来源应该是fox这篇
https://reurl.cc/oQx1KD
China could invade Taiwan before the 2024 US presidential election: sources
Officials warn 2024 could be an especially 'dangerous' year as both the US
and Taiwan hold presidential elections
中国可能在2024美国总统选举前入侵台湾 2024年可能是特别危险的一年
China could invade Taiwan within the next 18 months, current and former
officials familiar with U.S. and allied intelligence told Fox News,
suggesting a particularly "dangerous" window between the meeting of the
National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party this November and the next
U.S. presidential election in 2024.
某官员提到：中国可能在未来18个月入侵台湾
这个危险的入侵时间约是在中共选举和美国总统大选之间
"What is different now is, we have intelligence that this has gone from an
indefinite, nebulous scenario, to a belief that there is a window of
opportunity in the next 18 months," the official continued. "I don’t think
that’s a coincidence that window of opportunity is within a Biden
administration."
某官员说这项消息有其出处 并暗示与拜登政府有关(不愧是共和党媒体?)
Former commander of American forces in the Indo-Pacific Adm. Philip Davison
testified last year that China could invade Taiwan within the next six years—
by 2027.
前印太司令戴维森上将也在去年表明
中共会在未来6年内 2027年前入侵台湾
The official stressed that the invasion could happen before the inauguration
of the next president in 2025, saying China fears the election of "another
leader that could return to a more robust, ‘peace through strength’ foreign
policy and stronger domestic policies."
某官员认为：中国怕下一任美国总统走强硬路线
总之美国某些官员 认为2024前是高风险的时期
当然也不排除是要黑拜登就是了

应该就是美国国内政治攻防而已啦 有乌俄的经验 拜登出来喊话、美国开始撤侨之前都不用太过惊慌（虽然惊慌也没用

相信不相信没有区别吧 什么叫未雨绸缪？ 想走的人现在开始准备国外身份 资产转移一部分到当地 就算失去全部台湾的财产也能在国外活下去不想走的人 就参考乌克兰人民 会缺什么就储存什么不然就练体能 或是玩枪(?) 练习上场杀敌等美国撤侨 你最好是有时间准备 那就在战场裸奔啊

这一类的推测一直到2027都有，主要是中国国力将进入衰退，可能的时间并不多。