Fw: [分享] MLB-哪一位一垒手最擅长接传球?statcast

楼主: Yjizz (饶惹偶ㄚ激湿)   2026-08-20 13:35:17
※ [本文转录自 Baseball 看板 #1gXbETOR ]
Which 1B are best at receiving throws? New data has the answer
哪一位一垒手最擅长接传球?statcast全新数据给出了答案。
Most catches are routine, but who excels on the toughest plays?
大多数接球都很常态,但谁能在最艰难的防守中脱颖而出?
August 19th, 2026
Mike Petriello
https://www.mlb.com/news/breaking-down-first-base-throw-receiving-data
**文长,图片网址为MLB原文连结-需用网页全版开图。
https://www.mlb.com/video/alec-burleson-s-strongest-scoops-of-2026
Through the first four-plus months of this season, St. Louis first baseman
Alec Burleson has recorded nearly 1,000 putouts. That sounds like a lot of
work, and it is; it’s the largest figure of any player in the Majors in
2026. That number, however, encompasses two very different parts of his job.
在这个赛季的前四个多月中,圣路易红雀的一垒手 Alec Burleson 已经记录了将近 1,000
次刺杀(putouts)。这听起来是一项繁重的工作,事实也确实如此;这是 2026 年大联
盟(Majors)所有球员中最高的数字。然而,这个数字包含了他工作中截然不同的两个部
分。
Approximately 25% of that total is fielding batted balls, at which Burleson,
who had spent much of his time in the outfield in his previous three seasons
before becoming St. Louis’ primary first baseman in 2026, has been a
work-in-progress. His minus-4 Outs Above Average this year is adequate, but
mildly below average.
在总数中,大约有 25% 是处理击出球的防守,而在 2026 年成为圣路易红雀的主力一垒手
之前,Alec Burleson 在过去三个赛季的绝大部分时间都在外野度过,因此这项技术仍在
持续改进中。他今年 -4 的出局数超越预期值(Outs Above Average / OAA)算尚可,但
略低于平均水准。
The remaining 75% of those putouts, then, are about a first baseman’s other
big responsibility – catching throws from his infield mates. Given the
massive difference in opportunities, that would seem to be a far more
important skill, yet even that has a necessary breakdown within it. Some
large portions of that figure, one would assume, are fairly typical
on-the-money throws that any semi-competent professional first sacker would
be able to receive easily.
因此,剩余 75% 的刺杀则关乎一垒手的另一个重大职责──接来自内野队友的传球。考虑
到机会次数的巨大差距,这似乎是一项重要得多的技能,但即使是这项技能,内部也有必
要进行细分。可以设想,这个数字中的很大一部分是相当典型的精准传球,任何稍微合格
的职业一垒手(first sacker)都能轻松接住。
We haven’t really known, though. This aspect of a first baseman’s life has
been a blind spot in public Statcast data, and while other sites do publish
some information about ‘scoops,’ that’s only the number of successful
ones, and even then that’s only a small portion of the throws a first
baseman has to haul in, despite the outsized importance they receive.
不过,我们过去其实并不真正了解。一垒手生涯的这一维度过去一直是公开 Statcast 数
据中的盲点,虽然其他网站确实会发布一些关于“捞球/挖地瓜接球”(scoops)的资讯,
但那仅仅是成功接球的次数,而且即便如此,尽管这些传球备受关注,也仅占一垒手必须
接住的传球中的一小部分。
That, then, is the point of the latest Statcast metric at Baseball Savant,
which evaluates the performance of a first baseman at receiving the ball. It’
s about scoops, sure, but it’s a lot more than that. It’s about the
hundreds of throws a first baseman has to handle, and it’s about realizing
which one of them actually means much of anything.
这正是 Baseball Savant 最新 Statcast 数据指标的核心所在,该指标旨在评估一垒手在
接球方面的表现。当然,这与捞球(scoops)有关,但远不止于此。这关乎一垒手必须处
理的数百次传球,并且关乎厘清其中哪些传球才真正具有重大意义。
The way this works is like most other Statcast metrics, which is to say that
it’s not just, “Did you make the play?” but also “... and how difficult
was that opportunity expected to be?” In the same way that a sinking liner
in the gap is much harder for an outfielder than a lazy can-of-corn pop fly,
a throw you have to catch on a short hop or well wide of the bag shouldn’t
be considered the same as an on-target no-brainer.
这项指标的运作方式与大多数其他 Statcast 指标类似,也就是说,它不仅仅衡量“你是
否完成了防守?”,还衡量“……该次防守机会预计的难度有多高?”。就像外野手处理
外野两侧空档的平飞下沉球比处理轻松的冲天炮高飞球(can-of-corn pop fly)要困难得
多一样,你必须靠弹跳接球(short hop)或偏离垒包很远才能接到的传球,不应被视为与
精准无虞的传球同等对待。
Put those expectations on every play, accumulated over the course of the
season, and you’ll find out that the best receiving first baseman this year
is Burleson, who has added +6 Outs Above Average simply via being good at
collecting throws from JJ Wetherholt, Masyn Wynn, Blaze Jordan, and all the
rest.
将这些预期值应用到每一次防守中,并在整个赛季中累积,你会发现今年接传球表现最出
色的一垒手是 Alec Burleson,他仅凭借擅长接住来自 JJ Wetherholt、Masyn Wynn、
Blaze Jordan 以及其他所有队友的传球,就贡献了 +6 的出局数超越预期值(Outs Above
Average / OAA)。
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/v1787145626/mlb/wm0nynsl8bodwrofcipq.jpg
(Alec Burleson has compiled the most value in 2026 via receiving throws from
infielders.)
(Alec Burleson 在 2026 年透过接内野手传球创造了最高的价值。)
This data is available going back to 2021, and there's a pair of extremely
satisfying names atop that cumulative list.
这项数据可以追溯到 2021 年,而在这份累积排行榜的顶端,出现了一对非常令人信服的
名字。
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/mlb/cblueqrqpebudhtknmct.jpg
(Freddie Freeman narrowly edges out Matt Olson atop the 1B receiving value
board since 2021.)
(自 2021 年以来,Freddie Freeman 在一垒手接球价值榜上以微弱优势险胜 Matt
Olson 占据榜首。)
It’s true that Matt Olson and Freddie Freeman have played the most games of
any first basemen since 2021. It’s also almost certainly true that when
thinking about first basemen with the most shining defensive reputations over
the last decade, you’d think of that pair nearly immediately.
确实,自 2021 年以来,Matt Olson 和 Freddie Freeman 是所有一垒手中出赛场次最多
的两位。同样几乎可以肯定的是,当你想到过去十年中防守声誉最顶尖的一垒手时,你几
乎会立刻想到这两个人。
So: How does this work? The method is explained in more detail by MLB.com
Senior Data Architect Tom Tango here, but simply put: On each throw, the
location of the throw is accounted for, as well as the speed and location of
the batter running to first. Based on those inputs, we can see how often that
opportunity gets turned into an out. (That last part is important, because if
a runner is far away from first base, then a first baseman has more chance to
recover and get back to the bag. It's not all about the throw.)
那么,这项数据是如何运作的?MLB.com Senior Data Architect Tom Tango 在此处更
详细地解释了这种方法,但简单来说:每次传球时,都会考虑传球的位置,以及打者跑向
一垒的速度和位置。根据这些输入条件,我们可以算出该次防守机会转化为刺杀出局机率
。(最后这部分很重要,因为如果跑者距离一垒还很远,一垒手就有更多机会修正防守并
回到垒包,这并不完全取决于传球品质。)
That’s all taken into account at the moment the first baseman can actually
do anything about it, which is not the time the throw is unleashed, but the
time that the ball reaches an eight-foot perimeter around the first base bag,
which is roughly the stretching radius of an outstretched player. This is
entirely about, “What does the first baseman do with the opportunity he gets
near the bag?”
所有这些变量都会在一垒手真正能做出防守动作的那一刻被纳入计算──那不是球被传出
的瞬间,而是球抵达一垒垒包周围 8 英尺范围内的那一刻,这大约是一名球员伸手伸展所
能触及的半径。这完全关乎:“一垒手利用他在垒包附近获得的机会做了什么?”
For Burleson, those hundreds and hundreds of throws look like this:
对 Alec Burleson 来说,那数以百计的接球机会看起来就像这样:
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/mlb/fzlphpmg1an8xtfemccr.jpg
(Every throw Burleson has seen in 2026, from top-down and left-side infielder
views.)
(Alec Burleson 在 2026 年面对的每一次传球,分别从俯瞰与左侧内野手视角呈现。)
In Burleson’s case, more than 80% of those throw chances have indeed been
those on-target, on-the-money ones, the kind like this that you’d generally
never pay attention to. He’s had 420 on-target chances, and 414 of those
have turned into outs. That's nearly 99%, but it collects him all of +2 OAA
for all of that effort.
以 Alec Burleson 为例,超过 80% 的传球机会确实是那些到位且精准的传球,也就是你
通常根本不会去注意到的那种。他获得了 420 次精准传球的机会,其中 414 次成功转化
为刺杀出局。这几乎达到了 99%,但所有这些努力仅为他累积了 +2 的出局数超越预期值
(Outs Above Average / OAA)。
If that doesn't seem like much, it shouldn't. After all, you’re endlessly
doing things like this, fielding a lightly-tossed throw where the runner is
more than 30 feet away from the base at the time it comes to you. It’s hard
to compile that much value on doing that.
如果这看起来不多,那也是正常的。毕竟你只是日复一日地处理这类防守──处理一次轻
轻抛出的传球,当球到达你手中时,跑者距离垒包还有 30 多英尺远。光靠做这些事本来
就很难累积太多价值。
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/mlb/izrve9hw8mscqmqgqqip.jpg
The end result of that is a billion throws that look like this (which gain a
first baseman +0.01 out, or basically nothing) …
其最终结果就是有无数次像这样的传球(这只会让一垒手获得 +0.01 次出局数,基本上等
于没有)……
https://www.mlb.com/video/jojo-romero-in-play-out-s-to-nick-fortes
… and many fewer that look like this (in which Burleson earned nearly +0.25
an out, since other first basemen failed to convert this opportunity about a
quarter of the time)
……以及少得多的像这样的传球(Alec Burleson 在这类防守中赚取了将近 +0.25 次出
局数,因为其他一垒手大约有四分之一的时间无法将这种机会转化为刺杀出局)
https://www.mlb.com/video/dustin-may-in-play-out-s-to-sal-frelick
If you go further and break down throws into high, low, wide, on-target,
scoops, and bounces, you can get really granular about who does what.
如果你进一步将传球细分为高球、低球、偏球、精准传球、捞球/挖地瓜接球(scoops)
和弹跳球(bounces),你就能非常细致地分析谁擅长处理什么样的球。
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/mlb/airjc3g5ybpm1qpwmwop.jpg
(The various categories a throw to first base can fall into.)
(传向一垒的传球可能归类的各种范畴。)
It turns out, Yuli Gurriel was the best at scoops and bounces dating back to
2021, and the long-limbed Freeman is the best at corralling both high and
wide throws. For just 2026, it's Houston's Christian Walker who has the most
scoops, at 10. Some of them look extremely smooth.
事实证明,追溯至 2021 年,Yuli Gurriel 最擅长处理捞球(scoops)和弹跳球(
bounces),而手长脚长的 Freddie Freeman 则最擅长抓下偏高和偏宽的传球。单看
2026 年,休士顿太空人的 Christian Walker 以 10 次成功捞球(scoops)位居榜首,
其中有些动作看起来极其流畅。
https://www.mlb.com/video/bryan-king-in-play-out-s-to-masataka-yoshida
Thanks to that breakdown, we can bucket out every throw opportunity a first
baseman has received since the start of this data in 2021, and you’ll see
how few opportunities there really are for a first baseman to distinguish
himself.
多亏了这项细分,我们可以把自 2021 年该数据开始统计以来,一垒手接到的每一次传球
机会进行归类,而你会看到一垒手真正能脱颖而出的机会其实有多少。
Where are the throws that a first baseman has to receive?
一垒手必须接住的传球落在哪里?
- On Target 82% (精准到位)
- High 5% (偏高)
- Wide 5% (偏宽)
- Low 3% (偏低)
- Bounce 3% (弹跳球)
- Scoops 2% (捞球/挖地瓜接球)
Eight of 10 throws, in another words, should overwhelmingly become outs. (And
they are: 98% of on-target throws become on-target outs. Only two-thirds of
scoops do, but again scoops are much less frequent.)
换句话说,十次传球中有八次绝大多数都应该变成刺杀出局。(事实也确实如此:98% 的
精准传球都能顺利造成出局;而捞球(scoops)只有三分之二能造成出局,但捞球出现的
频率要低得多。)
This is mostly why scoops, as exciting as they are, don’t carry as much
value as you’d think – because they rarely ever happen. Pete Alonso has had
the most scoop opportunities of any first baseman this year, for example, but
even that is only 15, or fewer than once per week. (Remember that scoops and
bounces are separated here, because they’re different kinds of plays.)
这主要就是为什么捞球(scoops)虽然精彩,却没有你想像中那么高价值的理由──因为
它们极少发生。以 Pete Alonso 为例,他今年拥有所有一垒手中最多的捞球(scoop)机
会,但即便如此也只有 15 次,平均每周还不到一次。(请记住,这里将捞球和弹跳球分
开计算,因为它们是不同类型的防守。)
Burleson, in the midst of a breakout hitting season, spoke about how he
approaches receiving throws in a video for Cardinals.com back in April.
正处于打击爆发赛季的 Alec Burleson,早在四月份接受 Cardinals.com 的影片采访时
,就曾谈到他是如何看待和处理接传球这项工作的。
https://www.mlb.com/video/burly-talks-1b
"It's an art,” Burleson told Jim Hayes. “You can say it's an art. [You
need] soft hands for sure, and there's not any pick that's the same as the
last. Depends on the runners, depends on who's throwing it, depends on where
it's coming from in the infield. You just take as many reps as you can in
practice."
“这是一门艺术,”Alec Burleson 告诉 Jim Hayes。“你绝对可以说这是一门艺术。你
肯定需要柔和的手感,而且没有一次接低弹跳球(pick)是跟上一次完全相同的。这取决
于跑者是谁、取决于传球者是谁,也取决于球是从内野的哪个位置传过来的。你只能在练
习中尽可能多做几次重复训练。”
“You're reading the throw,” he also added. “You know who is running, so
you know how much time the infielder has, whether he's going to catch and go
– or [if] he's going to have a little bit of time.”
“你得去判读那个传球,”他补充道。“你知道谁在跑垒,所以你知道内野手有多少时间
,他是接到球就得立刻传出,还是他能有一点充裕的时间。”
Which is great, because that kind of context is basically exactly what the
metric is looking for.
这太棒了,因为这种情境背景基本上正是这项数据指标所要寻找的。
Back in the first month of 2025, when Alonso was getting all sorts of praise
for this skill, then-Mets manager Carlos Mendoza issued a very high
compliment. "He’s probably the best in the game at it, to be honest with you,
” as told to Anthony DiComo. That, by this metric in 2024, was exactly
right. He was the best at it
作者: waterspinach (小3機,回不去啦~)   2025-08-20 10:03:00
好文推 很多内野NP都少不了一垒手的配合
楼主: Yjizz (饶惹偶ㄚ激湿)   2026-08-20 13:39:00
作者: stephanal ((  ̄□ ̄)/喔~喔喔~喔喔)   2026-08-20 14:21:00
作者: lucky69 (可以)   2026-08-20 14:59:00
守过一垒大推这篇,感谢翻译
作者: Asucks (我的老婆是超人)   2026-08-20 15:35:00
推翻译
作者: Sunrise2516 (XC)   2026-08-20 18:09:00
作者: Fukudome (殘劍狂千秋)   2026-08-20 19:25:00
作者: IVIVI (忘记怎么丢水球)   2026-08-20 20:31:00
守三游也大推这篇
作者: ganhua (GanHuaWang)   2026-08-21 00:51:00
作者: PttDreaming ( )   2026-08-21 08:55:00
好文
作者: dinos (守护神)   2026-08-21 13:00:00
有哪个守备位置比1B更容易守好?

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