中率。这命中率很可能会对2013-14球季勇士队
的关键时刻带来毁灭性的结果。
However, there are other variables worth considering. As a member of
the Denver Nuggets, Iguodala was not afforded many driving lanes
because the team lacked great shooters.
然而，依然存在其他变量值得端详。身为丹佛金块队的一员，由于队上没有优质
射手，Iguodala没有多少切入空间。
Between Curry and Thompson, Iguodala has floor spacers to help open up
the floor because of the defensive attention they require. Also, one
can assume that the coaching staff will occasionally use a small-ball
lineup featuring Harrison Barnes at power forward in these situations,
which means the Dubs will have another shooter on the hardwood.
由于Curry和Thompson的关系，防守必须注意他们，所以Iguodala有射手帮助他
拉开空间。同时，我们也可以假设教练团偶尔会排出小球阵容，在关键时刻将
Harrison Barnes摆在大前锋的位置。这意味着勇士队场上又有另一位射手。
That opens things up for Iguodala. Thus, if the Curry is covered and
the screen-and-roll option is thwarted by the defense, the highflyer
will have a chance to simply put his head down and head to the rim
where he has converted roughly 70 percent of his shots during his
career per Hoopdata.
这将帮Iguodala拓展出康庄大道。如此一来，当Curry被守住同时档拆这个选项
也被防守给阻挠时，这位飞人将有机会埋头冲向生涯命中率约莫70%的篮框底下。
Obviously, teams will mix and match. That means he may end up throwing
the ball out to an open shooter. Also, the Warriors can add a new
wrinkle by running a pick-and-roll with Iguodala and Curry, hence
creating a mismatch where the highflyer posts up a smaller defender.
显而易见的，球队会调和。代表他可能将球传给外围空档射手。同时，勇士队可
以利用Iguodala和Curry的档拆增加点新把戏，创造出这位飞人低位单打矮小防守
者的错位。
Until we see things unfold on the floor, this is mostly an exercise in
speculation, but the Dubs have the potential to be a good closing
offense in 2013-14. Jackson will have to find the right combination of
players and plays to make this happen and there is reason to believe he
will based on the adjustments he made on this front in 2012-13.
不到球季开打，这些都是猜测。但勇士队在2013-14球季将有潜力成为一个好的
关门球队。Jackson将找出正确的组合和战术来让这事成真，而且我们有十足把
握相信他会基于在12-13球季关键时刻战术的调整来作变更。
原文网址－
http://tinyurl.com/ktzv4rn
心得：
这篇是很不错的战术分析文
优文共赏
但还是稍稍讲一下心得
勇士队失去Jack真的很可惜
我想有看去年勇士季后赛的人都能理解关键时刻Jack的重要性
新球季勇士要弥补Jack的离去有两个要点
1. 小AI势必要分担进攻playmaker的责任
2. Curry的组织控球必须要成长，关键时刻不能再当射手而已
(原文并没有提到Curry的成长，但我认为这个是关键
小AI的进攻稳定度毕竟不如Jack)
关于文章开头的替补战力变弱
我倒是保持观望的态度
Landry的空缺已经有Marreese Speights补上
虽然可能不如Landry这么好用但也是非常堪用的禁区替补
上季，Jack和Curry必须有一人在场上才比较稳定
所以错开使用
这季应该也是一样
小AI和Curry都是先发，不过应该不太会看到两人都下场的情况
（除非有犯规麻烦或受伤）
至于补的TDG就不期不待，最多就顶一下控球时间
毕竟只是防守、射手型控卫，组织力就.....
我比较偏向健康的勇士队整体是进攻持平，但防守提升的升级
替补可能不比去年来的好看，但配合著用并不会差太多