[情报] 球探:冈本是低配版铃木诚也、更适合一垒

楼主: zxc906383 (无无)   2025-10-14 11:46:55
一位长期观察日职球员的洋基作家,撰文分享了对于冈本和真的看法
他本人是蛮想要洋基去追冈本、而不是村上
https://www.patreon.com/posts/kazuma-okamoto-140984731
Kazuma Okamoto: A Good Fit for the Yankees
冈本和真:适合洋基的人选
There are rumblings from Japan that Yomiuri Giants star infielder Kazuma Okamoto
has requested to be posted. The Giants have historically been reluctant to post
players early, but some NPB sources suggest they are now more open to it, given
the significant financial rewards from posting fees. Will Okamoto be posted, an
d will the Yankees make a play?
有日本传闻指出,读卖巨人队的明星内野手冈本和真已提出入札的请求
巨人队过去一向不愿提前让球员入札,但根据部分NPB消息来源透露,考量到可观的入札金
收益,球团如今的态度似乎有所转变
问题在于——巨人是否真的会放人?而洋基队是否会出手争取?
Okamoto suffered an elbow injury on a play at first base in May, missing three m
onths of the season. He finished strong, posting a .327/.416/.598 slash line in
293 plate appearances in the Japan Central League (JPCL). He struck out just 33
times in 251 at-bats, a key area where he differs from star third baseman Muneta
ka Murakami.
冈本在五月一次守备中导致手肘受伤,缺席了接下来三个月的赛季,不过他回归后表现强势
,293 个打席中打出 .327/.416/.598 的成绩
他在251个打数中仅被三振33次,这正是他与另一位强打三垒手村上宗隆的主要差异之一
Okamoto’s Strengths
冈本的优点
Okamoto is an adept hitter with above-average swing decisions and rarely chases
pitches. He’s particularly effective against left-handed pitchers, making him a
strong candidate for a platoon role. He brings plenty of pull power to the line
up, and his above average pitch recognition lets him adjust on off-speed pitches
well. He doesn’t try to do too much and change his approach on swings, which h
elps him maintain good contact on off-speed pitches.
冈本是一名出棒选择出色、很少追打坏球的打者
他在对左投手时特别有威胁,是理想的platoon人选之一
他拥有强劲的拉打力量,出色的球路辨识能力让他能应付变化球;同时他不会过度改变挥棒
策略,这让他在面对off-speed球时仍能保持良好接触率
Okamoto has a more athletic build than Murakami, who has faced weight-related co
ncerns that raise questions about his mobility as he ages. Okamoto’s defensive
flexibility adds significant value, particularly for a team like the Yankees. He
plays first base, third base, and some outfield. His instincts shine at the cor
ners, and he’s capable of making good scoops at first. Defensively at first, Ok
amoto shows good mobility on grounders between first and second and down the lin
e. He makes quick, accurate releases to pitchers covering first and is adept at
turning double plays with a swift throw to second.
在体格上他比村上更具运动能力,村上近年受体重问题影响,外界对其机动性有所疑虑
冈本则拥有更灵活的防守能力,对洋基这类重视防守多样性的球队特别有价值
他可胜任一垒、三垒,甚至偶尔守外野
在角落防守上他的直觉良好,一垒守备时能在一、二垒之间或沿线的滚地球上展现流畅的动
作,并能迅速、准确地传球给补位投手,也擅长快速转向二垒完成双杀
While he’s a better fit at first base, he could serve as an adequate backup at
third in low-exposure situations (similar to Amed Rosario), though his limited r
ange and arm strength make him less suited for the position in the majors.
虽然他更适合镇守一垒,但在低压力情况下(像是Amed Rosario类型的替补角色),他也可
以作为三垒的合格替补,不过他有限的守备范围和臂力使他在大联盟中不太适合这个守位
For the Yankees, who need a right-handed infielder to back up Ben Rice and Ryan
McMahon, Okamoto checks both boxes. He could also fill in occasionally in left f
ield, though his lack of range and arm strength makes him a below-average outfie
ld option, comparable to Masataka Yoshida or Hideki Matsui defensively.
对洋基队而言,冈本正好能补上右打内野手空缺,作为Ben Rice、Ryan McMahon的轮换或替
补人选,他也能偶尔顶替左外野,不过由于臂力与移动范围有限,他在外野的防守能力大约
等同于吉田正尚或松井秀喜的水准
Okamoto is an intelligent player with a strong understanding of game situations,
akin to Seiya Suzuki. One scout noted:
“He’s a lesser version of Suzuki because he doesn’t have as much power, but h
e has better plate discipline. Suzuki is also a better fastball hitter, an area
where Okamoto is less polished. He has a better chance of succeeding early in th
e majors than Murakami due to his ability to make consistent contact.”
冈本是一名聪明的球员,对比赛状况理解也非常的好
有球探形容他与铃木诚也类似
“他就像铃木的低配版——力量稍逊,但选球更佳,铃木对速球的攻击能力更好,而这是冈
本仍待加强的部分,不过冈本稳定的Contact,让他比村上更有机会在大联盟初期就取得成
功”
Okamoto’s Weaknesses
冈本的缺点
Okamoto will need to adjust to playing on grass, as most of his experience is on
turf. Infield play is faster in Japan, but he may adapt quickly at first base.
However, successful transitions for NPB infielders to MLB are rare, which may ca
use hesitation among MLB teams.
冈本必须适应天然草场地,因为他职业生涯多在人工草皮上比赛、内野球滚动速度较快,但
他在一垒应能较快调整
值得注意的是,NPB内野手成功转战MLB的案例并不多,这可能使球队有所顾虑
While he makes adequate scoops at first, he occasionally stiffens up and that co
uld be problematic from time to time. Aside from that, his defense at first look
s promising. He has a good feel for first base and third base—although his lack
of athleticism limits him at third.
虽然他在一垒接球动作扎实,但偶尔会显得僵硬,可能导致失误,不过整体而言,他在一垒
的防守潜力不错;而三垒位置则因运动能力不足而受限
Offensively, Okamoto struggles to consistently barrel high-velocity pitches, whi
ch could be problematic in MLB, where 95+ MPH fastballs are more common than in
NPB. The adjustment to MLB pitching will be a challenge. He does generate good l
ift on pitches inside, and he’s capable of doing some big damage down the left
field line at Yankee Stadium. He’s also a good situational hitter like Seiya Su
zuki, who might thrive with runners in scoring position and be a key run produce
r for the Yankees against lefties.
打击方面,他在面对95英里以上快速球时仍不够稳定,这是他进入MLB后必须克服的挑战,
不过他能在攻击内角球产生良好的仰角,在洋基球场左外野具备长打潜力,他的情况与铃木
诚也相似,擅长得点圈打击,对左投尤其具威胁
Still, the risk of adapting to MLB pitching remains, as it does for most NPB pos
ition players.
尽管如此,如何适应MLB投手群仍是未知数,这对大多数NPB打者而言都是共通课题
Fit with the Yankees
与洋基队的契合度
The Yankees haven’t been active in the NPB market recently, though they were fi
nalists in the chase for Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Okamoto would be a cost-effective a
ddition compared to Munetaka Murakami and a younger, more flexible option than A
med Rosario or a potential Paul Goldschmidt reunion. While unlikely to become a
star, Okamoto could be a Seiya Suzuki-lite bat with an adjustment period. A firs
t-base platoon with Ben Rice would add youth and balance to the Yankees’ roster
.
洋基队近年来在NPB市场并不活跃,尽管他们曾是山本由伸争夺战的决选球队之一
相比村上宗隆,冈本的签约成本更低;而与Amed Rosario或潜在的Paul Goldschmidt回归方
案相比,他年轻且具防守多样性
虽然冈本不太可能成为明星级球员,但他有望成为“铃木诚也轻量版”的打者,只需一段调
整期
若与Ben Rice组成一垒轮替,可为洋基阵容注入年轻与平衡
If the Yankees are willing to take a chance on an NPB infielder, Okamoto makes a
compelling case for 2026. There will be a few teams with potential interest, in
cluding the Mets and the Red Sox. While it seems likely that the Mets lock up Pe
te Alonso for the rest of his career, the Yankees have Ben Rice at first and the
y might not be willing to spend a ton on an “if” in Okamoto. There are no guar
antees with position players from NPB, and a lot of homework is needed to make s
ome educated guesses on ability.
如果洋基队愿意尝试引进一名NPB内野手,冈本会是具吸引力的选择
除洋基外,大都会与红袜也可能对他有兴趣
虽然大都会可能会长约绑住 Pete Alonso,然后洋基已有Ben Rice在一垒,或许他们不愿为
冈本支付高额金钱
毕竟NPB打者转战MLB后的表现没有保证,球队必须做大量的功课,才能对他的实际能力作出
有根据的判断
The big caveat to this is whether or not the Giants post Okamoto. Some sources b
elieve the financial gains may push them to post him rather than lose him to fre
e agency. With the Giants, it’s unpredictable. It does make sense to post him t
his offseason, because his time with the team is coming to an end.
而最大变量在于读卖巨人是否真的会让冈本入札
有消息指出考量到金钱收益,他们可能倾向让他被入札,而不是等他以自由球员身份离队
不过巨人队的决策一向难以预测
就现实层面而言,若要放人今冬是最合理的时机,因为冈本在球队的时光似乎即将画上句号
作者: wuuman (@@)   2025-10-14 12:02:00
花钱请写手抬轿中…
作者: ChrisDavis (工业电风扇)   2025-10-14 12:11:00
很合理吧
作者: AaronJudge (你看看我长得好帅啊)   2025-10-14 12:17:00
买起来囉
作者: abc12812   2025-10-14 12:18:00
看这叙述比村上强多了吧
作者: Yjizz (饶惹偶ㄚ激湿)   2025-10-14 12:33:00
冈本比较均衡稳定些 村上则年轻可能还有机会稳定砲管忘了哪则球迷推文还提到 担心MLB霸工 希望球队今年放他去XD那个日本球迷延伸思考蛮有趣的
作者: justptt978 (ptt978)   2025-10-14 12:43:00
便宜可当福袋 贵又不能守备的话 大市场位子有限
作者: c871111116 (废文死北七)   2025-10-14 13:08:00
下次协商有啥大东西要吵吗 感觉好像没啥罢工点
作者: polanco (polanco)   2025-10-14 13:31:00
会吵薪资上限吧
作者: c871111116 (废文死北七)   2025-10-14 13:34:00
刚想到应该还有签约金问题可能也会吵?
作者: zx246800tw (摇杆驱动程式)   2025-10-14 14:26:00
村上牌工业电风扇
作者: bon01215   2025-10-14 15:43:00
扩编球队细节吧
作者: tty0102 (酒精)   2025-10-14 15:47:00
30岁了根本强不了几年
作者: nangaluchen (安安)   2025-10-14 17:49:00
签个四年也行 真觉得他没比村上弱而且 rice 也能捕手 也不算很冲突的配置
作者: jwptt (joe)   2025-10-15 15:20:00
写得算合理

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